@theturkeydao Advisor & Don Quixote of the Cosmos

the Coop
Joined November 2021
Ray Raspberry retweeted
Stratos (stratos-1), a Cosmos EVM chain, was exploited and its validators halted the chain. Here is what happened and where the funds went, read directly from the chain. The chain is frozen at block 16,008,475, last block 05:21 UTC. The bug is a custom EVM precompile at 0x0000000000000000000077656233636f736d6f73 — the tail bytes spell "web3cosmos". It takes a Cosmos message in its calldata and runs it as whatever "from" account is named inside, without checking the caller owns that account or was authorised by it. The attacker wrapped calls to it in a Cosmos authz MsgExec, each carrying a forged bank MsgSend from a victim to the attacker. In a single transaction, block 15,986,214, this drained 50,616,206 STOS from 11 accounts into the collector 0x57e1… / st12lsj78…. Proof it is an authorisation bypass and not stolen keys: the largest victim lost 23M STOS and now holds 1 wei. That account has a null public key. It has never signed a transaction, so it could not have authorised anyone. The precompile moved its funds anyway. Where the funds went: - ~40M STOS was IBC-transferred to Osmosis (osmo14qpeg…) at block 15,991,081, about a day before the halt. Around 10M of that was later sent back to Stratos. So on the order of 30M net left the chain before validators stopped it. - ~10M of the loot sits frozen in the Stratos WSTOS bridge vault (0x2a7157…), which also holds ~22M of pre-existing TVL, all frozen by the halt. The halt did not catch the bulk. A validator halt only protects what is still on the chain, and most of the stolen STOS had already gone to Osmosis over plain IBC, where it was swapped and moved onward. Attacker cluster: - collector: 0x57e12f1d41b7daeb9716da758f05bec2636daea2 / st12lsj78… - authz operator: st13v7qxgvv9ncs6t25jc5kqku4wxq8d6wyvtv66t - Osmosis landing: osmo14qpeg04hyx6s6dax44q9sx268ckgr6zzhhswja Root cause for the team: an EVM precompile that executes Cosmos messages has to verify the caller is authorised for the "from" account named in the message. This one does not. Same class as the KiiChain/MANTRA Cosmos EVM precompile incidents, distinct root cause. Every figure is read from Stratos and Osmosis RPC. The onward path of the Osmosis portion is still being traced. @Stratos_Network
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
Neutron / Astroport exploit: what happened when the Cosmos Hub restarted. The 1.2M cosmos:native sweep worked. The 168,990 ATOM THORChain refund didn't get caught. It landed on the attacker a minute after the restart, and he sold all of it for about 100 ETH. Correction first In my last post I said the refund couldn't move once it landed, because the Hub had blocked the attacker's address. That turned out to be wrong, it appears the developers of the hub failed to correctly block the attackers address, when they had a ~6 hour window to act. What worked The Hub restarted at 10:06 pm AEST on v28.3.0. In the first block (33,086,741), the upgrade moved 1,227,121.37 ATOM off the attacker's address to cosmos1z8pq5cn7tdrwwzlwm0e44fgq07e43ner6vph64. It's still there, untouched. That's about $2.2M kept from him. What didn't 10:07:38 pm, block 33,086,748. THORChain's vault sent the refund, 168,990.898794 ATOM, to the attacker's address. 10:09:29 pm, block 33,086,761. He signed a 500,000 ATOM IBC transfer to Osmosis. It was included in a block, he paid the fee, and his account sequence went from 8 to 9. It failed only because he asked for more than he had. That transaction should never have reached a block if the address block was working. 3:54:58 am, block 33,090,325. He tried again with the right amount. It went through. Where it went He sold it on Osmosis in chunks of about 20,000 ATOM between 3:58 and 4:48 am, for 266,841 USDC, an average of $1.58. 188,832 USDC went through Noble and Circle's CCTP to 0xe149310eB8b1b3D9C471CcD81819D393621fBA5c and was swapped to $ETH within minutes. +70.84 ETH. 50,000 ATOM went to a new key first. 30,000 of it made a round trip Osmosis → Hub → Terra → Hub → Osmosis. He then sold it and sent 78,010 USDC through Axelar to a new wallet, 0x9bfcca13b4ac907433ac68766e96309ac867f819. 