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Mitchell Johnson

@SportsWithMitch

| Seattle sports, Portland Trail Blazers, Washington State FB, Gonzaga BB, tennis, golf tweeter | Former Sports Writer |

 Kent, WA
sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
Joined June 2011
  • Tweets38.7K
  • Following562
  • Followers550
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Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)
New write-up: Why I moved my Tennis Total Games Projection model from EV to a tier structure — and how it led to stronger long-term results. sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Refining a Data-Driven Tennis Totals Model: Why Tiered Betting Outperformed EV

Refining a Data-Driven Tennis Totals Model: Why Tiered Betting Outperformed EV

The original betting strategy I finalized back in November and used to begin 2026 was based on expected return per unit (EV) to identify Best Bets. At the time, I split it into separate categories …

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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🎾 Sunday’s tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Nov. 1

Tennis Picks | Nov. 1

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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🎾 Saturday’s tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 31

Tennis Picks | Oct. 31

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. WTA — Hong Kong (Q1) Al…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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🎾 Friday's tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 30

Tennis Picks | Oct. 30

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

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Rune’s return game could be the key to this ATP Basel quarterfinal 👀 The model has Rune/Vacherot at 22.81 games vs. a 25.0 line, with Vacherot’s second serve providing an interesting matchup. Full breakdown 👆🏻
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Unless Andreescu-Zidansek/Herrero Linana produces a pick, the Rune-Vacherot match will be the only one
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🎾 Thursday's tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 29

Tennis Picks | Oct. 29

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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Updated with the rest of 10/29
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These flop calls are ridiculous though
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Dame Time
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Where tf was the flop???? #Blazers
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🎾 Wednesday's tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 28

Tennis Picks | Oct. 28

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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🎾 Tuesday's tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 27

Tennis Picks | Oct. 27

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

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Updated with a few more matches
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That was the cringiest Monday Night Football pregame segment ever
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Mitchell Johnson retweeted
SūmerSports (@SumerSports) profile picture
SūmerSports
@SumerSportsOct 26
The Chiefs did not reach the red zone or the end zone against Seattle. Since 2016, that's happened to teams 56 times. It had never happened to a Patrick Mahomes-led team before tonight.
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🎾 Sunday’s tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 25

Tennis Picks | Oct. 25

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

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More matches added for Sunday
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🎾 Saturday's tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 24

Tennis Picks | Oct. 24

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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Added a couple ATP matches
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No tennis picks for 10/23 #ATP #WTA
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