Super #Altcoin Trader 💎📈. Always trader, often sharing, sometimes animal 🐱🐶 lover & environmentalist 🌲
Joined February 2011
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Historically, these bitcoin dips after the halving can lead to easy profits when you buy in the “danger zone” 😎.
#BTC
The Bitcoin "Danger Zone"
The Bitcoin Pre-Halving "Danger Zone" (orange) is where historical Pre-Halving Retraces have begun
Historically, Bitcoin has performed Pre-Halving Retraces 14-28 days before the Halving
This cycle was no different and here's why:
Because Bitcoin experienced its first -18% Pre-Halving Retrace approximately 30 days before the Halving
History repeated in that respect
In fact, in 2016 Bitcoin began its Pre-Halving Retrace 28 days before the Halving and in 2024 it was 30 days before the Halving
This 2024 closely mirrored the 2016 in this respect
Which is why it is perhaps worth looking at a possible Post-Halving "Danger Zone" (purple)
The Post-Halving "Danger Zone"
In 2016, Bitcoin produced a long -11% downside wick approximately 21 days after the Halving before reversing towards the upside
Bitcoin is currently 6 days after the Halving
But 2016 history suggests that if downside volatility around the Re-Accumulation Range Low (green horizontal level) is going to occur in this cycle...
It could occur over the next coming 15 days (i.e. purple "Danger Zone")
The purple Post-Halving "Danger Zone" ends in 15 days but 2016 history suggests that in the meantime downside volatility at the $60600 Range Low is a possibility
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
The 20% vs 53% $BTC drawdown from July 2023 on a 30-day entities-in-profit RSI cross sits inside a post-bear bull. Holding never took a cycle loss in that window, and the cross itself fires after more coins are already green.
xitter.cf/glassnode/status/21150…
Our backtesting engine found this bitcoin:native rule.
It buys when the 30-day RSI of entities in profit crosses above its threshold.
Since July 2023, its worst drawdown was 20%, against 53% for holding.
Discover your own strategy 👇
glassno.de/alphalab
Minimum holding time at thePropTrade is 120 seconds.
Honest question: how many of your trades from last week would have survived that rule?
Question for anyone running automation: do you use an EA on a funded account?
thePropTrade allows EAs, but third-party ones producing identical trade behaviour across accounts count as coordinated trading, which is prohibited.
The tool everyone else bought is the risky part.
thePropTrade expects a funded account to run the same core strategy that passed the evaluation. Minor refinements are fine, a different approach is not.
Question: did the strategy really stay the same after funding, or did position size quietly creep up?
thePropTrade breaches an account that goes 30 calendar days without a single trade. Funded accounts included.
Honest question: have you ever opened a position you did not actually want, just to keep an account alive?
Monday brings data again. Question for anyone on a funded account: do you trade the release, or sit out the first few minutes?
thePropTrade keeps news-trading restrictions on every program, so part of that answer is not yours to make.
Honest question for anyone on a funded account: do you ever hold back a winning day on purpose to keep a consistency score in range?
At thePropTrade the payout gate is a TPT Score of 30% or lower, which one huge day can break.
The Turkish policy rate is now 36% after a 100 basis-point cut. That was the sixth reduction in this easing cycle.
A trading journal is useful only when it records the reason for the trade.
The rule page can tell you what is allowed; your own log tells you which rule you keep testing in practice.
Q: Does a TPT Score above 30% breach a PayFlex funded account?
A: No. It blocks payout requests; trading can continue. Purchases before Sep 26, 2026 keep the old 25% threshold.
Payout eligibility and account breach are different.
On Oct. 21 the Nikkei 225 opened 744.29 points higher, up 1.16% at 64819.71. South Korea’s KOSPI opened 101.87 points higher, up 1.83% at 5654.61, with SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics up about 3%.
After your first payout at thePropTrade, your max drawdown locks to your starting balance. Take the whole profit out and you are sitting right on the line.
Do you withdraw everything anyway, or leave a buffer?
A $150 Tesla tick purchase came back plus 13 percent, and that test is not finished. One hundred gigabytes of other data cost zero dollars and needed no API key. Paid ticks sit where almost nobody looks, which is why that spend happened.
3 ways to get in trouble at thePropTrade without losing a trade:
1. Copying signal groups or another prop firm. Account closed.
2. Running a bot you bought or rented. Can get you suspended or terminated.
3. Trading 5 min either side of big news on what it moves. Profit removed.
Funded traders, honest question: do you hold trades over the weekend, or close everything on Friday?
(thePropTrade allows weekend holds on every account, no swap fees.)
A claimed $526,454 from Tori Trades sits on a boring trend line strategy. The check described is three AI agents applying her exact rules in a backtest across multiple data sources. Those backtest numbers are not listed here.