29.22 ETH, never sent. 53 minutes from the Hub to ETH. Root cause: two gaps The refund arrived after the sweep. The upgrade moved what was on the address at block 33,086,741. The refund came seven blocks later. THORChain had GAIA halted (HALTGAIACHAIN = 1), but signing for GAIA was never halted (HALTSIGNINGGAIA = 0). My reading is that the halt stops THORChain watching the Hub, not signing for it. The vault's refund went out as soon as the Hub produced blocks. THORNode still shows the refund as "not signed" because it can't see the Hub. The ante-handler block didn't reject him. A transaction the ante-handler rejects never reaches execution. His reached the bank module and paid a fee. I can't see the v28.3.0 code (only v28.0.0 is public), so I can't say why. The chain shows it wasn't enforced for his address on an IBC transfer. Both gaps were visible on-chain by 10:09 pm. The refund sat on his address for 5 hours 47 minutes before he moved it. Where the attacker's funds are now 0xEF6c5A31df984c8569236a0AbC1f27580E2a5D54: 671.0 ETH 0xe149310eB8b1b3D9C471CcD81819D393621fBA5c: 94.43 ETH 0x9bfcca13b4ac907433ac68766e96309ac867f819: 29.22 ETH New Cosmos-side addresses from last night: osmo1erq7tre6nk0jfx203z8ey75g4m7yfrckl3qx87 cosmos1erq7tre6nk0jfx203z8ey75g4m7yfrckh2nk3v terra1utez3t0nvg34d9xfswn8058kypney2c3pkx883 Worth taking from this A sweep in an upgrade handler only covers what's on the address at that block. Anything still in flight needs its own plan. Test an address block with a real transaction as well as a simulated one, and watch the account sequence right after restart. Halting a chain in THORChain doesn't stop outbound signing for that chain. @cosmoshub @THORChain @Osmosis_Zone @Neutron_org @astroport_fi
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
Neutron / Astroport exploit, update. The attacker's 1,227,121 ATOM on the Cosmos Hub is being moved to a new multisig when the chain restarts. One more piece still needs dealing with after restart: a 168,990 ATOM refund on its way back to him. What's already on his address When the Hub halted at block 33,086,740, the attacker's address held 1,227,121.37 cosmos:native (~$2.22M). The new Hub binary does two things. The upgrade handler moves that balance to a new multisig, and the ante-handler blocks his address from signing anything. The refund nobody could see His last THORChain swap was 200,000 ATOM streamed into $ETH. Only 15.5% had filled when the Hub stopped. THORChain paid that part out as 19.92 ETH and closed the swap. The other 168,990.898794 ATOM is queued as a refund to his Hub address. His wallet shows nothing pending, and the swap looks finished once the ETH arrives. I found the refund by reading THORChain's outbound queue (thorchain-thornode-lb-1.thor…) directly and matching it on the swap's inbound hash: REFUND:02DABD55C0A3EBEA3271763484542CB59A22E968402F91690471B7D2589B04A7 168,990.898794 ATOM → cosmos1dd25c4sshelrpfs0433apg24c5phrhk8m96c4n It's scheduled but not signed, and was still in the queue at 23:43 UTC on 22 Sep. It hasn't gone out because THORChain has GAIA halted (HALTGAIACHAIN = 1). When that lifts, the vault signs and the ATOM lands on the attacker's address. That will be after the Hub upgrade has already run, so the refund misses the multisig move. Can he get around the block? Before the restart I checked whether he has any other way to move funds from that address. He doesn't. It's a plain account with one key. No authz grants in either direction, no fee grants, no delegations, unbonding or rewards, not a validator, no contracts, gov deposits or IBC transfers. If that key can't sign, nothing moves. That's why the ante-handler block works here. What still needs doing after restart The 168,990 ATOM (~$306k) needs one of two things: a second sweep once it lands, or THORChain node operators holding or redirecting that outbound before they unhalt GAIA. The block stops him moving it. It still needs to be moved to the multisig. Totals at $1.81 ATOM 1,227,121.37 ATOM on the address → multisig at upgrade 168,990.90 ATOM refund → needs a sweep after restart 1,396,112.27 ATOM, about $2.53M, kept from the attacker.
