Tabish Wafa

"Boost affordability for families." Since Sept. 8, Ottawa's own counter-tariffs have hit $27.6 billion of U.S. imports: 50% on furniture and clothing, 25% on appliances and cheese. Families pay those at the till. So which comes first: the deal, or relief at the till?

Carney called Trump. Our oil still has one real customer. CER: 90.1% of Canada's crude exports went to the U.S. in 2025. $126.1 billion of $140.0 billion. So every time Carney picks up the phone, Washington already holds the leverage. On Oct. 28, the House voted down repealing the B.C. north coast tanker ban, 191–132. Carney's Liberals voted Nay. His own pipeline, Pacific Link? Construction can't start before Sept. 1, 2027. How do you out-negotiate Trump when he buys 9 of every 10 barrels and your party just voted to keep it that way?

Carney threw a summit. The trade numbers didn't show up. Canada has run a goods trade deficit with the EU every month of 2026 so far. Eight for eight. $27.3 billion through August. August alone: we sold Europe $3.7 billion and bought $7.7 billion. The US bought $54.3 billion from us that same month. Ten years after CETA was signed, the EU takes about 5 cents of every goods export dollar we earn. And the trade minister still won't say what "associate membership" would cost us. How many photo ops before Ottawa shows a number?

IRCC's own briefing notes to MPs admit the surge in temporary residents was "a contributing factor" to youth unemployment. In 2025, new temporary worker arrivals fell 48%, yet the total in Canada still rose through August because permit holders kept extending instead of leaving. Youth unemployment is now 13.0%. Who's getting hired first?

Ottawa's real borrowing is more than double the deficit. The PBO's Oct 20 outlook: deficits total $333.3B over the next five years. Actual new federal borrowing: $732.9B. Loans, capital spending and other assets are financed with borrowed cash, but they don't hit the headline deficit up front. Federal debt per Canadian: $33,436 this year. $39,191 by 2030-31. Debt-to-GDP rises every single year. And the PBO says Ottawa will miss its own anchor of a declining deficit-to-GDP ratio. Budget lands Nov 5. Will Champagne headline the $333B, or the $732.9B?

"No matter what happens in the midterms, Canada-U.S. tensions are likely to remain." Straight out of 1984. Oceania has always been at war with Eurasia. This is how the psyop starts. Ottawa's paid media pre-sells a permanent fight so no deal is ever expected and no one is ever blamed. Ottawa covers up to 35% of newsroom salaries through a tax credit. Meanwhile Ottawa's own auto strategy says more than 90% of Canadian-made vehicles go to the U.S. That's not a rival. That's our biggest customer. Get a deal. Stop selling excuses.

Carney changed the car rules again. Third time since September 2025. Sept 2025: the EV mandate's 2026 target waived. Feb 2026: the mandate to be scrapped for tailpipe rules "more than doubling" stringency by 2035. Oct 21: those rules frozen at 2026 levels, 172 g/mile, through 2029. Ottawa and Ontario announced $28.2B in production subsidies for the Stellantis-LGES and Volkswagen battery plants. The PBO estimated break-even takes 20 years, even assuming both plants run at full production. A $28.2B bet on an EV future, with the rules frozen until 2030. Which one is the plan?

$1.6 million per job. That's the math on Ottawa's Cohere deal. Up to $1.6B in public equity for "at least 1,000" new jobs by 2030, per the PMO's own release. And it's the second cheque. Finance Canada put up to $240M into Cohere in December 2024. That's up to $1.84B for one company in under two years. Carney says he "secured strong terms for Canadians." What are they? The release gives no stake size, no valuation, no share count. Just "made in stages" with "regular reporting." If the terms are that strong, table them in the House. What share of Cohere do taxpayers actually own?

Zero growth. Two months straight. StatCan today: real GDP flat in July, flat again in August, and an early estimate says September shrank 0.1%. Meanwhile Ottawa's take keeps climbing. Federal revenues April to August: $215.5B, up 7.1% from last year. Interest on the debt: $25.1B in five months, up 9.1%. And the Bank of Canada just hiked rates to 2.5%. The economy isn't growing. The government's tax take is. Who exactly is this working for?

