Sebastian G. Gruber (@SebGGruber) profile picture

Postdoc in Uncertainty Quantification (Machine Learning)

Leuven
Joined June 2022
Photo by Sebastian G. Gruber (@SebGGruber)Photo by Sebastian G. Gruber (@SebGGruber)Photo by Sebastian G. Gruber (@SebGGruber)Photo by Sebastian G. Gruber (@SebGGruber)Photo by Sebastian G. Gruber (@SebGGruber)Photo by Sebastian G. Gruber (@SebGGruber)Photo by Sebastian G. Gruber (@SebGGruber)Photo by Sebastian G. Gruber (@SebGGruber)Photo by Sebastian G. Gruber (@SebGGruber)
28 years ago the bias-variance-covariance decomposition of the mean squared error was introduced. This week at @icmlconf, @BuettnerFlo and I will show that it also holds for kernel-based loss functions, which we use for image, audio, and language generation experiments...
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The decomposition represents a framework for understanding generative models' generalization performance and uncertainty. Specifically, we outperform other baselines of uncertainty in predicting the answer correctness of LLMs arxiv.org/abs/2310.05833
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Looking forward to any discussions about kernels, uncertainty, bias-variance decompositions, or my other research: calibration!! See you on Wed 24 Jul 11:30 a.m. CEST at Hall C 4-9
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Sebastian G. Gruber retweeted
Today at #AISTATS24 @SebGGruber, @dr_alex_tiulpin and I are presenting our work on “Consistent and Asymptotically Unbiased Estimation of Proper Calibration Errors”. You can find us from 15:00 to 17:00 @ MR1 #31 ☺️ Paper: proceedings.mlr.press/v238/p… Code: github.com/tpopordanoska/pro…
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Happy to announce our new paper “Uncertainty Estimates of Predictions via a General Bias-Variance Decomposition” which me and @BuettnerFlo present at #AISTATS 2023 in Valencia! 😊 arxiv.org/abs/2210.12256 It all started over two years ago during my master's thesis... 🧵(1/7)
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Since the generating function in classification is the LogSumExp function, the Bregman Information of neural network classifier samples requires only a single line of code in PyTorch. This way, we may even show it in introductory courses. 🧵(6/7)
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Of course, we also offer other contributions in our paper. We use the Bregman Information to - construct 95% confidence regions - proof when larger ensembles perform better - identify performance deteriorating Out-of-Domain test instances Code: github.com/MLO-lab/Uncertain… 🧵(7/7)
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Showcasing the positive impact of ensemble predictions for skin lesion classification under real-world settings at #RheinMainCancerRetreat
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My and @BuettnerFlo 's NeurIPS’22 paper is camera ready 🎉 “Better Uncertainty Calibration via Proper Scores for Classification and Beyond” arxiv.org/abs/2203.07835 🧵(1/n)
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We also generalize the sharpness-calibration decomposition of categorical proper scores to the functional case. Thus, we can derive “proper calibration errors” from proper scores, which can be used for a large variety of predictive settings beyond classification. 🧵(6/7)
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Sebastian G. Gruber retweeted
.@DKTK_-Forscher Florian Büttner @BuettnerFlo erhält @ERC_Research Consolidator Grant für die Entwicklung von #KI-Modellen, die Ärzte zuverlässig dabei unterstützen sollen, #Krebs zu diagnostizieren oder Therapieempfehlungen abzugeben 👏👏 @FCI_health ➡️ bit.ly/3DJxzzZ
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