Proof retweeted
I've joined @ProofMarkets to bring conditional markets to the masses.
Current prediction/binary markets are pretty limited in what they do and conditionals seem to be the natural evolution, which are markets for consequence. Instead of pricing the probability that an event happens, conditional markets tell you what these events mean for the assets people care about / trade.
Extremely excited about growing this new vertical with @airtightfish, as from a trader POV, trading conditionals seem so natural to me since most of us think about markets relative to events/news anyway.
If you're conditionals-curious, my DMs are open. Also going to be around Token2049 in Singapore and would be open to meeting interested individuals!
Proof retweeted
Is the “Burn” SIMD good for $SOL??
Well, we ran a market:
+5.4% price impact if implemented vs. not
~80% chance it gets implemented
TLDR: the market sees it as bullish, but mostly priced in. If it fails to get implemented, that would be a negative signal to the market.
Proof retweeted
What if your hardest decisions were priced by a market?
Tomorrow on SURGECAST, we sit down with @ProofMarkets and @umia_finance, two teams turning prediction and governance into tradable signals.
Catch it live tomorrow at 3:30 PM UTC 🔔
Proof retweeted
What can you trade on Proof?
Announcing the initial v0 Challenge markets.
Sign up now -> proof.trade
Proof retweeted
Prizes.
Paper trading so there is no cost to experiment. Prizes so there is an incentive to try to win.
Apply now.