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
Oh, looks like the @OsmosisFdn exited their allBTC holdings to real BTC before halting the pool. Very nice of them! xitter.cf/OsmosisFdn/status/1719… mintscan.io/osmosis/address/…
The Osmosis Fdn’s address for @WrappedBTC on @osmosis as a DAO member is osmo1xz85h2nvc5l5dxvjpajvdcnk4wq20nydzunvn2
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
allBTC on @osmosiszone is 63.97% backed. There are 110.57094432 allBTC in circulation against 70.73128010 BTC of real collateral. The 39.83966422 BTC gap is nBTC issued by @nomicbtc, which has been halted since 7 September. The full trace follows, with sources for each step. Vulnerability github.com/nomic-io/nomic/bl… ibc_deliver calls Coin::<Nbtc>::mint(amount) twice for a single incoming deposit. The first result is consumed by burn_coins_execute; the second is credited to the destination as spendable nBTC. It is the only one of the 18 #[call] handlers in that file with two mint calls, and it performs no signer check on the crediting account. IBC_FEE_USATS = 1_000_000, so invoking it costs one satoshi. The code is unchanged on develop HEAD. Mint Nomic block 33,137,470, 25 June 2026 21:49:59 UTC tx BEE54496B351A018D092779FE6C833238E1CDF965FE9761A572934F37932E028 25 send_packet events, sequences 9286–9310, 162,602,409,537,873 usat each, totalling 40.65060238 nBTC. The block contains no transfer, coin_spent, coin_received or burn events. Signer: nomic1wq76r2mhqsa9yaygghuwyq4wy6dcsgf8cgz4wt, which has signed two transactions — a probe on 23 June at 03:01:56, then this one. This is verifiable without a Nomic node. All 25 packets arrive on Osmosis block 64,910,685 over channel-6897, in six relayer transactions, at the same per-packet amount, from nomic1kq2rzz6fq2q7fsu75a9g7cpzjeanmk685ak9g7 to osmo1wq76r2mhqsa9yaygghuwyq4wy6dcsgf8vtzltn. Addresses The same 20-byte account ID appears on four chains: nomic1wq76r2mhqsa9yaygghuwyq4wy6dcsgf8cgz4wt osmo1wq76r2mhqsa9yaygghuwyq4wy6dcsgf8vtzltn (15 txs, sequence 15) noble1wq76r2mhqsa9yaygghuwyq4wy6dcsgf8vny890 (2 txs) axelar1wq76r2mhqsa9yaygghuwyq4wy6dcsgf8q788kq Ethereum beneficiary: 0x8f36fd9ffc0a8ca373aa7a4787292536a489d2b5 Drain, via Osmosis pool 1868 Pool 1868 is the allBTC transmuter, which exchanges 1:1 with no slippage. 64,911,162 · 21:59:14 — 1.0 nBTC to 1.0 WBTC.axl 64,911,346 · 22:02:46 — 7.0 nBTC to 7.0 WBTC.axl 64,911,801 · 22:11:27 — 8.0 WBTC.axl bridged (468D435D4705105362DB6BEABFB98852156998A1973CBAA146E1737AC637EE82) 64,911,856 · 22:12:35 — 10.0 nBTC to 10.0 WBTC.axl 64,911,947 · 22:14:21 — 1.5 WBTC.axl bridged (EF6FFD3034E32DC52B04262681E10311F1EBA626BA0CE7510992963387A30794) 64,912,704 · 22:28:53 — 0.29880120 WBTC.axl to 8.09767026 ETH.axl 64,912,733 · 22:29:53 — bridged (F879A15766BED480F913E74888F572574D88F603CE2EEC97E67946C2A4A1D1D7) 64,915,592 · 23:24:58 — 1.99940004 allBTC to 112,509.46 USDC, sent by IBC to Noble 65,121,991 · 28 Jun 18:33:44 — 6.16296736 WBTC.axl bridged (70DFD62F6DC370C25EDD726CF87BCDB3F668E9049AC88B46E6C7E15C0E182904) 66,554,379 · 17 Jul 22:44:35 — 22.65060847 nBTC to 22.65060846 allBTC The 22.65 allBTC is still in the wallet and has not moved since 17 July. @axelarr to Ethereum Four GMP transfers, each naming SquidRouter 0xce16F69375520ab01377ce7B88f5BA8C48F8D666 as destination with 0x8f36fd9f… encoded in the payload. Each executes as Axelar Gateway, SquidRouter, SquidMulticall, Uniswap V3 WBTC/WETH, WETH unwrap, then native ETH to the beneficiary. 