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Manchester, England
Joined January 2024
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Round 11 preview — Serie A
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 Atalanta +25.1
🔸 Udinese +18.3
🔸 Cagliari +11.1
10 fixtures · 6 Nov – 8 Nov
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
Round 9 preview — Bundesliga
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 Eintracht Frankfurt +16.3
🔸 TSG Hoffenheim +16.0
🔸 Borussia Dortmund +9.3
9 fixtures · 6 Nov – 8 Nov
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
Round 12 preview — Eredivisie
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 PSV +20.8
🔸 Telstar +16.9
🔸 Sparta Rotterdam +16.4
9 fixtures · 6 Nov – 8 Nov
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
Which under-23 hits the target most in Serie A? David Romero, 2.13 per 90.
2. Alphadjo Cissè (AC Milan), 1.80
3. Nico Paz (Como), 1.64
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/384/…
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Athletic Club v Real Sociedad · La Liga
Sun 01 Nov, 20:00
Win chance: ATH 46% · Draw 27% · RSO 26%
Most likely score: 1-0
Full match preview: scoutingstats.ai/match/19732…
Atlético Madrid, 11 games in
2nd, 28 points (18.5 expected)
Full club hub: scoutingstats.ai/clubs/7980/…
Europa League round 4: the strongest trends.
Over 2.5 goals: Benfica v Lech Poznań, 19/20, best 1.38
Both teams to score: Benfica v Lech Poznań, 16/20, best 2.00
Team to score 2+: Benfica (v Lech Poznań), 14/20, best 1.20
18+. Not betting advice.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/team-trends…
Liverpool v Arsenal · Premier League
Sun 01 Nov, 16:30
Win chance: LIV 34% · Draw 27% · ARS 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Full match preview: scoutingstats.ai/match/19722…
Who has the most goals and assists in the Championship? Mathias Kvistgaarden, 1.41 per 90.
2. Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough), 1.15
3. Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough), 1.12
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/9/ch…
Sunday's value board — best price vs Pinnacle fair odds
Where the market is paying above the sharp price right now:
🔸 West Ham W (v Liverpool W) — 4.33 at bet365 (fair 25%, +7.6%)
🔸 Draw in Sukhothai v Ayutthaya United — 3.40 at Unibet (fair 32%, +7.6%)
🔸 Portuguesa (v Deportivo La Guaira) — 3.80 at Unibet (fair 28%, +7.1%)
12 qualifying lines across today's games. Minimum 5 books per line, Pinnacle as the benchmark.
Odds move. Not betting advice.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/value-bets?…
Best young strikers in the Belgian Pro League
1. Tresoldi, 2. Durosinmi, 3. Vermant
Full list: scoutingstats.ai/league/208/…
Championship round 14: the strongest trends.
Over 2.5 goals: Derby County v Norwich City, 14/20, best 1.71
Both teams to score: Blackburn Rovers v Stoke City, 13/20, best 1.80
18+. Not betting advice.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/team-trends…
Who wins the most headers in the Premier League? Igor Jesus, 5.60 per 90.
2. Dan Ballard (Sunderland), 5.20
3. Thierno Barry (Everton), 4.86
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/8/pr…
Champions League round 4: the strongest trends.
Over 2.5 goals: LASK v Slovan Bratislava, 15/20, best 1.46
Both teams to score: Villarreal v Paris Saint Germain, 16/20, best 1.44
Team to score 2+: Roma (v Manchester United), 14/20, best 2.00
18+. Not betting advice.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/team-trends…
Round 14 preview — Championship
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 Cardiff City +22.7
🔸 Bristol City +16.6
🔸 Millwall +15.5
12 fixtures · 3 Nov – 4 Nov
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
Villarreal, 11 games in
10th, 12 points (20.0 expected)
Full club hub: scoutingstats.ai/clubs/3477/…
AC Milan v Inter · Serie A
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45
Win chance: MIL 20% · Draw 21% · INT 59%
Most likely score: 1-2
Full match preview: scoutingstats.ai/match/19713…
FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30
Win chance: FCB 73% · Draw 15% · BVB 12%
Most likely score: 2-1
Full match preview: scoutingstats.ai/match/19735…
Which under-23 puts in the most crosses in La Liga? Arda Güler, 6.07 per 90.
2. Ilias Akhomach (Villarreal), 6.02
3. Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal), 4.70
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/564/…