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Pain….four parlays today all missed by one leg 😫
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Cuevas ladder cash in VIP! ✅ +134 10+ Rec Yards ✅ +390 20+ Rec Yards ✅ +880 30+ Rec Yards
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Cuevas 1st half cash for VIP! Caught a 16 yarder on the 1st play of the game! ✅✅✅✅✅
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1st half collab cash with @KashyLocks! Let’s go! ✅✅✅✅✅
NFL 🏈 Week 7 Pick 2: Ollie Gordon #PhinsUp o50.5 Rush Yards (Fanatics -125) Collab 🤝🏻 w/@KashyLocks! We're taking Ollie Gordon to clear 50.5 rushing yards against the Jets. De’Von Achane tore his ACL early in the year and is out for the season which leaves just backup Jaylen Wright (12.6% snap share, 2.0 YPC) as the only alternative outside of Gordon. In Achane's absence, Gordon has established his hold on the backfield posting 100 yards on 9 carries against the Vikings and followed it up with 18 carries for 88 yards on a season-high 66% snap share against the Bengals before Miami's week 6 bye. He's shown elite per-touch efficiency with 2.83 yards after contact per carry (4th among RBs), a 19.5% explosive run rate, and +0.93 Rush Yards Over Expectation (RYOE) per carry. Applying his 5.02 Yards Per Carry (YPC) to a projected 13 carries yields a raw projection of 65.3 yards, which comfortably clears this line. Schematically, the matchup favors Gordon’s physical running style. Miami operates a gap-heavy run concept on 59.6% of rushing plays, where Gordon excels at 6.32 YPC. The Jets' run defense presents a clear vulnerability despite strong overall numbers: New York allows 4.38 YPC on gap runs (21st) with a 57.5% gap success rate allowed, ranks 31st in stuff rate (36.7%), ranks 6th-worst in rushing yards allowed per game (105.8), and concedes the 9th-most adjusted yards before contact per carry (2.16). Additionally, Miami's league-leading run-heavy Pass Rate Over Expectation (-8.9) ensures the Dolphins will maintain ground commitment regardless of the game script as +4.5 underdogs. I like for Gordon to take advantage of a favorable matchup against the Jets and clear 50.5 yards on the ground. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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ThePropCPA retweeted
NFL 🏈 Week 7 Pick 3: Brock Purdy #FTTB o19.5 Rushing Yards (FanDuel -114) Collab 🤝🏻 with @DDOGGSTACKS! We’re taking the over on Brock Purdy’s 19.5 rushing yards in tomorrow's matchup against Atlanta. With key perimeter targets, Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel banged up, the 49ers' receivers are significantly thinned out. This depleted receiving corps will naturally force Purdy to hold the ball longer and pull it down to scramble when primary reads are blanketed. Atlanta’s defensive scheme plays the 4th highest rate of single-high coverage this season (61.3%) and Purdy has 6 scrambles for 47 yards against single-high. The Falcons’ have a 40.6% pressure rate this season which ranks 2nd. Purdy has crushed with his legs when pressured with 13 scrambles for 125 yards. Atlanta has also allowed the 3rd highest pass rate over expectation this season at +7.3% behind only Detroit and Washington. Despite the injuries to their receivers I expect plenty of dropbacks for Purdy which gives us plenty of chances for scrambles. Purdy has shown a consistent willingness to extend drives with his legs this season, easily clearing this 19.5 line when forced off his spot. With Purdy playing with some backup receivers and the Falcons success in pressuring the QB, I like for Purdy to tuck it and run a few times and clear this rushing line. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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ThePropCPA retweeted
NFL 🏈 Week 7 Pick 2: Ollie Gordon #PhinsUp o50.5 Rush Yards (Fanatics -125) Collab 🤝🏻 w/@KashyLocks! We're taking Ollie Gordon to clear 50.5 rushing yards against the Jets. De’Von Achane tore his ACL early in the year and is out for the season which leaves just backup Jaylen Wright (12.6% snap share, 2.0 YPC) as the only alternative outside of Gordon. In Achane's absence, Gordon has established his hold on the backfield posting 100 yards on 9 carries against the Vikings and followed it up with 18 carries for 88 yards on a season-high 66% snap share against the Bengals before Miami's week 6 bye. He's shown elite per-touch efficiency with 2.83 yards after contact per carry (4th among RBs), a 19.5% explosive run rate, and +0.93 Rush Yards Over Expectation (RYOE) per carry. Applying his 5.02 Yards Per Carry (YPC) to a projected 13 carries yields a raw projection of 65.3 yards, which comfortably clears this line. Schematically, the matchup favors Gordon’s physical running style. Miami operates a gap-heavy run concept on 59.6% of rushing plays, where Gordon excels at 6.32 YPC. The Jets' run defense presents a clear vulnerability despite strong overall numbers: New York allows 4.38 YPC on gap runs (21st) with a 57.5% gap success rate allowed, ranks 31st in stuff rate (36.7%), ranks 6th-worst in rushing yards allowed per game (105.8), and concedes the 9th-most adjusted yards before contact per carry (2.16). Additionally, Miami's league-leading run-heavy Pass Rate Over Expectation (-8.9) ensures the Dolphins will maintain ground commitment regardless of the game script as +4.5 underdogs. I like for Gordon to take advantage of a favorable matchup against the Jets and clear 50.5 yards on the ground. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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ThePropCPA retweeted
