Xotic Be Smackin ποΈ retweeted
TETAIROA MCMILLAN vs Packers Defense π¦π₯
50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On β€οΈ
I'll be honest: Green Bay is struggling against WR1s. They're giving up 9.7 targets, 6.4 receptions and 88.4 yards a game to the role, and that grades out as a Soft Matchup at 7 of 32. Tetairoa McMillan walks into that as Carolina's clear WR1 on Thursday night.
π ROLE MATCHUP β GB vs WR1 (2026)
π₯ Targets allowed β 9.7/g (rank 3)
π₯ Receptions allowed β 6.4/g (rank 5)
π₯ Rec yards allowed β 88.4/g (rank 5)
π£ YAC allowed β 34.1/g (rank 1 β softest in football)
π― Composite β 7/32 Soft Matchup
THIS IS WHERE IT STARTS. Nine plus targets and almost 90 yards a game to WR1s. The Packers aren't locking down the top receiver they're feeding him.
π ROLE PROOF CAR TEAM SHARE (2026)
π₯ Tetairoa McMillan 25.6% target share
π― 9.0 targets/g, 6.0 rec/g, 85.2 yds/g
π¨ 23.3% red zone target share
He's the WR1 by share, by routes, by yards. Season average already sits at 85.2, and we're looking at him UNDER that on a 70.5.
π₯ In games with 9+ targets (GB allows 9.7) 3 games avg 126.3 receiving yards
π― In games with 6+ receptions (GB allows 6.4) 2 games avg 139.0 receiving yards
When the volume shows up the way Green Bay allows it, Tetairoa McMillan isn't dancing around 70.5. He's clearing it by a mile.
π ROUTE TREE vs GB
π₯ Hitch β 21.8% of routes (MOST run) | GB allows 42.8 yds/g (rank 9) | 13.6% tgt share on the route, 83.3% catch, 13.5 Y/T
π₯ Go β 15.8% | GB allows 29.0 yds/g (rank 10) | 21.9% tgt share, 10.9 Y/T
π₯ Out β 14.4% | GB allows 28.7 yds/g (rank 15) | 27.6% tgt share, 75.0% catch, 9.3 Y/T
π― Slant β 10.9% | GB allows 17.5 yds/g (rank 10) | 50.0% tgt share, 72.7% catch, 5.9 Y/T
His three main routes all sit in soft Green Bay ranks, and the hitch is the one most run, 13.5 yards a target, and GB is giving up 42.8 a game on it.
π COVERAGE vs GB
π₯ Zone β 83.1% of GB's mix | Tetairoa McMillan 78.8% catch, 11.8 Y/T (above his 10.5 avg)
π― Cover 4 β 27.1% | 100% catch, 14.6 Y/T on 7 targets
π― Cover 3 β 25.0% | 76.5% catch, 10.4 Y/T on 17 targets
Green Bay lives in zone, and that's where Tetairoa McMillan is at his best almost 12 yards a target and a near 80% catch rate.
π ALIGNMENT
π₯ Wide β 69% of routes (MOST USED, BEST) β 11.2 Y/T, 2.8 Y/RR, 76% catch, 381 yards
π― Slot β 31%
π₯ GB at Wide β 122.8 yds/g (rank 10), 8.3 Y/T, 737 yards allowed
He lives outside, and Green Bay bleeds outside. That's the overlap. I'M DEFINITELY INTERESTED IN TETAIROA MCMILLAN RECEIVING YARDS ππ₯
πΊ twitch.tv/stackintv
π Data provided by @PropFinderApp
ποΈ Use code WP for 30% OFF
NFL WEEK 8 TNF: PANTHERS vs PACKERS ππ₯
Want more breakdowns like this? Like, RT, send to your sports betting group chat so no one misses out & turn on notifications! π
π§GREEN BAY PACKERS DEFENSE
π΄WR1: 1.4 receiving RZ targets/G β 2nd most
π―WR1: 6.4 REC/G β 5th most
π―WR1: 88.4 REC YDS/G β 5th most
π¨WR1: 0.4 REC TD/G β 10th most
π―WR2: 4.0 REC/G β 7th most
π΄WR2: 0.9 receiving RZ targets/G β 8th most
π¨WR2: 0.3 REC TD/G β 10th most
π―WR3: 3.0 REC/G β 3rd most
πRB1: 17.4 CARRIES/G β 5th most
πRB1: 74.9 RUSH YDS/G β 7th most
π΄RB1: 4.1 rushing RZ carries/G β 4th most
π¨RB1: 0.7 RUSH TD/G β 6th most
π¨RB2: 0.4 RUSH TD/G β 2nd most
π¨RB2: 0.1 REC TD/G β 4th most
πQB: 4.3 CARRIES/G β 8th most
π―QB: 22.6 COMPLETIONS/G β 9th most
πΎCAROLINA PANTHERS DEFENSE
π¨RB1: 1.2 RUSH TD/G β MOST in NFL
πRB1: 17.2 CARRIES/G β 6th most
πRB1: 75.5 RUSH YDS/G β 6th most
π΄RB1: 3.5 rushing RZ carries/G β 7th most
πQB: 4.8 CARRIES/G β 4th most
π΄QB: 1.2 rushing RZ carries/G β 4th most
πQB: 24.0 RUSH YDS/G β 5th most
π¨QB: 0.3 RUSH TD/G β 5th most
π―WR3: 3.0 REC/G β 3rd most
π―WR3: 39.0 REC YDS/G β 4th most
π¨WR3: 0.2 REC TD/G β 9th most
π΄TE1: 1.3 receiving RZ targets/G β 4th most
π¨TE1: 0.5 REC TD/G β 6th most
π¨TE2: 0.2 REC TD/G β 7th most
π―RB2: 15.8 REC YDS/G β 3rd most
π―RB2: 1.7 REC/G β 6th most
Which market are you targeting in this game: Tetairoa McMillan receiving, Josh Jacobs rushing TD, or Tucker Kraft red zone? π
πΊtwitch.tv/stackintv
πData provided by @PropFinderApp
ποΈUse code WP for 30% OFF
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Thanks Yallπ€π
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Elly De La Cruz in 6 games vs. Dodgers this season:
9-20 (.450 BA)
5 HR
7 RBI
2 SB
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PIT - Rafael Flores Jr. Solo HR (9)
π 407 ft | π¨ 107.6 mph | π 26Β°
βΎοΈ 92.7 mph sinker (MIL - LHP JoJo Romero)
ποΈ Out in 29/30 parks
MIL (3) @ PIT (4)
π» 6th
#LetsGoBucs




























