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Fibonacci ratios are the core of natural beauty. Deal in probabilities, only Sith deal in absolutes. Market's gonna mark it. Not financial advice.

United States
Joined May 2017
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The ONLY time the market was this overbought faster, was when Volcker cut rates from 13% in 1982.
From Oversold to Overbought in 2 weeks
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*META'S MAY LAYOFFS EXPECTED TO HIT ABOUT 10% OF WORKFORCE: RTRS *META TARGETS MAY 20 FOR FIRST WAVE OF LAYOFFS: REUTERS *META IS PLANNING ADDITIONAL FIRM-WIDE CUTS LATER IN 2026: RTRS
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Wokes on Reddit are the ones informing AI
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Consumer Sentiment Plunges to lowest level in history 🚨🚨
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JUST IN: Nearly half of the U.S. data centers planned for 2026 are reportedly expected to be delayed or canceled.
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"AI is increasing the intensity of work rather than reducing it," per WSJ
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BREAKING: Trump will unveil a $1,500,000,000,000 defense budget request for the ​next fiscal year, per Reuters
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Private Credit firm Blue Owl Capital has been hit by $5.4 billion of redemption requests, per FT
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"Warren Buffett cautioned that he’s seeing signs of fragility emerging in the banking system as it has become more connected to non-bank players," per Bloomberg.
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The Federal Reserve and US regulators have proposed loosening capital requirements for large banks, per the Guardian
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Hayek on what cured him of socialism: “I turned to economics because I was half a socialist. I was crying for social justice. But it didn’t long survive my study of economics.” “In 1922, when I was 23, Mises’s book on socialism came out—and that cured me forever.”
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Bonds disconnect from other assets
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Holy shit, the Federal Reserve's purchases of short duration T-Bills just hit $381B! We're now almost $60B above the height of the 2020 REPO bank crisis "virus". What is going on in the banking system?
Fed's Primary Credit is warning of a liquidity crisis like the SV Bank collapse in 2023. This time however the liquidity crisis will rival 2008 Technical indicators are identical. Still think crises aren't preplanned? Watch Powell in this thread warning of Apr liquidity event👇
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“Hey so there’s a bubble”
UBS has halted withdrawals from $469 million real estate fund for up to 3 years, per Reuters
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Thomas Sowell on Accountability
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I want you to understand how unusual this is. 6:49 AM on Monday: A sudden surge in oil futures trading, approximately $580 million in volume, no news, no announcement, nothing public. 7:05 AM: Trump announces a pause on Iran strikes. Markets move immediately. Roughly $580 million in contracts were placed about 16 minutes ahead of the news. Unusual.
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💥JUST IN: Apollo Global blocked withdrawals from its Private Credit fund. 5 big funds blocking withdrawals now. Contagion? 🧐
‼️BREAKING: Ares limits withdrawals from $10.7bn private credit fund following JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley. It’s happening… 👀
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Politicians are rarely held accountable for the outcomes that they say they will to achieve, because they rarely quantify those intended goals, much less measure the actual outcomes.
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