0x75b42eceb283eaa88303d23bca8f9ccc6c5579cdfc1e8c757ea1e33118dd125b · blk 25,397,547 · 303.01315917 ETH 0xe051dc2bbb37b1510faecaeace9288ca5bc0deda9562bdfe164643d268e69236 · blk 25,397,562 · 57.09781972 ETH 0x3dc170230bbbaab36b0bbfb0201ba705d09448be9db973c3725a72577e54ae1a · blk 25,397,637 · 8.09751591 ETH 0x6426edf655e833c2544a5541faceadb22d8d7c9a758432b409932155b6b4148f · blk 25,417,983 · 232.39729801 ETH The ETH arrives through internal calls rather than ERC-20 transfers, so it does not appear in a token-transfer scan of the wallet. It shows up under debug_traceTransaction. @noble_xyz to Ethereum via Circle CCTP Noble 53,482,030 · 14003B7245C38C55778DA07C77AC123A69711AD95D264EC2F4DDA162985C0CD3 · DepositForBurn 56,254.663934 USDC, nonce 349050 Noble 53,482,093 · D8FFF6FD4538CA34B0F40AB842E1C67AF1590DA922AF93B29B0475C7C055FF99 · DepositForBurn 56,254.623933 USDC, nonce 349052 mint_recipient on both is 0x8f36fd9f…d2b5. Minted on Ethereum at blocks 25,397,917 and 25,397,924, then swapped through 1inch Fusion for 71.14822656 ETH at block 25,397,930. Destination The beneficiary received 671.75412248 ETH and sent 671.10 ETH to the Tornado Cash router 0xd90e2f925da726b50c4ed8d0fb90ad053324f31b in 34 deposits: 439.10 ETH on 25 June between 22:56 and 23:46, and 232.00 ETH on 28 June between 18:41 and 18:46. The remaining balance is 0.5753708194 ETH. Nothing has moved since 28 June. The wallet's only funding before the exploit was 0.03729586 ETH received on 22 June from an address-poisoning bot, followed 24 seconds later by a counterfeit token from a lookalike address. There is no exchange or mixer deposit into it. Reconciliation 40.65060238 nBTC minted, plus 0.00000612 left over from a legitimate test purchase on 23 June, gives 40.65060850 available. Against that, 18.00000000 was converted and bridged out, and 22.65060847 was converted to allBTC and left on Osmosis, totalling 40.65060847. The difference is 3 usat, or 0.000003 satoshi. Of the 18.0 converted: 15.66295187 went out as WBTC and returned 592.50827690 ETH; 0.29880120 became 8.09751591 ETH; 1.99940004 became 71.14822656 ETH through Noble; approximately 0.0388 was lost to slippage, relayer fees and gas. Halt Nomic stopped at block 34,837,131 on 7 September 15:30:21 UTC. That block contained one transaction with code=0, no validator updates and no end-block events. Consensus is at height 34,837,132, round 0, step 1, with no proposal. Bitcoin checkpointing stopped 23 hours 39 minutes earlier, while the chain was still producing blocks. The last checkpoint is Bitcoin block 965,798, txid 105f80d33d383667cf200a81cd1c0cf2ed829ba4f696e44b7d5c89e94262d705, confirmed 6 September 15:51:27, paying 0.74599951 BTC to bc1q9e3d4nca68wzh8j3gme7z7gatnrzrpgcflsu5tgeuh6g7svqykssqzxyfe. That output is unspent and Bitcoin is now 316 blocks past it. Fee exhaustion does not explain this. The median observed checkpoint fee is 3,598 sat and the maximum ever paid is 15,064 sat. The final reserve UTXO holds 74,599,951 sat, enough for roughly 17,400 checkpoints. Of 262 Osmosis withdrawal requests, one exceeded the reserve, and it was paid on 22 July. I could not verify the failure mode itself. The only reachable Nomic RPC reports 0 peers, so it cannot distinguish a halted network from an isolated node. The halt is confirmed instead by the 54-hour checkpoint gap on Bitcoin and by @osmosiszone pausing the pool. Current state 40.63744627 nBTC outstanding against a 0.78126898 BTC reserve, or 1.92% backed. Osmosis paused the allBTC pool at height 70,112,441 on 7 September 19:35:16. is_active is false and redemptions are blocked. get_corrupted_denoms is still empty. Two notes nomic1rk07saqmvfle50h4h9hul00g67xzrcc5ytfxjm has been circulating as the exploiter address. It has 3,100 transactions, all update_client on IBC client 07-tendermint-1. It is a relayer, not the attacker. At 14:09:08 on 7 September, 81 minutes before the halt, an unrelated Osmosis account with an established history swapped 9.00805626 allBTC for WBTC at block 70,097,405 (D43E123EE07576B1445DE95D0747A474E6B756B17920FD4BC7F38D5076BC4092). I have no evidence about motive and am not claiming any.
