News, priced in probabilities.
Prediction markets
Joined July 2026
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Can @LSUfootball find a quick answer before @OleMissFB turns this into a blowout? 👀
Ole Miss leads 24–7 in the third quarter, putting LSU in a tough spot with little room for another mistake.
The related market has Ole Miss at 79% versus 22% for LSU, with $2.40M in volume.
#predictionmarkets #polymarket
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Can the @Mariners answer before the @Angels stretch this lead any further? 👀
Los Angeles is up 4–3 on Seattle in the middle of the 4th, with plenty of baseball still left to play.
The live market has the Angels at 66% versus 35% for the Mariners, with $656.69K in volume.
#MLB #predictionmarkets
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Do you back @T1_official_gg to handle this series, or can KT Rolster Challengers make it closer than the odds suggest? 👀
T1 Academy and KT Rolster Challengers are set to meet in the LCK Challengers League, with the best-of-five series starting soon.
A related market has T1 Academy at 69% versus 32% for KT Rolster Challengers, with $183.29K in volume.
#lol #lck #predictionmarkets
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Who has the edge in a best-of-five here — @DplusKia’s steadier form or KT Rolster’s recent momentum? 👀
Dplus KIA Challengers and KT Rolster Challengers are set to face off in the LCK Challengers League, with the series starting soon.
A related market currently has KT Rolster Challengers at 57% versus 44% for Dplus KIA Challengers, with $103.63K in volume.
#LOL #LCK #PredictionMarkets
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@Padres up 6–3 in the sixth — do you trust San Diego to close this out, or is there still a @SFGiants comeback in this game? 👀
San Diego has taken control against San Francisco and leads 6–3 in the top of the 6th.
The live market has the Padres at 90% versus 12% for the Giants, with about $830.26K in volume.
#MLB #predictionmarkets
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Can @dallascowboys answer after going down 7–0, or are the @Giants about to control this game early? 👀
New York jumped out to a first-half lead, but Dallas still has plenty of time to swing the momentum back.
The related market has the Giants at 55% versus 46% for the Cowboys, with $2.67M in volume.
#NFL #predictionmarkets
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Would a $5,000 “Trump Dividend” actually change how voters think about the midterms? 👀
@realDonaldTrump says every U.S. adult would receive $5,000 if Republicans win both the House and Senate this November. The proposal would require congressional approval and could cost more than $1 trillion.
@Polymarket’s “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms” currently has Democrats Sweep at 43%, R Senate + D House at 37%, and Republicans Sweep at 20%, with about $8.08M in volume.
#predictionmarkets #trump
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Can the @49ers protect a three-point lead into halftime, or do the @RamsNFL steal the momentum before the break? 👀
San Francisco leads Los Angeles 10–7 late in the second quarter, with the game still very much in reach for both sides.
The related market has the 49ers at 55% versus 46% for the Rams, with $3.49M in volume.
#NFL #polymarket
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Would you actually pay $1,999 for @Apple's first foldable iPhone? 👀
@Apple has officially unveiled the iPhone Duo, its first foldable iPhone, starting at $1,999 — but the key detail for traders was the release date: October 23.
@Polymarket reacted fast. Before the event, the chance of a foldable iPhone releasing by September 30 was around 25%. After Apple confirmed the October launch, it collapsed to about 1%, while the October 31 market jumped from ~96% to 99%.
One keynote completely repriced the timeline.
Did you buy the October date early—or get trapped in the September trade?
#apple #iPhone
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Can Nongshim Esports Academy turn a strong favorite position into a clean BO5 win? 👀
@NS_RedForce faces @SOOPers_LoL in the @LCK Challengers League playoffs, with the series set as a best-of-five.
@Polymarket currently gives Nongshim Esports Academy a 75% chance to win the series, versus 26% for DN SOOPers Challengers.
Are you backing NSEA at 75¢, or taking the underdog on DN SOOPers at 26¢?
#lol #lck #predictionmarkets
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What if the AI race is moving faster than our ability to control where it ends? 👀
Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon has resigned, warning that leading AI labs are racing toward self-improving superintelligence with potentially catastrophic risks.
Yet Polymarket still gives Anthropic an 89% chance of having the best AI model by the end of September, versus 8.8% for OpenAI.
Are you still buying Anthropic at 89¢, or is this the moment to fade the favorite? @hilbertspaess
#Anthropic #OpenAI #Jacob #AI #predictionmarket
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Can DRX Challengers actually turn this around, or is DN SOOPers already too far ahead? 👀
Kiwoom DRX Challengers and DN SOOPers Challengers are meeting in the LCK Challengers League, with DN SOOPers coming in as the clear favorite.
The related market has DN SOOPers at 78% versus 23% for DRX Challengers, with $13.36K in volume.
#LOL #lck #PredictionMarkets
Carstensz at 58% — is that actually enough of an edge to trust in a Dota 2 series? 👀
Carstensz and InterActive Philippines are meeting in the EPL World Series, with the market still pricing this as a relatively competitive matchup rather than a one-sided series.
Polymarket currently has Carstensz at 58% versus 46% for InterActive Philippines, with $5.86K in volume.
#dota2 #PredictionMarkets
Who are you taking here — the Brewers or the Reds? 👀
The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds are set to play on September 6 at Great American Ball Park, with first pitch scheduled for 12:10 PM ET.
A related market has the Brewers leading at 63% versus 38% for the Reds, with $409.52 in volume.
#MLB #reds
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