Syncopated Politics @syncpol.bsky.social

I have sworn upon the altar of God, eternal hostility against every form of tyranny over the mind of man. —Jefferson, Letter to Benjamin Rush, September 23, 1800 Who writes this stuff? Thomas Jefferson on the Midterms Jefferson The Incomprehensible disq.us/t/5apb0px

Nice to see @3QD expanding its reach, as it is a place for interesting subjects, a smart and engaged audience that offers feedback, and some very good essays. Pleased to be among those who write for it. From July. 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…

Planning an all-night vigil? @kkondik @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Tight but discernible edge to Dems as 16 House races move in their direction, Tighter Senate: TX + ME could be deciders. Hobbes gains in AZ Gov, Scott ebbs a bit in VT centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

The sun rises, political analysts continue to adjust the sails for prevailing winds. @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics A bit more Blue in AL+OK, Whitmer strengthens in MI. Will Vivek's late scalding tactics put him in OH, or keep him out? centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

Battleship Trump (GOP Congressional Division) could be leaking. From @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Democratic "leans" now 223, tossups 12. Continued erosion for GOP, historically safe R CDs may be on horizon for D's, But..one never knows. centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

Nail-biters, or just smaller GOP margins? @kkondik and @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics "GOP needs 4 of these five Toss-ups (KS, IA, ME, OH, TX. But, my favorite line "We are ultimately skeptical of a D winning a Senate race in Kansas, centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

A favorite Lincoln quote: "Has it [popular sovereignty] not got down as thin as the homeopathic soup that was made by boiling the shadow of a pigeon that had starved to death?"

What do we think about when we consider Jefferson? Poet Laureate of Independence? Does the dissonance between his public and private acts diminish the call to liberty? Does civic virtue wash the imperfections? For @3QD Jefferson The Incomprehensible disq.us/t/5apb0px

4 new cracks in dam for GOP. @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Different framing: "Could this finally be year that presidential party is shut out completely from districts that the other party carried for president?" FL+25+22, NE-2 and WI-1 centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

Insightful from @SangerNYT and @nytmike Trump and team will bluster, but they walked into this one. Edifice building is not a model for important serious issues. nytimes.com/2026/10/07/us/po…

How do you feel about uncertainty/intrigue? @kkondik and @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics 4 rating changes (3 to Blue) topped by AK Senate+ Gov race. On for intrigue's sake, could GOP win OR Gov? On wild side, could Graham lose SC? centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

DOJ to reexamine Nixon's resignation to look for...what? Are we really going to whitewash Watergate? Apparently. 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…

Election Day is just 5 weeks away (perhaps) and drift continues to be from Red to Blue. @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics 11 more House races move, and two Gov races (NE & VT) Is this an iceberg calfing or just narrower GOP victories? centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

To my friends at @nyrr who have tirelessly promoted running (as I have aged), and the @CentralParkNYC a few appreciative words 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…

9/28/48, Harry Truman's train stops in San Antonio. "I am the servant of the people of the United States. They are not my servants. I can’t order you around, or send you to labor camps, or have your heads cut off if you don’t agree with me." For @3QD 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…

On back stretch with @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics and Blue Movement continues. Marquee MI-Senate race leans D, 4 tossups surprise IA Senate, NV Gov, OH Gov, and 2 eye-opening Leans R---Abbott and DeSantis. No chicken counting, please. centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

Thomas Jefferson and Sally Hemings are back. The great qualifier to Jefferson's heroic standing remains Hemings, but that's probably wrong. It should be Jefferson's approach to the Peculiar Institution: against it, but unwilling to act on his objections. 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…

Title says it well. From @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics (Possible money line: "Those waiting for a Republican recovery in the polls will have to keep waiting, and the wait may be for Godot.") 8 ratings changes, including a few eyebrow-raisers centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

Disciplined @henryolsenEPPC piece on Senate polls with (very tempered) justification for slight Democratic optimism. Includes shout-out to @gelliottmorris washingtonpost.com/opinions/…

In what could be excruciatingly close House election GOP loss in Missouri map case (likely saving Cleaver) and other secular factors narrow net GOP advantage from Redistricting. @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Probabilities, not certainties. centerforpolitics.org/crysta…