Youth jobless rate: 13%. Work permits: near record. StatCan: 1,496,248 people in Canada held a work permit only on July 1, 2026. That's up 39,569 from July 2025, Carney's first summer, and 2.5x the 586,380 in July 2021. Same agency: youth unemployment hit 13.0% in September. The pre-pandemic average was 10.8%. Youth employment fell 48,000 in one month. Ottawa keeps saying it "slowed intake." Then why are there more work permits than a year ago while 401,000 young people can't find a job?

Carney at Davos: "If you are not at the table, you are on the menu." On that trip, the menu cost taxpayers $175,248. 73 passengers. About $2,400 each. Nearly $963K on the PM's in-flight catering across 14 trips in his first year, per DND. Families are trimming grocery lists. Who signed off on this?

A gas tax "cut" with an expiry date isn't relief. C-38 is now law. The 10¢/L federal excise on gas stays paused only until Jan 31. On Feb 1 it comes back at 5¢. On April 1 it's back to the full 10¢. Even with the pause, gas is up 27.8% in a year (StatCan, Sept). And Ottawa's own Clean Fuel Regulations add up to 17¢/L by 2030. So they pause a tax for the winter and hand you the bill in the spring. If prices are still this high, why is the tax coming back at all?

Your raise just lost to inflation. Prices rose 3.1% in the year to September. Average hourly wages rose 2.3%. That's a real pay cut, and inflation has been 3% or higher in four of the last five months. The Bank of Canada's target is 2%. Rent is worse. Up 32.8% since September 2020, while hourly wages are up 25.2%. Carney's in Montreal today talking about "secure, sovereign AI." Ask a renter in Brampton how secure they feel.

Summit day in Montreal. Check the scoreboard first. Jan–Aug 2026, Canada sold the EU $32.0B in goods and bought $67.2B. That's a $35.2B deficit, bigger than the same stretch last year. All of 2025: $48.8B in the hole. Europe takes 5.6% of our exports. The U.S. still takes 68.6%. Carney is selling an "alliance for the future" while the trade math runs one way. So who is this alliance actually working for: Canadian workers, or European exporters?

Context that cuts both ways. IMF net debt ~10% of GDP because it subtracts pension/financial assets (equity included). Same IMF tables: Canada's gross debt ~114% of GDP. PBO: interest costs $24.5B → $59.3B → $83B. Still a ~$65B deficit. Charts aren't a blank cheque.

Ottawa just voted to keep us hostage to one oil buyer. Today the House killed Bill C-264, the bill to repeal the B.C. North Coast tanker ban. 132 for, 191 against. Carney voted no. Here's what that protects: per the Canada Energy Regulator, 90.1% of our crude exports went to the U.S. in 2025. That's $126.1 billion out of $140 billion riding on one customer, the same one hitting us with tariffs every other week. "Energy superpower" with one buyer and a ban on the coast that faces Asia. Who exactly is this protecting?

Almost 9 years later. StatCan: rent is up 40% since you posted this. Your 10-year National Housing Strategy is nearly done. So when does "we're going to change that" actually show up for renters?

Carney's selling a $5,000 bonus. Young Canadians need a job first. Today he posted: "We're building big again." StatCan's latest jobs numbers (September): • 67,000 youth jobs gone in two months • Youth unemployment at 13.0% • 68,000 jobs lost in one month • 1.47 million Canadians out of work And the bonus? You only get it after you finish a Red Seal apprenticeship. Hard to finish one when young workers are the first ones cut. How many young people do you know who can't find work?

First rate hike since July 2023. The Bank of Canada just took its rate to 2.5% and says inflation will hit about 3½% by year-end. Strip out gas and inflation was 2.2%. So families pay more to borrow because energy costs are running everything up. Is your mortgage renewal coming up?