Physics undergraduate @ucrcnas. Primarily available on bluer skies @alejandroturnbull.space

Joined May 2024
Everyone is posting about "how on earth will they sell this roadster with the thrusters" and the very simple answer is they will not "invite only" translation: "we will build five of them and you will never see one"
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Alejandro Turnbull retweeted
The next breakthrough in Mars exploration could be closer than you think. Building on our heritage with @NASA's InSight and OSIRIS-REx missions, we've developed a streamlined, cost-effective concept to return Perseverance's Martian samples to Earth for scientific study.

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Hey @0xSigil real icky astroturfing job you're doing over on IG to promote your repackage of Qwen3.8 27B by pretending it somehow doesn't need data centers!
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Those four accounts have posted over EIGHTY reels in the last two weeks, all repeating the exact same data center water use crap. That looks super natural and like organic, grassroots support!
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also real funny how they're all trying to position you and your company as somehow anti-big tech when you brag on here about being a literal Thiel fellow and your startup is backed in part by Anthropic. Or sorry, Anthrowpic, as one of your fake influencers pronounces it.
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So for my sporadic return to this website: this weekend's project has been getting @typesafeai's Jev to play Age of Empires III. Behold: Jev (in an enormous Python harness courtesy of Claude) defeating the in-game AI on Easy difficulty.
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The Python is really driving most everything else: building order and placement, attack timing, etc. But that's exactly why I find a model like this exciting: now, you can cheaply import some measure of actual intelligence into regular code.
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So in summary: do I think this is The Approach to AGI? No. But this is an interesting capability and I'm excited to see more serious projects do more interesting things with it.
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Here's a thought: since we can apparently "just do things" under this administration, how about we "just" use the MMRTG reserved for an outer planets mission to, I don't know, do that, instead of this weird half-baked scheme to retrofit a ground test article?
Launch and landing costs are a reality for any mission, so setting those aside, if PROMISE costs even 20% of your low-end estimate, we simply will not fly it. That said, it would be crazy not to take advantage of hardware taxpayers have already invested hundreds of millions of dollars in, along with Pu-238 that continues to decay and lose roughly 2% of its potential each year. More than a decade has gone by. How much of this Pu-238 do you want to waste waiting for a mission that does not even exist? I understand the community sometimes likes to take a long time to reach consensus, but under this Administration, we can just do things and put wins on the board for the Moon Base and all the science and discovery it will enable. In my humble opinion, less debate and more frequent wins make it easier to advocate for more resources to do more science.
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An Administrator and Administration that actually wants to cut through bureaucracy to deliver real science wins for the American people would take the existing MMRTG and use it for a mission concept that's already reasonably mature. That design is Uranus Orbiter and Probe.
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Canning a mission with the potential to redefine our understanding of our solar system and burning its RTG on a bizarre retrofit of a ground test article in service of Moon Base silliness is not innovation. It's desperation for short-term gains that will cost us in the long run.
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Poking my head back out on here with some thoughts on this because @DKokotajlo might actually read it. As per usual with stuff from him and AI Futures Project, I'm struck by a mix of skepticism and existential dread.
In AI 2027, we predicted that AI would take over the world or irreversibly concentrate power. In AI 2040: Plan A, we've laid out our positive vision for what should happen instead.
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Writing up a detailed plan for how to govern a universe where that's possible while just kind of offloading the "how" of that ask onto ASI strikes me as being kind of like these memes:
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I think the physical practicalities of space resource extraction, exploitation, and in-space expansion merit more serious consideration than this scenario affords them. Maybe it's failure of the imagination on my part, but I struggle most to see how ASI solves those questions.
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Tonight's @Starlink Falcon 9 launch over SoCal, with Venus
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