Shea Balish (@SheaBalish) header
Shea Balish (@SheaBalish) profile picture

Once introduced as “defender of the null hypothesis”. Founder. PhD in Evo Psych. Writing: @deepdebates

Toronto
Joined October 2010
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Those studying AGI refuse to consider that the mind evolved to be highly specialized with massive ‘domain-specific’ innate circuitry. They refuse because they think evolved specialization is antithetical to GENERAL intelligence. In fact, this highly specialized circuitry is precisely what enables general intelligence. It’s counterintuitive, but computational constraints enable general (broad) problem solving.
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It turns out you need to hire politicians that bring in the woke environmental politics that in turn give the sales ppl the moral high ground to replace paper with a worse, but environmentally friendly product.
I want to hire the salesperson who was able to sell those air hand dryers at the airport.
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Shea Balish retweeted
if you ever happen to find yourself shitting in your own car because you are mad at elon musk about politics consider for a moment you may be mentally ill
Scott Galloway says he owned a Tesla, but sold it because of Elon. "Not before taking a giant dump in the passenger seat. True story." He's gone from suggesting Elon be executed to telling stories of taking dumps in a car he owned because it was made by Elon's company. This is a broken, deranged and utterly toxic individual.
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The bitter lesson prompted the scaling fallacy
it's hilarious how many have taken the bitter lesson to mean just scaling up transformers. it's about scaling, but innovations in algorithmic primitives can lead to much more efficient scaling
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Shea Balish retweeted
it's hilarious how many have taken the bitter lesson to mean just scaling up transformers. it's about scaling, but innovations in algorithmic primitives can lead to much more efficient scaling
Brute force computation is not enough for intelligence. Clever new methods are needed. The science of AI is far from finished. IMHO
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The bitterest lesson eventually won out.
Brute force computation is not enough for intelligence. Clever new methods are needed. The science of AI is far from finished. IMHO
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Shea Balish retweeted
Data scaling and compute scaling are *multipliers* for the generalization power of an approach. Trillions of dollars in investment can make very inefficient, low-generalization approaches look adequate, but that doesn't make them the ultimate end-all-be-all of AI. You should work on methods that *can* scale, because if you don't benefit from this multiplier you simply can't compete. But you should keep in mind scaling is only a multiplier: a cleverer approach will scale *better*.
Brute force computation is not enough for intelligence. Clever new methods are needed. The science of AI is far from finished. IMHO
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Shea Balish retweeted
News flash: Rich Sutton no longer believes in the bitter lesson.
Brute force computation is not enough for intelligence. Clever new methods are needed. The science of AI is far from finished. IMHO
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Shea Balish retweeted
Great talk from Ken on how to understand and measure open-ended systems
ARC Prize Research Summit - @kenneth0stanley On why open-endedness, invention, discovery are essential to AGI, but designing a benchmark for them creates difficult problems.
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Must watch for anyone interested in measuring open endedness or Alife
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Shea Balish retweeted
Final form is reasoning in the weights, knowledge outside, in space, via solar, distributed training, continually learns, and aligned
Prediction: smaller models will start outperforming bigger models
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Shea Balish retweeted
"AI is just matrix multiplication" is the new "emotions are just chemicals in the brain"
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What if there is no hard problem? @Plinz
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Kings court. Winners stay. Run it back.
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Wisdom, understood as a deeply contextual and pragmatic awareness of human nature, requires more than brute-force gradient descent of natural language.
Replying to @RuxandraTeslo
I find AI to be extremely knowledgeable, and so exceptionally able to detect references to almost anything, but not very wise, and so it only makes the most surface-level judgements about what point some writing is making. This is particularly true when it's analyzing writing that it just read for the first time, as opposed to analyzing writing that's already in its training data (along with lots of analysis of that writing by other people) AI's knowledgeableness is easier to see than its limited wisdom; it's perhaps even the very definition of wisdom that it cannot be easily verified (as opposed to intelligence).
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No, signalling theory is a deep explanatory theory of how natural selection uses information to navigate a messy, mostly competitive world.
Signalling theory is just autistic people discovering from mathematical models how normal society functions
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In 2022, I asked @WillManidis at @hereticon what he thinks of @nachkari: Will said he’s likely to go down as one of the best investors ever. True story.
BREAKING: @WillManidis releases The Commanding Heights
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Shea Balish retweeted
I'm far less concerned about a world ruled by today's Chinese than I was about a world ruled by the old USSR. So I'm far less invested in conflict w/ China today than I was in the old cold war.
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When a phone rings at a funeral, people don't just silence it. They make a show of turning it off. That performance is embarrassment (Feel #53) at work: telling the room the rule was broken by accident. @ChrisWillx and I got into this on Modern Wisdom. Out now: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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Shea Balish retweeted
Effective altruism is effectively autism.
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