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
.@injective halted for 3h 42m on 31 August. Here is what the chain records, pulled from archive nodes. The halt: last block 181,027,006 at 16:10:02 UTC, next block 181,027,007 at 19:52:14. Height advanced by one across the seam, so nothing was rolled back — the opposite of what @CronosNetwork did the day before. From roughly 15:31 block times went from 0.62s to 23.3s. The final block carried 213 transactions against a 0–28 norm. The vector is the insurance fund path. One address, inj10ykxh78wvp8da6q8xfck3tufl0ux8sp8rulp7p, sent 7,109 transactions over 19 hours: 299 MsgCreateInsuranceFund 299 MsgInstantBinaryOptionsMarketLaunch 1,188 MsgCreateBinaryOptionsLimitOrder 1,134 MsgWithdraw 920 MsgDeposit The 1:1 on the first two is the whole story. Instant binary options market launch is permissionless by design — post an insurance fund, get a market. It was cycled 299 times. The executor still holds 299 shareNNN denominations in a contiguous run from share430 to share728, one receipt per fund. Working capital was 9,110 USDT bridged through Peggy at 01:02:47. First exploit transaction at 01:12:24. Last at 20:17:16, which is 25 minutes after the chain came back up. The money did not move far. Proceeds sit at 0x5a18c382ed5bb01814296ee03026dbf5b32a69ea: 1,979.808450 ETH, about $4.88M, arriving in three sweeps of 1,650.000000, 211.107589 and 118.700000 ETH. No mixer, no Tornado Cash, no exchange deposit of size. The stash holds zero USDC and zero USDT — the stablecoin proceeds were converted before they got there. The executor is down to 0.049962 ETH. Someone was watching this live. At 16:02:23 a smart wallet dormant for 17.9 days woke up and sent 0.002 ETH to a fresh address. That address delivered the same message to both attacker wallets — the stash at 16:05:35, the executor at 16:11:59, the second arriving 1m 57s after the chain had already stopped: "Hi. We would like to chat and offer you a bounty. Please get in touch. You can DM our official account on Twitter or message us on Telegram (@ckhbtc)." Three minutes from cold wallet to first contact, and the sender had already mapped both attacker addresses. But it names no organisation, only a Telegram handle, and it came from a burner funded by a personal EIP-7702 smart wallet. That is not how a protocol makes a public bounty offer. Do not report it as Injective's until they confirm it — an anonymous approach to a live attacker holding $4.88M is equally consistent with a third party trying to intercept the funds. Neither message has been answered. The attacker did sign again, six hours later. At 22:15:35 and 22:20:59 the stash sent two zero-value transactions to itself carrying text. Neither references the bounty. One boasts about "getting my balance filled higher" — the only inbound after 05:21:59 was the attacker's own executor wallet emptying itself, 118.749985 ETH down to 0.049962. That is consolidation, not gain. The 1,979.81 ETH is the attacker's realised proceeds. What 299 drained insurance funds cost everyone else is a number only Injective can publish.
