Author of "Tears for England", a memoir of my life supporting the England football team. Columns for @telegraph, @Daily_Express and @Spectator.
Kent
Joined March 2019
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My book “Tears for England” is officially published today. A proud moment. Thanks @PitchPublishing.
Robert Taylor retweeted
🧵Am struck by how quickly the thermostatic flip in public opinion on tax and spending seems to have happened this Parliament. In 2024, Britons prioritised investing in public services over cutting tax (54% - 30%). Now, that’s flipped: 49% choose tax cuts, 36% public services
Robert Taylor retweeted
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 32% (+5)
CON: 24% (+3)
RFM: 20% (-3)
LDM: 9% (+1)
GRN: 8% (-5)
SNP: 3% (-1)
RES: 3% (=)
Via @Ipsos_in_the_UK, 15-22 Oct.
Changes w/ 10-15 Sep.
Robert Taylor retweeted
Two pollsters this weekend giving Labour an 8pt lead - at what point does an election become too tempting?
Robert Taylor retweeted
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 26% (+5)
REF: 24% (-3)
CON: 22% (+1)
LDM: 11% (-1)
GRN: 8% (-2)
RES: 3% (NEW)
Seat Forecast (MRP):
LAB: 250 (+140)
REF: 147 (-146)
CON: 125 (+29)
LDM: 63 (-3)
SNP: 27 (-10)
GRN: 3 (-7)
via @Moreincommon_, 21 Aug-21 Sep
(Changes with 28 Jun)
Robert Taylor retweeted
🔶 | Lowest Lib Dem vote share (7%) since February 2024.
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 30% (+1)
RFM: 24% (-1)
CON: 22% (+3)
GRN: 8% (-1)
LDM: 7% (-1)
SNP: 3% (-1)
Via @DeltapollUK, 16-19 Oct.
Changes w/ 11-14 Sep.
Robert Taylor retweeted
Margin of error changes this week and a very close battle on the right. Labour holds a 5pt lead over the Conservatives
🌹 LAB 28% (-)
🌳 CON 23% (-1)
⏩ REF 22% (+1)
🔶 LIB DEM 10% (-1)
🟢 GREEN 8% (+1)
⚫ RES: 5% (-)
N = 3,069 | Fieldwork 16-19/10 | Changes w 12/10
Robert Taylor retweeted
This is well worth a watch - and you can read Daniel’s CapX article here
capx.co/labours-tax-rises-ar…
Britain ranks 30th out of 38 OECD countries for tax competitiveness.
In a new report, Daniel Herring at the Centre for Policy Studies warns that a wealth tax and higher capital gains tax would make Britain even less competitive - making the UK the least tax-efficient place in the OECD to own property.
cps.org.uk/research/a-wealth…
Well said Jack Ford. Great interview!
Earlier this week the Chair of @FIAssembly, Jack Ford MLA, was interviewed by @bbcnickrobinson on @BBCr4today. Listen to the interview 👇🏻
Robert Taylor retweeted
NEW WESTMINSTER VI
LAB: 25%
CON: 22%
REFORM: 22%
GREEN: 11%
LIB: 10%
SNP: 3%
PLAID: 1%
OTHER: 6%
via @FindoutnowUK, 14 Oct
pollingreport.uk/polls
Robert Taylor retweeted
John Healey reportedly wants to help small businesses at the Budget. New polling by @OpiniumResearch for @CPSThinkTank shows they definitely need it!
Opinium polled 500 SMEs bosses across the UK. Overwhelmingly, they felt govt wasn't on their side. But help do they need? (1/?)
Robert Taylor retweeted
Who would you prefer to see as Prime Minister?
Andy Burnham (LAB): 47% (-4)
Kemi Badenoch (CON): 37% (+4)
Andy Burnham (LAB): 52% (-5)
Nigel Farage (REF): 29% (-1)
via @tweetfreshwater, 9-11 Oct
(Changes with 6 Sep)
Robert Taylor retweeted
Exactly one year ago.
ASTOUNDING POLL
The “mega poll” is by company PLMR with Electoral Calculus and published by the Daily Mail overnight
It would see Reform win 445 MPs, Labour 73 MPs, Lib Dems 42 MPs, Your Party 13 MPs & Tories 7 MPs with a handful of greens
It projects Reform would return an earth shattering majority of 258, which is more than Baldwin in 1924
Along with YouGov, it kills dead the “Kemi bounce” narrative. In fact, she loses her seat RFUK 34% CON 25% in this poll
Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, Bridget Phillipson and Ed Miliband would all be ousted by Reform
Robert Jenrick, Suella Braverman, Rishi Sunak and IDS would all lose their seats to Reform too
Shabana Mahmood and Wes Streeting would lose their seats to Your Party
The poll of 7,449 British adults took place from September 10 to 18 - before the party conference season
Robert Taylor retweeted
I don’t usually join panels, but given the news and my presence on the ground, I was asked to weigh in. Here’s my response to a panelist who appeared to be defending Vladimir Putin amid Russia’s ongoing war against Ukraine:
“Do you want to save Ukrainian civilian lives, or would you rather hinder and kneecap what’s supposed to be your ally in its fight for survival against Russia? That’s simply what it comes down to now.”
Robert Taylor retweeted
Trump doubles down on his idiotic claim that Putin would have won the war in a single day if Russian generals hadn't turned off the highway into muddy fields. This makes zero sense - unless it is meant to explain away Putin's defeat in the Battle of Kyiv
Robert Taylor retweeted
Stephen Kinnock’s claim that there were no boat people because we were in the European Union is a straightforward lie. Illegal immigrants flooded in by lorry, train and cars. They disappeared into towns/cities and couldn’t be properly counted. When advances in technology made these methods of transport much harder to use the illegal migrants took to boats, courtesy of the people smugglers. Since the boats are usually interdicted on arrival the counting is easier. Nothing to do with being in or out of the EU.
