1/ A 🧵 of questions for the Centre for Social Justice About the 27:1 Ratio I read the @csjthinktank's press release yesterday on the 27:1 ratio: 27 non-EU migrants hired for every young British worker since 2020. The methodology footnote cites HMRC's payrolled employments dataset by nationality, age and sex. I often look at labour market data for my PhD, though my research is qualitative, not econometric. I may be reading these numbers incorrectly and I am happy to be corrected. But I downloaded the HMRC data tables to look at the underlying figures, and I found several things in the data that are not in the press release. The CSJ's arithmetic is correct. The NEET crisis is real. However, I would genuinely like to understand, what I understand to be, the following omissions below.

True; East Roman/Byzantine Civilisation was peak, and heavily influenced Islam too.

They will end up killing innocent people.

Downes is talking shite, as always, so here is the reality: 1) The CPS briefing behind his £19,370 says the lack of housing is the main driver of the crisis, and that even with zero net migration since 1997 England would still be 2.4 million homes short of the Western European average. 2) The CMA found in 2024 that housebuilders build fewer homes than is socially optimal, at the pace homes sell without cutting prices. It also found that the biggest of them made profits well above their cost of capital through the 2010s, partly thanks to ultra-low interest rates and Help to Buy. The CMA then investigated 7 of the largest over suspected sharing of agreed sale prices and buyer incentives with each other. It accepted the voluntary commitments, including the £100m ex gratia payment, and closed the case with no finding on whether competition law was broken. 3) Bank of England economists found that the fall in real interest rates more than explains the rise in UK house prices relative to incomes from 1985 to 2018. Meanwhile, in 2024-25 England built 10,807 new social rent homes and sold off 13,673. It is easier to blame immigrants than to go after the developers and the banks who make a fortune out of people's need for a home.