Kevin Boyd 🇺🇸

Islam is on the ballot in 2028

The problem with the Republican Party is that when they lose statewide elections the party organisation just goes crazy and collapses upon itself. It's happened in Colorado and Arizona and is in the process of happening in Georgia

🇫🇷 FLASH - LFI a dévoilé le programme de Jean-Luc Mélenchon pour la présidentielle de 2027. Parmi les propositions : - Autoriser jusqu’à 3 jours d’arrêt maladie autodéclaré, sans consulter de médecin. - Accorder 7 jours de congé après le décès d’un ami. - Porter le SMIC à 1.700€ net par mois, soit une hausse de 220€. - Ramener l’âge de départ à la retraite de 64 à 60 ans, avec une retraite à taux plein après 40 années de cotisation. - Réduire progressivement la durée du travail à 32 heures par semaine. - Instaurer un service écologique obligatoire de 9 mois pour les moins de 25 ans, rémunéré au SMIC. - Faire rembourser les soins à 100% par la Sécurité sociale. - Prendre en charge les séances de psychothérapie des moins de 26 ans. - Fixer un plafond de 12 millions d’euros pour les héritages. - Augmenter les APL de 10% pour aider à payer les loyers. - Bloquer les prix de certains produits essentiels afin de limiter les hausses excessives. - Revaloriser les salaires des fonctionnaires. - Garantir un revenu minimum aux jeunes grâce à une allocation. - Proposer aux étudiants des repas à 1€. - Limiter à 1 pour 20 l’écart entre les rémunérations au sein d’une même entreprise. - Soumettre les aides publiques aux entreprises à des engagements sociaux et écologiques. - Rétablir l’ISF afin d’accroître l’imposition des grandes fortunes. - Mettre en place la taxe Zucman pour taxer davantage les milliardaires. - Répartir l’impôt sur le revenu en 14 tranches pour augmenter la contribution des plus riches. - Engager une sortie progressive du nucléaire. - Atteindre une production d’électricité issue à 100% des énergies renouvelables d’ici 2060. - Interdire les vols entre 23h et 6h. - Suspendre les zones à faibles émissions (ZFE), qui restreignent la circulation des véhicules les plus polluants dans certaines villes. - Passer de la Ve à la VIe République en donnant davantage de pouvoir aux citoyens. - Supprimer le 49.3, qui permet au gouvernement de faire adopter un texte sans vote. - Intensifier la lutte contre les discriminations, notamment au sein de la police. - Reconnaître comme crime d’État le massacre des Algériens du 17 octobre 1961. - Renégocier les traités européens et refuser l’application de certaines règles européennes jugées incompatibles avec le programme. - Quitter progressivement le commandement militaire intégré de l’OTAN. - Soutenir la création d’un État palestinien aux côtés d’Israël.

Which is odd, because the normal midterm cope from the losing party is that it’s all turnout. But also it shouldn’t be treated as a cope. Your voters not showing up is very bad.

The "you only have yourselves to blame" comment is a continuation and acceleration in what has been a noticeable change in the president's tone toward the American People, even his own voters. It saddens me to see, because I believe he started his journey in politics from an earnest place wanting to help the people of this country. I remember his CPAC speech before he announced back in 2015 and I saw a man with sincere concern for the future of this country. Now, we routinely see and hear frustration, and something that irrefutably passes for contempt. Believe me when I tell you, voters saw it too. I have been pointing it out and speaking about this since the first time it reared up—when he fired off "I don't want your support anymore". That was followed up repeatedly with "MIGA" posts in the face of supporter worries that he was being distracted by the war lobby before Operation Midnight Hammer. It was reinforced with comments like "Americans have no talent" in his interview with @IngrahamAngle, who looked just as stunned to hear it because she almost certainly remembers the man I do. And that was a man who cared deeply for his country and the people in it, not just those who supported him. I know it. I've seen it, and because being genuine is so rare in this business, especially at that level, it was hard to miss. But that has not been the case this entire second administration, and voters saw it. Contrary to popular belief in the world of politics, voters collectively are NOT stupid. They saw it. They heard it. They felt it. Last Tuesday, they rejected it along with the rest. It's just so sad to see it come to this and tragic his advisors either don't care enough about him or don't have the spine to confront it, even though that IS their job.

Alito won't retire in the lame duck and he doesn't need to. Trump can nominate someone to the Supreme Court and the senate can confirm without a vacancy. Then Trump can wait to sign the commission any time in the next two years. The question isn't Alito, its Cornyn/Tillis/Thune.

After updates from a few counties, Scott Colom (D) has a 1138-vote lead over Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) in #MSsen. @MississippiSOS says there are up to 3600 outstanding mail ballots and an unknown number of provisionals left. Both should favor Democrats.

New - 98% of the money musk spent in the midterms went to candidates who lost yesterday

One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up. So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us." Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone. Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were: 1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.) In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you. The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there. I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.

Our preliminary Times Voter Trends estimates for the results by demographic group nytimes.com/interactive/2026…

With the loss of governors races in Texas, Ohio and Georgia, there will be only one state of the top ten most populous states with a Republican governor: Florida.

Americans are falling behind on their bills at levels not seen since the Great Recession. Nearly 20% of consumers were late on payments, a level last surpassed in 2009, per Bloomberg.

It would be naive to ignore the effect of the Iran war on the midterms, but we should not lose sight of the fact that tariffs were brutal for Republicans (via @NBCNews)

LA SENATE RACE Julia up with 56%, but nearly all vote from smaller parishes in. EBR and Orleans EV not in. That's 100K. Presently, I see this as a 52-53% Letlow race unless EBR/Orleans EDay is heavily Davis.

"The MAGA Republican Party IS America's future. The Democrats are Third Worldists. They are the past. They are the enemies of civilization." - @AuronMacintyre