We focus on cross-cutting policy issues & regions. Through independent research, policy analysis & dialogue, the IMS builds understanding of the region’s state.
Joined February 2026
- Tweets26
- Following75
- Followers151
- Likes3
Does climate stress produce conflict directly, or does it operate primarily through existing political fragilities — meaning that climate adaptation and conflict prevention should be treated as the same policy challenge? #ClimateConflict #MENA #ResearchDebate
Lebanon hosts ~1.5 million refugees, the highest per-capita refugee burden of any country globally, against a collapsed economy & fragmented state. The international burden-sharing architecture for displacement hasn't adapted to contexts where host states are themselves in crisis
Which better predicts long-term stability in the MENA context: institutional capacity, popular legitimacy, or the coherence of elite bargains? We'd genuinely like to hear how researchers are weighting these variables. #StateLegitimacy #MENA #PoliticalScience
The record of externally imposed political transitions in the Arab world (Iraq 2003, Libya 2011, attempted in Syria) suggests they consistently underestimate the costs of institutional collapse & overestimate the pace of institutional reconstruction #MENAPolicy #Peacebuilding
FDI inflows into the MENA region declined by 18% between 2022 and 2024, against a global FDI recovery trend. The leading deterrent cited by investors is not geopolitical conflict — it is regulatory opacity and contract enforcement uncertainty. #FDI #MENA #InvestmentClimate
17 of the world's 25 most water-stressed countries are in the MENA region. By 2050, the Arab world will face demand increases of 25–30% driven by population growth and agricultural expansion. #WaterSecurity #MENA
Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) retweeted
Global military expenditure increased to $2887 billion in 2025, the 11th year of consecutive rises, bringing the global military burden—military expenditure as a share of gross domestic product (GDP)—to 2.5%, its highest level since 2009.
Press release ➡️ bit.ly/3QWVcOW
Key developments ➡️ bit.ly/48ZAEeX
#MilitarySpending #DefenceBudget #GlobalSecurity #Geopolitics #NATO #MilitarySpending #WorldEconomy #Peace #DataDriven #GDAMS #GDAMS2026 @UN_Disarmament @INakamitsu @DemilitarizeDay
ACLED data for 26 records 4,200+ conflict-related civilian fatality across the MENA region — concentrated in Sudan, Yemen, Gaza, & eastern Libya. 70% of recorded events occur in fewer than 15% of the region's conflict-affected localities. Source: @ACLEDinfo #MENAConflict
Syria’s post‑conflict energy crisis is not just a technical problem; it is a political one. Who supplies electricity and fuel today will shape alliances, influence, and governance models for decades to come. #MENAStability #Syria
Sustainable growth requires reform, transparent fiscal management, & institutional accountability. Without structural correction, debt pressures risk becoming systemic crises. Is pre-emptive restructuring feasible in high-debt MENA states, or will reform only occur under crisis?
Climate stability and fiscal stability are interlinked. Reforming financial architecture is foundational to regional resilience, particularly in highly indebted and climate-exposed states. #ClimateFinance #Adaptation #DebtSustainability #MENAInstitute
A sustainable path forward requires transparent reconstruction frameworks & cooperative regional energy systems that prioritize Syrian sovereignty. Should Syria’s energy future be anchored in regional integration, domestic renewables, or?
#Syria #EnergySecurity #MENAStability
Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) retweeted
Turns out "you can't export your oil, but Iran can" is not going over well with American allies, who could have predicted
EXCLUSIVE: Mideast Gulf oil producers are urging the US to address the disruption to oil flows through the strait of Hormuz "straight on", warning that interim measures such as tapping into Iran's so-called "oil-on-water" risk strengthening Tehran's position while leaving regional producers exposed, senior Gulf officials have told @ArgusMedia. #oott
🔗: argusmedia.com/en/news-and-i…
Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) retweeted
Sudan army denies deadly Eid strike on key hospital in Darfur bbc.in/4lN0g47
Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) retweeted
Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted, with only a handful of Iran-linked vessels transiting the chokepoint as it enters a fourth week of effective closure bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) retweeted
.@NicoleGrajewski and Ankit Panda explain the failure of Iran’s deterrent—and consider what Tehran’s nuclear future could look like:
foreignaffairs.com/iran/stun…
A path forward requires transparent reconstruction frameworks & cooperative regional energy systems that prioritize #Syrian sovereignty. Should Syria’s energy future be anchored in regional integration, domestic renewables, or a hybrid model? #IMS #MenaStability #InstituteforMENA
Durable sovereignty requires institutional resilience rather than personality-driven politics. What concrete reforms would meaningfully strengthen #Iraq’s sovereignty in practice, not just in rhetoric?
#Sovereignty #RegionalSecurity #USIran #GovernanceReform #MiddleEastPolitics
Long-term stability will require transparent governance structures, credible elections, and reintegration of marginalized constituencies. Without that, consolidation risks remaining high. Can #Libya achieve stability?
#NorthAfrica #PostConflict #GovernanceReform #MENAStability
Colonialism/imperialism never required an army to be effective. If you take a quick look at history's most durable forms of control, the ones that outlasted flags or occupation forces, they all work through a combination of culture, faith, & dependency.
menastability.org/middle-eas…