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
Right on cue. The ICF's July treasury snapshot landed today. Sold: 45 BTC (~$2.8M) 1,276 ETH (~$2.4M) ~$5.2M of crypto. Ready-cash cushion: 10% → 15%, refilled straight from those sales. "ICF now leans on selling into weakness to keep that cushion topped up" And of that $5.2M sold, only ~$3M reached the fiat pool. The missing ~$2.2M is July's operating burn. Right on the ~$2.5M/month I called. xitter.cf/interchain_io/status/2…
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
We cloned Gmail, except you're logged in as Epstein and can see his emails
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
I went through ZachXBT’s leaked list to get an idea of how much money those KOLs have. Methodology: • Get the average balance (SOL + Tokens) • Get the max balance for the last 30 days But HOW did they get that money? Some examples 👇
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
Was bored so decided to do an update to Polychain $TIA sells Polychain has now dumped over $242 million worth of TIA since TGE They still hold around ~44.7 mil TIA ($63.9 mil)
Polychain invested around $20mil in the Series A&B round of celestia and have already sold over $82 million worth of $TIA just from staking rewards (realized over 4x ROI) before even a single token is unlocked .
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Celestia is great tech. Unfortunaely $TIA is one of the worst / most predatory VC tokens out there. Here is why ↓ First off, @celestia (the chain) is great tech. It was Celestia that first made cheap blobspace abundant, overcoming the main scaling bottleneck that rollups have suffered under for years. The team also put in a huge effort on the marketing front, basically coining the entire modular narrative single-handedly, and attracting an entire ecosystem of talented builders, both across (adjacent) infrastructure layer or the app layer. But what about the token? This is where things take a dark turn. Why? The venture capital rounds tell a stark story of insider privilege. Let me explain: Series A investors paid just $0.0955 per token while Series B investors paid $1.00. When TIA launched to the public at $2.29-$2.50, retail investors were already paying >20x what the earliest VCs paid. Even with TIA’s catastrophic 95% decline from its peak, Series A investors remain up 14-17x on their initial investment, having seen returns as high as 218x at the February 2024 peak of $20. This pricing structure means that while retail investors who bought at launch are underwater by 40-60%, while every single institutional investor still remains deeply profitable. The asymmetry is by design, not accident. That’s supported by a token distribution that heavily favors insiders with 80% allocated to team, investors, and foundation versus just 20% for public participants. The unlock schedule on these allocations creates predictable selling events: - October 30, 2024: A massive unlock of 175.59 million TIA tokens represented 80% of the then-circulating supply - Monthly unlocks continue through 2027, with 30 million tokens releasing monthly through October 2025 - Early backers received 33% of their tokens after year one, with the remaining 67% unlocking during year two This creates what researchers have eatinated as an average 12% inflation rate from unlocks alone during months 24-60 of the project. The structural selling pressure is not a side effect, it’s literally the primary feature of the tokenomics design. Things get worse though. Much worse. The most damning example is @polychaincap, which invested approximately $20 million across Series A and B rounds. Through the staking rewards loophole (see screenshot below), Polychain already sold over $82 million worth of TIA (achieving a 4x return on investment) before a single one of their primary tokens has unlocked (also see comments for more info on this). Wow that’s pretty wild, no? Unfortunately, there is more. Much more. Celestia launched with an 8% annual inflation rate that decreases by 10% yearly until reaching 1.5%. This mechanism appears reasonable on paper but becomes predatory when combined with the token distribution. With only 25% of tokens initially circulating, the 8% inflation effectively adds 33% more tokens to the circulating supply in the first year. Research modeling shows that this inflation pressure escalates from 1.1 million tokens per month to over 7 million tokens monthly during major unlock periods, and that the network requires > $2 million in monthly fee revenue just to offset this selling pressure (while it currently makes about $200 per day!). So let’s quickly recap the situation so far: - High inflation dilutes existing holders at 8% annually - Massive periodic unlocks flood the market with supply - Liquid staking rewards from locked tokens provide immediate selling opportunities What this ultimately means? They rewarded their early investors and themselves at the expense of retail, and keeo dismissing legitimate concerns as “ridiculous FUD” when the token is down >95%. Mustafa’s post below, claiming all tokens see 95% drawdowns and that critics spread “ridiculous FUD” further reinforces this, showing a worrying indifference for the losses of the people that should ultimately be the ones using the (app)chains built