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美食/日常/中度键政/喵喵编辑部保洁/时常朴素一餐/日语N4小歘歘/没有学过绘画的画渣/图书馆常客/偶尔整瞎科普/近代史/旅游/②刺螈/steam/坚定支持中国特色社会主义

日本 兵庫
Joined September 2017
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搞个置顶贴,来放绘画日常,绘画非日常和瞎科普
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跟在吃啤酒一样
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摁造巴西牛肉
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哈哈哈,万斯卖主求荣了
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up. So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us." Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone. Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were: 1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.) In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you. The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there. I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
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这两天盒马给的券还挺大的 各种叠加,三十多块钱东西实付十块不到还免运费
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当年润台湾的时候把全大陆银行里的黄金大部分带去了 结果混到现在都拉的一塌糊涂了 你们岛内难道不需要反思一下吗?
Replying to @wngshii
第二强?
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虽然养的是泥鳅,但喂食的时候这两位能发出猪吃食的动静
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才发现 这《人民的名义》里的赵瑞龙摇身一变,在《伟大的长征》里变成任弼时了嘛 可塑性还挺强
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经典核冷却水和核污染水不分 煮白煮蛋的水和敲个鸡蛋到锅里的汤是一回事吗?
我突然想起来之前高中上地理课讲日本排放核污水 然后我们地理老师笑了笑说 你以为中国不排吗 卧槽她经常说这种话我都害怕她哪天上着上着课被抓走了
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与此同时,莫斯科、德黑兰、特拉维夫和萨纳估计会异口同声的叹一口气然后吩咐下去:继续打吧
BREAKING: Democrat James Talarico wins Texas Senate race, flipping it from Republicans.
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再这样下去特朗普两院都要不保了啊
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怎么临下班就下雨啊
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直到现在我们已知的被观测到的人民海军在西太美日联合军演的附近海域集结了包括一艘航母、四艘055导弹驱逐舰、四艘052D导弹驱逐舰、三艘054A型导弹护卫舰、两艘电子侦查船、一艘海警船、两艘补给舰在内的十七艘水面舰艇组成的庞大航母战斗群,这还是在无法统计水下舰艇的情况下吨位就已经超过了20万吨
令和8年11月1日、中国海軍ルーヤンⅢ級ミサイル駆逐艦及びフユ級高速戦闘支援艦の計2隻が、沖縄本島と宮古島との間の海域を北西進し、東シナ海に向けて航行したことを確認しました。 また、11月2日、中国海軍ルーヤンⅢ級ミサイル駆逐艦及びフチ級補給艦の計2隻が、沖縄本島と宮古島との間の海域を南東進し、太平洋に向けて航行したことを確認しました。 防衛省・自衛隊は、海上自衛隊の第1航空群所属「P-1」(鹿屋)及び第5航空群所属「P-3C」(那覇)により、警戒監視・情報収集を行いました。
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垮怂夹肠何尝不是一种大饼卷肉
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日常解放军无人机溜自卫队有人机 你全年无休紧急发进的自卫队飞行员关我在恒温室里对着屏幕用手柄飞无人机的解放军什么事 你超龄缺备件美械老战机关我量产化超低价长航时无人机什么事
令和8年11月2日(月)午前から午後にかけて、中国軍の偵察型無人機(WZ-7)×1機が東シナ海から飛来し、沖縄本島と宮古島の間を通過して太平洋に至り、宮古島の南方沖から沖縄本島の南方沖にかけて飛行を行った後、再び沖縄本島と宮古島の間を通過して、大陸方面に向けて飛行したことを確認した。 また、同日午後、中国軍の偵察型無人機(WZ-7)×1機が東シナ海から飛来し、沖縄本島と宮古島の間を通過して太平洋に至り、宮古島の南方沖から沖縄本島の南方沖にかけて飛行を行った後、再び沖縄本島と宮古島の間を通過して、大陸方面に向けて飛行したことを確認した。 これらに対し、航空自衛隊の南西航空方面隊の戦闘機を緊急発進させ対応した。
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原来我国适龄00后结婚率才12%到18%啊
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好想来软广这一块
俄国训练帆船帕拉达号的水手在青岛街头喝多了
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有1990年苏联内味儿了
Ko smo se odločali za vstop v EU, si ni nihče predstavljal, da bo v kaki njeni članici in uniji nasploh mogoče brez posledic: 1. Razveljaviti predsedniške volitve (Romunija); 2. Ukiniti informativni program na nacionalni RTV (Madžarska); 3. Poslati policijo na Ustavno sodišče (Poljska); 4. Tri tedne pred volitvami poslati v zapor predsednika stranke, ki vodi v anketah (Slovenija); 5. Zasesti nacionalno RTV s policijo in zamenjati vodstvo (Poljska); 6. Prekiniti mandate vodstvu nacionalne RTV in izvesti čistko zaposlenih (Slovenija); 7. Poslati v zapor člane prejšnje vlade brez možnosti obrambe (Madžarska); 8. Podeliti skoraj milijon državljanstev ilegalnim migrantom po hitrem postopku (Španija); 9. Zapreti novo Nuklearno elektrarno in zgraditi plinovod do Rusije (Nemčija); 10. Obdavčiti ogljične energetske vire ob hkratnem zapiranju NE ter preseliti industrijo v države z nizkimi ekološkimi standardi pod pretvezo, da tako rešujemo planet. Nastala je EU, ki se mora reševati sama pred sabo.
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继续涮锅 #朴素一餐
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朋友错峰旅游,昨天回来给我带了一个小千的伴手礼 很有特色
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