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Inventing custom, predictive NFL analytics & visualized data @ https://xitter.cf/t.co/iKdUa4MUNo || read my 600-pg 2026 Football Preview book: https://xitter.cf/t.co/uCZc6CJ9Yy
Joined August 2009
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NEW Week 7 Prediction Show!
NFL best bets
NFL ref analysis & best ref bets
Props best bets
College Football best bets
📺: youtube.com/watch?v=ucdD94Uh…
featuring @LordReebs, @nflrefstats1 & more!
don't miss it
Warren Sharp retweeted
NEW Week 7 Prediction Show!
NFL best bets
NFL ref analysis & best ref bets
Props best bets
College Football best bets
📺: youtube.com/watch?v=ucdD94Uh…
featuring @LordReebs, @nflrefstats1 & more!
don't miss it
🤔🤔🤔
Zach Charbonnet (knee) update for Week 7, per @RapSheet:
"I would expect him to play, and play a lot."
Ja'Marr Chase's last 4 games vs Baltimore:
10-132-0
7-110-0
11-264-3
10-193-2
This season the Ravens have allowed:
Carnell Tate: 9-145-0
Drake London: 7-118-0
CeeDee Lamb: 7-112-0
sharpfootballanalysis.com/fa…
Atlanta blitzed at its 2 highest rates of the season the last 2 weeks (32% and 34%)
Brock Purdy when blitzed this season:
10.0 YPA (#1 in NFL)
7 TD, 1 INT
The Saints have allowed 12 touchdowns to running backs
#1 most in the NFL
They allow 4.8 yards per rush to RBs (#30)
Jaylen Warren last week:
74% of snaps
62% of backfield touches
82% of snaps in the 4th quarter and OT
sharpfootballanalysis.com/fa…
The Bengals' pass defense:
When getting pressure: 4.0 YPA allowed (#4)
When not getting pressure: 8.7 YPA allowed (#30)
Lamar Jackson from a clean pocket:
11.5 Y/A, #1 in the NFL
sharpfootballanalysis.com/fa…
The Dolphins allow a 77% completion rate
#1 highest in the NFL
On throws under 10 yards: 87 of 97 (90%)
90% completion rate!
#1 highest in the NFL
Geno Smith:
69% completions (#5)
0 INTs
10+ yard throws on just 24% of attempts (#31)
sharpfootballanalysis.com/fa…
Germie Bernard over the last 2 games:
21 targets
94% and 100% route rates
30% and 27% target shares
He's lined up in the slot on 56% and 62% of his snaps
The Saints allow 8.8 yards per target to slot WRs (#21)
Michael Penix when pressured:
31% completions
22% sack rate
When kept clean:
78% completions
9.3 Y/A
5 TD, 0 INT
The 49ers' pressure rate the last 2 weeks:
51% and 46%
both #3 in the NFL
Kyler Murray vs man coverage this season:
35.3 passer rating (lowest in NFL)
5.5 YPA
0 TD, 2 INT
He's seen man on just 13% of dropbacks
The Colts play man 28% of the time
#5 most in the NFL
The Giants rank last in the NFL in pressure rate (26%)
C.J. Stroud with a clean pocket:
8.7 Y/A (#7)
12.4 yards per completion (#3)
New York has resorted to going blitz-happy to get a pass rush:
58% blitz rate the last two weeks
#2 highest % in the NFL
Stroud vs the blitz: 67% (#7) and 7.8 YPA (#12)
The Vikings have allowed 1 TD pass since Week 1
ONE!
Opponents vs Minnesota:
53% completion rate (#1)
1.9% TD rate (#1)
Next up: a Colts offense ranked #29 in passing EPA
sharpfootballanalysis.com/fa…
The Falcons allow 5.8 YPC on inside zone runs to RBs
Christian McCaffrey runs inside zone on 23% of his carries
Last season vs Atlanta:
24 carries, 129 yards, 2 TDs
7 catches, 72 yards
Last Monday night:
25 touches, 117 yards, 2 TDs
sharpfootballanalysis.com/fa…
The Giants allow 4.8 YPC to running backs (#29)
They just gave up 178 total yards and a TD to the Saints backfield
Woody Marks last week:
78% of snaps
71% of backfield touches
21 routes
His backup RB just went on IR
sharpfootballanalysis.com/fa…
The Browns have played man coverage 45% of the time over the last 5 weeks
#1 most in the NFL
Cam Ward vs man coverage this season: 4.5 YPA (#29)
Ward has been held to 5.0 Y/A or less in 4 of 6 games
sharpfootballanalysis.com/fa…
the matchups that WILL decide Week 7's biggest games:
📺: youtube.com/watch?v=Q7d53eoM…
- Kenneth Walker REVENGE game
- Darnold vs Spags
- Gannon's defense vs Lions
- ATL vs SF (Shanahan + Morris revenge)
- Cincy run D vs Ravens
plus other key matchup notes for Week 7
@LordReebs & I break it all down

