Creator of The Many Rantings of John, a blog about classic film, past Oscar races, & elections analysis. Frequently distracted by cute boys-fully vaxxed. He/Him
Minneapolis, MN
Joined March 2015
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It's back!!!! In 2026, we are returning with a 7th season of Saturdays with the Stars, this season celebrating the men & women who jump off buildings, fight the villains, and save the day. Time for Lights, Camera, ACTION: theworldofjot29.blogspot.com…
Alaskans truly can't afford groceries or gas (like genuinely can't afford them), but sure-a complicated story in an East Coast paper that implicates a now fired staffer in a scheme Republicans have also pulled (and most voters haven't heard) is going to take it off the table.
If we're actually in a situation where Dems are losing Louisiana by single digits (for the record, I do not think we are...this feels like R's pushing Trump on a safe race to keep him away from real ones) Tuesday will get weird. People will win no one will have heard of.
President Trump says he and Speaker Mike Johnson will do an election eve telerally for Rep. Julia Letlow, who is running for Senate in deep red LOUISIANA
Johnson is close with Letlow. Senior Rs think Letlow will win, but likely with single digits. They’ve been racing to shore up a string of deep-red Senate seats.
Headed into Tuesday, there appears to be four big races where Dems are underdogs (TX-Gov, KS-Gov, SC-Sen, & IA-Sen specifically) but not by a big enough margin that a polling error underestimating Dems wouldn't make up for it.
We are officially kicking off my 2026 election night guide, with predictions in all Senate/Gov/House seats. We start with the "A" states, including the critical AK Gov/Sen elections, as well as 2 flip opps in AZ & an endangered Dem incumbent in Alabama: theworldofjot29.blogspot.com…
We are continuing our election night guide with CA through HI, including a huge governor's race in Georgia, and a host of competitive House seats in California, Florida & Colorado. All my predictions here: theworldofjot29.blogspot.com…
Today we're looking at Idaho to Louisiana, including the key Gov/Senate races in Iowa & Kansas, the trio of flippable Iowa House races, the strangely competitive KY-6 & Indiana SoS races: theworldofjot29.blogspot.com…
Between the NYT polls showing MN a blowout and SC a nailbiter, and these four polls that (if right) would collectively give the Dems the Senate with likely change to spare...the few major polls coming at the last minute are pushing that wave toward a tsunami.
New Senate Polls From CNN
Kansas:
🟦Adam Hamilton 49%
🟥Roger Marshall 45%
Maine:
🟦Troy Jackson 49%
🟥Susan Collins 45%
Michigan:
🟦Abdul El-Sayed 49%
🟥Mike Rogers 42%
Texas:
🟦James Talarico 49%
🟥Ken Paxton 43%
10/20-10/27
Link: cnn.com/2026/10/29/politics/…
Yes, yes to all please.
New Senate Polls From CNN
Kansas:
🟦Adam Hamilton 49%
🟥Roger Marshall 45%
Maine:
🟦Troy Jackson 49%
🟥Susan Collins 45%
Michigan:
🟦Abdul El-Sayed 49%
🟥Mike Rogers 42%
Texas:
🟦James Talarico 49%
🟥Ken Paxton 43%
10/20-10/27
Link: cnn.com/2026/10/29/politics/…
One of two things is happening:
1) Either Trump is so toxic but unwilling to stop rallying and this was the only safe place to put him
2) Louisiana, with virtually no pundit considering the race competitive, is somehow vulnerable (in which case watch SC/MS)
President Trump says he and Speaker Mike Johnson will do an election eve telerally for Rep. Julia Letlow, who is running for Senate in deep red LOUISIANA
Johnson is close with Letlow. Senior Rs think Letlow will win, but likely with single digits. They’ve been racing to shore up a string of deep-red Senate seats.
John T retweeted
imagine explaining this tweet to someone in 2011, the year Hochul was first elected to Congress and Minaj was a superstar on the ride following the release of “Pink Friday” (2010)
Best case scenario is that Bankhead's support collapses with little fanfare, while R's continue to support Bodnar in decent numbers (and no one notices).
Essentially the only way Bodnar wins here is if no one thinks he can actually win...sort of the Jesse Ventura in 1998 path.
Montana Senate:
⚪️ Bodnar 39% (+1)
🔴 Alme 38%
🔵 Bankhead 10%
🟡 Austin 2%
Undecided 11%
Concord Public Opinion Partners/@DFER_News 🔵 400 LV, 10/22-23
Nah...Meryl winning for Sophie's Choice is one of those wins that no amount of precursors or previous Oscars is going to stop. It's like Day-Lewis in Lincoln...all who came to beat it shall be vanquished.
Saying "I haven't heard of someone, so they must not be famous" is one of those traps that 99% of the time you're telling on yourself more than the culture.
Cassavetes is incredibly famous & influential. Not having heard of him means you're not a big cinephile. Period.
OK, I'll bite. If John Cassavetes is so insanely influential and brilliant, why have I not heard about him until recently?
I've been on a side-quest with classic and esoteric movies, mostly through the Criterion collection. I've watched dozens of Criterion closet picks from filmmakers and actors I admire.
They pick Cassavetes films ALL THE TIME. Probably more than any other director except Scorsese. I haven't seen a single Cassavetes film. I don't think I've ever heard anyone talk about a Cassavetes film outside of those videos.
I'm not a slouch on film, I've got a pretty wide spread on what I've seen & what I appreciate. How has Cassavetes slipped through that net so completely for so long?
It'd probably be a House candidate who had to run right for years to avoid a primary in a gerrymandered seat...making it harder for him to win statewide.
If she loses this is 100% on Trump in a way no Senate loss would be. He begged for Graham to be the nominee.
It's also genuinely been a while since we had a six-year term fluke Senator who starts as a one-term wonder. Doug Jones was there for just three years...likely Mark Kirk?
I'm going on record as saying SC will be closer than NH and MN.
NEW: Here are @njhotline’s FINAL 2026 Senate Power Rankings
1. NC
2. AK ⬆️
3. OH
4. ME ⬆️
5. TX ⬆️
6. IA ⬆️
7. MI ⬇️
8. KS ⬆️
9. MN ⬆️
10. NH ⬇️
Learn why from @kirk_bado and I here:
nationaljournal.com/s/733256…
No one is having a better day than Peggy Flanagan. 😊
Minnesota Senate:
🔵 Flanagan 48% (+4)
🔴 Tafoya 44%
@VictoryPolling/@Michele_Tafoya 🔴 Internal Poll, 1,194 LV, 10/21-22
John T retweeted
Whether you voted for Donald Trump, Lindsey Graham, or someone else, you deserve leaders who care more about lowering your bills than playing politics in Washington.
That’s what this campaign is about.
