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BRAD 3 in a 70.5 total 2/3 at home first home game in the pac 12 okay wilison by himself back there Seahawks get the win Wilson get the rushing again 29th ranked rush defense let’s ride! #cfb #collegefootball
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🏒 Connor McDavid vs Darcy Kuemper 🚨
🎯 Anytime Goal Scorer Breakdown
Using 2026-27 Season Stats 📊
McDavid has a favorable matchup in 2 of his 6 most-used shooting zones, with the SLOT presenting the biggest advantage against Kuemper.
🎯 SLOT (High Danger)
• Accounts for 24% of McDavid's shots
• McDavid: 0.2 SOG/G (Avg Forward: 0.2)
• Kuemper SV%: .600
• League Average: .806
• .206 BELOW league average!
That's a 40% historical goal rate allowed from this location compared to the 19.4% league baseline.
🎯 INSIDE RIGHT CIRCLE (Medium Danger)
• Accounts for 6% of McDavid's shots
• Kuemper SV% .043 below league average.
📊 MCDAVID'S SHOT PRODUCTION
L5 Games:
• 0.8 High-Danger SOG/G (Avg 0.6)
• 0.8 Medium-Danger SOG/G (Avg 0.4)
• 0.8 Low-Danger SOG/G (Avg 0.7)
McDavid is generating DOUBLE the average forward's medium-danger shot production while remaining above average in high-danger opportunities.
📊 LOS ANGELES DEFENSE VS CENTERS
Using 2026-27 Season Stats:
• 1.0 Goals Allowed/G — #9 Most
• 8.3 Shots Allowed/G — #2 Most
• 12.1% Shooting Percentage Allowed — #6
• 3.0 Points Allowed/G — #5 Most
POWER PLAY VS CENTERS:
• 0.5 Goals Allowed/G — #5 Most
• 2.0 Shots Allowed/G — #5 Most
EVEN STRENGTH VS CENTERS:
• 0.5 Goals Allowed/G — #17
• 6.3 Shots Allowed/G — #7 Most
👀 THE ANGLE
What stands out is how McDavid's shot distribution overlaps with Kuemper's vulnerabilities.
24% of McDavid's shots are coming from the Slot, where Kuemper has recorded just a .600 SV% in the available sample.
Meanwhile, LA is allowing the second-most shots to opposing centers, with a 12.1% shooting percentage allowed.
The power-play numbers add another layer, with LA ranking 5th in both goals and shots allowed to centers.
We're combining THREE layers of research:
1️⃣ McDavid's recent shooting locations
2️⃣ Kuemper's save percentage by zone
3️⃣ LA's defensive production allowed to centers
A favorable high-danger shooting location combined with a defense allowing significant shot volume to McDavid's position. 🎯🏒
📊 Data provided by @PropFinderApp
