The Fed decides on interest rates Wednesday. Traders are pricing a hold, with just a 9% chance of a hike. December is a different story. Futures are pricing an 80% chance of a hike by the Dec 9 meeting. ▫️ Hold: 90.6% ▫️ Hike: 9.4% ▫️ Cut: 0%

Price moves away from the average. Then it comes back. That's mean reversion. When an asset overextends in either direction, the probability of it returning to its average increases. Traders use this to identify entries when price is stretched too far from key levels like VWAP or a moving average. Overbought doesn't mean sell immediately. Oversold doesn't mean buy immediately. Mean reversion is about recognizing when the rubber band is stretched and positioning for the snap back. 🔥 Trade on sai.fun/

Brent looking comfortable around $117. No signs of backing off just yet. How’s everyone’s portfolio holding up?

Market news in 60 secs! Thursday was ugly. Nasdaq -2.6%, S&P 500 -1.2%, chips down nearly 7%. $META fell 7% on its AI spending bill. Brent oil ripped past $115. Gold slipped below $4,000. bitcoin:native dipped to $80.8K and held $80K. Plus @SpaceX's first profit and @AnthropicAI's Claude Duet launch. Make your move on Sai 🔥

JUST IN: Brent Oil is back above $115. Highest since May. Reports say the US and Israel may strike Iran after the midterms. Tehran has vowed to retaliate. Hormuz shipping attacks are already feeding in. Oil up. Tech down. 🔥 Trade XBR on sai.fun/perps/usd/XBR

JUST IN: Gold broke below $4,000. Did you trade the levels @stoplosswang called? ▫️ $3,959: 3-month support, the level holding this together ▫️ $3,942: price can deviate down to here. Below it, the range is broken ▫️ $3,859: monthly Classic S2, the next real support if $3,959 fails ▫️ $3,500: where she’s going all in on digital and physical gold 🔥 Trade XAU on sai.fun/perps/usd/XAU

Everyone is afraid China is about to dump $5B of Bitcoin. Here’s the backstory, and here are the facts. Qian Zhimin ran a Ponzi scheme in China from 2014 to 2017, raising about RMB 40B from 102,000 investors. She put part of it into BTC and fled to the UK. UK police seized roughly 61,900 BTC and she got 11 years and 8 months. What just happened... a Tianjin court accepted a bid to confiscate the coins, and a UK High Court ruled Chinese law decides whether victims actually own any of it. What did not happen...China doesn’t have the Bitcoin. The UK still holds it. No transfer order, sale date, or wallet movement yet. Tianjin’s case has a six-month notice window, and about 16,000 victims just got permission to appeal in the UK. It’s about 0.3% of supply. If these coins ever do get sold, it would likely be staged or OTC, not one big market dump. The real signal is a final disposal order followed by large transfers to exchanges. Until then, it’s a headline, not a trade.

Brent hits a 5-month high above $112. Nasdaq 100 futures are down ~1.6%. Saudi sites were hit, and the NYT reports US and Israeli plans for renewed Iran strikes after the midterms. Chips are bleeding as the market asks if the AI spend pays. Today is likely a down day. NFA. 🔥 Trade $QQQ and Brent oil on Sai.

$TSLA Q3 is out and the stock reversed lower during the call, but the bigger story is the merger talk. @elonmusk's two companies might become one. SpaceX is worth about $2T and @Tesla about $1.5T, so the combined company would be worth around $3.7T. It would be the biggest corporate merger of all time. Here's what it would mean. The most likely setup is @SpaceX buying Tesla in an all-stock deal, maybe with a small premium. So if you hold TSLA, you would end up holding SpaceX shares instead. Your Tesla stock gets swapped, not cashed out. Bloomberg reports an announcement is targeted for the first half of 2027. Tesla needs approval from 50% of all shares, and regulators could slow it down. Elon keeps control either way. The earnings: revenue $28.0B, a slight miss. EPS $0.48, a beat. Full-year capex cut to about $20B from $25B+. Market is pricing in the possibility, not the deal. 🔥 How will you trade TSLA on sai.fun/perps/usd/TSLA

$META Q3 earnings is out. Stock popped 4% after hours. The bull case is Muse, Meta’s AI agent. 10M+ setups in about 6 weeks, shopping is the top use case, avg purchase over $200. Zuck says it could eventually earn more per user than the apps. The bear case is the burn. Capex guided $135B to $145B for 2026. Free cash flow went negative for the first time since 2012. Now the stock split. Meta is creating a new class of non-voting stock and giving one new share to every holder for each share they own. So if you hold 100 shares, you wake up with 200. The price should roughly halve, so your total value doesn’t change on day one. The catch is that the new shares carry no vote. Zuck keeps full control, and Meta gets a stock it can use to raise money, make acquisitions and pay employees without diluting his power. Trading starts late January 2027. Market is giving him the benefit of the doubt for now. Headline operating income fell 37% because of a $9.9B charge from the August multi-state AG settlement. Ex that charge, operating income grew 11%. More youth-related trials are coming in the next few months. Not the last legal headline. 🔥 Trade META on sai.fun/perps/usd/META

JUST IN: @AnthropicAI just launched Claude Duet. Duet is a new app where Claude works as a proactive agent. We asked @stoplosswang how she’d use Duet for trading. Here’s her take: ▫️ Pre-market prep: It sends a morning brief across your connected apps. You know what’s on deck before you touch a chart. ▫️ Scanner: Give it your criteria, like relative volume, gap %, and ATR, and have it build a scanner that runs on a schedule. Your watchlist is waiting before the open. ▫️ After the close: Hand it your trade notes. It drafts the journal, tags the setups, and flags the repeat mistakes. Use voice to talk through your read on a trade. ▫️ Build in the background: P&L tracker, win rate by setup, position size calculator. ▫️ Tax set-aside: Have it track realized gains, split short-term and long-term, and keep a running estimate of what to put aside. Then send the numbers to your accountant to confirm. ▫️ What it won’t do: It can’t place trades or move money, even with your approval. It checks your apps every few hours, so scans work best pre-market or end of day, and you should keep your alerts for live action. 🔥 Join the waitlist: claude.com/product/claude-du…