Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe) header
Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe) profile picture

Fund Manager AG Capital Value Flexible fund; Director of Value Asset Management (Pty.) Ltd. ; Elliottwave chartist, father of 3 ; tweets are not advice.

Cape Town
Joined March 2014
Photo by Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe)Photo by Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe)Photo by Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe)Photo by Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe)Photo by Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe)Photo by Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe)Photo by Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe)Photo by Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe)Photo by Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe)Photo by Rod Lowe (@RodloweLowe)
Fresnillo plc. chart depicts massive 12-year triangle completing with price coming to a reflection/ determination point at £5.60 area. The elliotwave count has £40+ medium term
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-- Gold & Silver Miners -- First time in a long time that ALL the large-cap miners are outperforming both #gold and #silver themselves. Wall Street starting to pay attention? $GDX
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1/3 Gold is in a 5th and final primary wave. It has broken above the long term trendline and may be developing a 5th wave extension. I honestly do not know how much further. $3400 was my target, but higher seems possible. We may just have to take this one step at a time.
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At some point we will get a correction in the gold market. The trolls will of course lose their mind and find some way to extrapolate this into losses. But as any of you who have been following me know I've been trying to get people to buy for weeks and weeks. A short term correction is normal. Look at the chart below of the miners during the last intermediate run and you will see 5 short term corrections. None of them were the start of an intermediate degree pullback. They were just short term pullbacks to clear sentiment and set the stage for the next leg up. Ignore the dumb money that will be panicking when our first pullback gets underway. These people still have a lot to learn about how markets behave, and especially how bull markets behave. The first pullback will be a buying opportunity for anyone who has either gotten left at the station, or has more capital to put to work.
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The comex had ZERO deliveries on a #silver smash day. The LBMA had 460. It’s remarkable people think this is a legit market and can’t see the manipulation. This game is coming to an end and silver will be gone and revalued soon. #silversqueeze
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There is a 683 million ounce paper #silver naked short. The most important strategic metal on earth is still 60 percent of all time high from 1980. 70 percent of Ag mined comes as a byproduct from mining other metals. How can you turn on production? #silversqueeze
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CC2024 No change at the top. Leaders entrenching themselves. Need some big M&A deals to shift the balance.
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#SILVER NEW SOLID STATE BATTERY REQUIRES 1 KG OF SILVER. DON'T WORRY. NO ONE WILL WANT 600 MILES CHARGING IN ONLY 9 MINUTES, AND IT WILL ONLY CONSUME 67% OF THE WORLD SILVER PRODUCTION.
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What if I told you that junior gold miners have outperformed the Nasdaq 100 over the past year?   This industry is so despised that people have a hard time believing it until they see the data.
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Silver having recovered monthly losses entirely looks very bullish. Silver's $40 price is coming very soon...
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CC2024 A little over 10 weeks to go. Bjorn still has a 5% margin over Rod and a 13% lead over Yaakov who is back in the running after Renergen’s big leap this week. Brad and Ryan still being held up by their Bells 😁
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BREAKING: The US government deficit hit a massive $1.5 trillion in the first 10 months FY 2024, according to the Treasury Department. In July alone, the US deficit spending reached a whopping $244 billion. Total outlays came in at $5.6 trillion and total receipts were $5.6 trillion over the last 10 months. Social Security was the largest expenditure amounting to $1.2 trillion. Net interest was the second largest cost, exceeding health, Medicare, and national defense expenses. Government spending remains at crisis levels.
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$JSECPI slowly breaking down from its ending diagonal as expected; noting the shooting star candle. There is a lot of downside risk here with a few clues supporting it. #JSE #Capitec
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$JSESOL trading statement brought the price into the middle of my expected buy range of 120-130. Positive divergence has been building since DEC on the daily chart. New leadership and Middle East escalation could turn sentiment on this share around. Long 6-12m Buy here above 114.
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CC2024 In a market where everything is falling in a heap, our leaders are holding their gains. New leader - Bjorn Ruppelt, 5% above Yaakov whose Renergen holding him back. 4 of the top 5 hold Bell. Karooooooooooo also making an appearance. Been creeping up.
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The real estate industry is in a depression Lowest sales since 1995
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Fresnillo PLC (the largest primary Silver miner) reported EBITDA of $544MM vs. $351MM & Operating Cash Flow of $547MM vs $322MM; (UK listed companies report half year earnings; this is a blend between Q1 & Q2): Silver prices are 10% higher now. Quality miners cash flows are exploding. The stock is trading at 5x annualized cash flow. Not investment advice; do your own due diligence.
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BREAKING: Total US Federal debt has officially hit $35 trillion for the first time in history. Since 2020, the US has now added ~$12 TRILLION in Federal debt. In other words, the US has added an average of ~$280 BILLION of Federal debt EVERY MONTH since January 2020. This means that the US now has ~$105,000 in Federal debt for every person living in the country. All while deficit spending as a percentage of GDP is currently at World War 2 levels. How can this possibly end well?
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Cristal Challenge 2024 6 months down. 3 to go. Yaakov hanging in. Kore Potash still running but Renergen burning a little. Johan Hendrik had his 15 minutes of fame. Troubles at Quantum taken him down to 25. Below Yaakov are the 4 Bells!!! More on the website Monday.
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