TSP Talk provides Thrift Savings Plan fund allocation analysis for government employees & military personnel. Not Investment Advice.
Joined February 2009
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TSP Talk retweeted
Annual savings to become a millionaire by 65 with a 10% return:
20 - $1,400
30 - $3,700
40 - $10,200
50 - $31,500
60- $163,800
Time in the market matters. Start as early as you can!
TSP Talk retweeted
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump to interview BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder for Federal Reserve Chair.
TSP Talk retweeted
Today’s 10% move in Silver is a 4-5 sigma event.
A 3.8 sigma move is the chance that you personally get hit by lightning at least once in your lifetime…so not likely.
You are witnessing history today.
TSP Talk retweeted
NASDAQ’s astonishing yearend rally, up 88.9% of the time from its October closing low to yearend. Average gain +9.6%. Single post-election year loss was in 1973, when Arab oil embargo began. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…
TSP Talk retweeted
The S&P 500 has gained 20% each of the past two years, yet it was lower in October both times.
You have to go back to the late 1970s the last time it was down three years (actually four) in a row.
TSP Talk retweeted
12 all-time highs for the S&P 500 in August and September in 2025.
Only once did it have more and that was 14 in 1929.
TSP Talk retweeted
1. Stocks: all-time high
2. Home Prices: all-time high
3. Bitcoin: all-time high
4. Gold: all-time high
5. Money Supply: all-time high
6. National Debt: all-time high
7. CPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed's "target"
8. Fed: cutting interest rates next month
TSP Talk retweeted
Ladies and gentlemens, The Warren buffet indicator just hit 212 the highest number ever recorded.
Thanks for listening.
TSP Talk retweeted
To Outperform Wall Street Pros, You Have to Play a Different Game
Going head-to-head with the big firms will end up in disaster for the little guys. But there's a trick to success.
pro.thestreet.com/market-com…
TSP Talk retweeted
From the @nytimes "In a study of more than 46,000 U.S. adults published in May, Dr. Zhang and her colleagues found that those who consumed one to three cups of coffee per day were about 15 percent less likely to die within the next nine to 11 years than those who didn’t drink coffee. That benefit disappeared, though, for people who said they typically added more than about a half teaspoon of sugar to their coffee and for people who added more than one gram of saturated fat (equivalent to about one tablespoon of half-and-half or 3.5 tablespoons of whole milk) per cup of coffee.
Research has also suggested that people who drink coffee regularly have lower risks of heart disease, Type 2 diabetes, Parkinson’s disease, liver disease, osteoporosis and some types of cancer."
TSP Talk retweeted
China has to do this posturing about how they are in control and won't make the first move even though everyone knows it's BS. but it is ingrained in their character to act that way
The problem China has now is that they are hurting short-term and can't just delay forever. They need a fix and they have a motivation to negotiate although they will pretend that they don't.
TSP Talk retweeted
Looking at the past 20 years, March 12 is the last day of the year that has a negative average YTD return for the S&P 500.
From here things tend to improve significantly.
TSP Talk retweeted
Job growth sharply slowed last month, with workers sidelined by hurricane effects and the continuing Boeing strike. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%. on.wsj.com/3CaoWAC
TSP Talk retweeted
The Fed has cut rates with stocks near all-time highs 20 times.
The S&P 500 was higher a year later 20 times.
S&P 500 at all-time highs now and the Fed is cutting tomorrow.
TSP Talk retweeted
The Lows of the Small-Cap Bear Market Are Being Tested
Trade Counter-Trend Bounces but Don't Trust Them to Last Long
realmoney.thestreet.com/inve…