The Odds

Troy Rohrbaugh is the favorite to replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO.

Traders expect Google to finish 2026 with more than 200,000 employees

Mark Zuckerberg is the favorite to become the world's second trillionaire: 19% — Mark Zuckerberg 16% — Larry Page 16% — Jensen Huang 8% — Jeff Bezos 6% — Sam Altman

5% chance the Trump administration cuts government spending by at least $1 trillion.

53% chance the federal funds rate finishes 2027 above 4%.

How high will US gas prices climb in 2026? 56% — Above $4.60 33% — Above $4.80 30% — Above $5.00 20% — Above $5.20

Just a 26% chance Bitcoin outperforms Gold in 2026.

46% chance SpaceX acquires a major US telecommunications business before 2028.

When will OpenAI announce its IPO? 41% — Before March 2027 64% — Before April 2027 82% — Before May 2027

13% chance the Nasdaq-100 closes 2026 above 33,000.

How high will Bitcoin climb in 2026? 24% — Above $100,000 18% — Above $110,000 9% — Above $120,000 8% — Above $130,000 5% — Above $150,000 2% — Above $200,000

Gold is forecasted to finish 2026 at $4,520

Las Vegas and Seattle are heavily favored to receive professional basketball expansion teams before 2028: 81% — Las Vegas 75% — Seattle

Traders give humanity a 21% chance of colonizing Mars before 2050.

Julianne Moore is the heavy favorite to win Best Actress at the 2027 Oscars.

Traders give Palantir a 30% chance of finishing 2026 with more than 1,200 customers.

1 in 4 chance Waymo officially announces its IPO before November 2027

Goldman Sachs is the heavy favorite to lead OpenAI’s eventual IPO: 79% — Goldman Sachs 18% — Morgan Stanley 4% — Citigroup

92% chance BMW releases a fully electric M3 before 2028.

Jack Lowden is the favorite to become the next James Bond: 51% — Jack Lowden 32% — Callum Turner 6% — Aaron Taylor-Johnson 6% — Harris Dickinson 3% — Jacob Elordi