Simple betting. No hype. No chasing. Data focused. Tool I use ⬇️
Simple Sauce Daily Picks
Joined August 2018
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Simple Sauce retweeted
𝗭𝗮𝗰 𝗚𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗲𝗻 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝟱.𝟱 𝗛𝗶𝘁𝘀 𝗔𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗱 (+𝟭𝟮𝟬) 🐍
93% model probability. Nearly 3 full hits of cushion above the line.
Chase Field is the second highest altitude park in MLB. Ball carries. Fly balls drop for hits.
Model projects 8.46. Line is 5.5. That gap doesn't lie.
#MLB #FreePick #SportsBetting #MonsterBet
Simple Sauce retweeted
🔒 FREE PLAY — MLB
Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles ✅ Jake Burger Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125)
📊 Edge: +44.9% 🧠 Model Prob: 90% 📈 Proj: 3.58 total bases (+2.08 cushion)
91.8 MPH avg exit velo. 60.0% hard-hit rate. .471 avg and 1.382 OPS in road games.
Facing a pitcher he absolutely feasts on. Weather at Oriole Park gives a 17% boost to HRs today.
Model projects 3.58 total bases against a line of 1.5. That's not a lean — that's a hammer. 🔨
Record: 6-3 (HR Lotto's will not count against record due to longshot odds)
#MLB #SportsBetting #FreePick
Simple Sauce retweeted
Today’s MNF POTD:
Nico Collins Anytime TD
We’ve got him projected at 0.62 TDs with a 50.5% Confidence, giving this play a 21.2% EV
The Bucs let Pennix throw for 298 yards last week.
This is a much better matchup for Stroud and Collins than last week against the Rams
Simple Sauce retweeted
𝗙𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗦𝗮𝘂𝗰𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗗𝗮𝘆
Cal Raleigh O1.5 TB (+105)
Data:
4 hits in last 8 | .545 SLG
3rd in TB/G (2.27) | 5th in XBH%
98th %ile in SLG (.607) & Barrel%
Rocker: .320 BAA vs LHH & 9.91 ERA on the road
Simple play. Big bat. Let’s ride. 🧂
Simple Sauce retweeted
Roughly $4250 Profit for @TheBotTrade Members if they bought 1x copy of each call this month.
This does not include crypto calls. 🥰
Simple Sauce retweeted
🚨 Update 🚨
+15% ROI per copy, and rising 📈