on Celestia. All just a coincidence? Possible but unlikely. Because even when compared to other heavily VC-fundes peers, Celestia’s tokenomics stand out as particularly extractive: - Celestia: 80% insider allocation, 20% public - Aptos: 49% insider allocation, 51% public - Ethereum: 83.47% sold to public in crowdsale - Bitcoin/YFI: 100% fair launch with no insider allocations Combined with the staking rewards loophole and aggressive unlock schedule, this 80/20 distro creates a perfect storm for value extraction. This inevitably leads to a system where retail investors serve primarily as exit liquidity for venture capital funds. So is it all over for $TIA? No, but things are not looking great. There are various proposals aiming to radically alter/improve the tokenomics, including reducing inflation by 33% or abandoning the PoS consensus (where the chain currently heavily overpays for security) entirely. Admissions that the current structure is fundamentally broken. However, with Series A investors still up 14-17x despite a 95% price decline, the damage to retail has already been done and trust can likely not be repaired. A price that Celestia (even tho largely a B2B business model) will likely pay in the long-term, as the entire ecosystem suffers under a damaged reputation, regardless of the great tech. That there is literally 0 organic demand for the token or utility beyond governance (which is a meme, especially if 80% of tokens went to insiders) and paying for (almost free) DA makes things even worse. The counter-thesis to $TIA is $HYPE. No insiders and VCs dumping on retail from day 1. Clear token utility, fueling organic demand, millions in daily holder revenue, and low inflation that is also countered by a baked-in buyback mechanism. Proof that not "every token" does a -95% from peak. The key takeaway for builders? It’s easy to make yourself and your VC frens rich by dumping on retail at an artificial 200x valuation. But if you’re here to “change the game” or “build for the long-term”, you have to acknowledge that your token is ALSO a core product, and will ALSO define the success of your tech. Regardless of a $100m “war chest” full of VC funds that will be there to pay handsome salaries. Yet the question remains: how much do you actually care if you already made all the retirement money you could have dreamed of?
Despite the FUD (which is getting more ridiculous by the day), all Celestia founders, early employees and core engineers are still here and working as hard as we did when Celestia started 5 years ago. So say that Celestia did 9/11 for all I care or whatever FUD you want, I've been in crypto since 2010 and it's not new to me that you have to have a thick skin and eat gravel to survive, as all tokens have their 95% drawdown at some point in their lifecycle. We have a $100M+ war chest and a 6+ year runway so we're ready to play the long game, for as long as it takes.
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
CoinMarketCap
@CoinMarketCap20 Jun 2025
🚨 Security Alert We’re aware that a malicious pop-up prompting users to "Verify Wallet" has appeared on our site. ⚠️ Do NOT connect your wallet. Our team is actively investigating and working to resolve the issue.
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It looks like !!! @coinmarketcap is hacked… When you browse, it asks to connect wallet and then asks for ERC20 approvals. Do not approve and use @RevokeCash if you accidentally did!
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
🌕 ACTION REQUIRED 🌕 Support for Cosmos chains is being withdrawn by Portal Bridge. Citing a lack of cross-chain volume, @wormhole has been working to off-board connections to a number of Cosmos chains, including Terra. There is a hard cut off date of 26 June 2025. Users holding Wormhole assets on Terra, e.g. $wBNB, $wETH, $wSOL, should as a matter of urgency, take steps to return these assets to their native chain. If these assets remain on Terra beyond the cut off date, the assets will no longer be able to be redeemed and become unbacked. Return Wormhole assets to their native chain using portalbridge.com/legacy-tool… For SOL you will need to manually input the following token address on Legacy Portal Bridge to make the transfer: terra1ctelwayk6t2zu30a8v9kdg3u2gr0slpjdfny5pjp7m3tuquk32ysugyjdg
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
Osmosis Validators,a fellow community member lost $100K to a phishing scam. The stolen funds are still on-chain in wallet osmo120r3lwjh2fn0hu80e0gw5fc0tsk6ce3auvc42p. Can you step in to freeze the account and stop the thief? #Osmosis #Cosmos #DeFi #CryptoSecurity #ValidatorAction
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Looks like Radiant Capital exploited for 51.5 million$ so far! Affected contracts on Arbitrum & BSC! More below this post ⬇️
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Ray Raspberry retweeted
The Ambient Finance website domain (ambient dot finance) has been hijacked and compromised. The issue is isolated to the frontend website, Ambient contracts are unaffected and funds are safe. Please do not visit the website or click any links until further notice. An update will be provided when available. Do not connect wallet. Do not sign any transactions.
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