NFL 🏈 Week 7 Pick 1: Bryce Young #KeepPounding o253.5 Passing Yards (DraftKings -113) Collab🤝🏻 with @TheBettingFloor! Young has cleared this number in all 5 games this season (361, 287, 291, 329, 281) and averages 310 yards a game. Tampa Bay allows the 3rd-fewest rushing yards in the league, so Carolina will have to throw to move the ball. His worst game this year still clears this line by almost 30 yards. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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NFL 🏈 Week 7 Picks: Write-ups posted! Additional plays and parlays posted to VIP! Let's have a great Sunday! Bryce Young #KeepPounding o253.5 Pass Yards (DraftKings -113) Ollie Gordon #PhinsUp o50.5 Rushing Yards (Fanatics -125) Brock Purdy #FTTB o19.5 Rushing Yards (FanDuel -114) Kyren Williams #RamsHouse o65.5 Rushing Yards (Fanatics -125) JK Dobbins #BroncosCountry o13.5 Rush Attempts (DraftKings -108) Tucker Kraft #GoPackGo o4.5 Receptions (FanDuel -102) ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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NFL 🏈 Week 7 Pick 6: Tucker Kraft #GoPackGo o4.5 Receptions (FanDuel -102) I’m taking the OVER on Tucker Kraft’s 4.5 Receptions in a favorable matchup against the Lions. The setup for Jordan Love and the Packers could not be cleaner. Green Bay operates as a top-4 team in pass rate over expectation (+7.8% PROE), while Detroit is the NFL’s most extreme pass funnel (+9.3% PROE allowed). The Lions’ defense has been destroyed through the air, surrendering a league-worst 320.0 passing yards. Even with DB Brian Branch back for Detroit, this game's massive 53.5 expected total guarantees heavy passing volume. Enter Tucker Kraft! For a tight end, no matchup on the board is more lucrative. Detroit allows an NFL-high 10.2 receptions and 109.0 receiving yards per game to tight ends. The Lions rely on Cover 3 at a top-6 rate (38.5%), a scheme against which Tucker Kraft completely dominates, leading the Packers with a 0.29 TPRR against Cover 3 (+43% over his average). In an explosive, back-and-forth dome shootout, I like for Kraft to smash through this 4.5 reception line. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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Let’s start our day with a Paris 🇫🇷 Parlay! #HereWeGo vs #Saints Aaron Rodgers 200+ Pass Yards Tyler Shough 32+ Pass Attempts Alvin Kamara 3+ Receptions Germie Bernard 50+ Rec Yards Boosted to +442 on DraftKings! Let’s cash! ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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NFL 🏈 Week 7 Pick 5: JK Dobbins #BroncosCountry o13.5 Rush Attempts (DraftKings -108) I’m riding the OVER on J.K. Dobbins’ 13.5 Rush Attempts as the Broncos travel to Arizona to face the Cardinals this afternoon. Bo Nix has struggled heavily against zone schemes, registering a league-low 4.9 average depth of target (aDOT) which is a nightmare scenario facing an Arizona defense that deploys zone at a top-5 rate in the NFL (81.8%). Because of this, I think Denver head coach Sean Payton will rely on Bo Nix turning and handing the ball off to Dobbins often as he’s done the past two weeks giving him 18 and 17 carries. Arizona is vulnerable between the tackles, yielding 4.25 yards per carry (4th-most) and 1.85 adjusted yards before contact per attempt. I expect Dobbins to find room to run and move the chains on the ground. Even with Jonah Coleman returning from IR to eat into touches, Dobbins remains Denver's trusted option. As 4.5-point road favorites with touchdowns in back-to-back games, I think Dobbins should clear this 13.5 carry line as Denver grinds down the Cardinals. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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Had a great day in VIP yesterday building some bankroll with CFB! ✅ -105 DraftKings 30% Boost ✅ -106 DraftKings 50% Miss/Texas Boost ✅ +171 FanDuel 30% Boost ✅ +103 FanDuel 50% Tenn/SCar Boost ✅ -100 Fanatics 2-Leg Parlay ✅ +183 Fanatics 3-Leg Parlay ✅ +101 Fanatics 2-Leg Parlay Let’s go!
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NFL 🏈 Week 7 Pick 4: Kyren Williams #RamsHouse o65.5 Rushing Yards (Fanatics -125) I’m locking in Kyren Williams to go over 65.5 rushing yards today in a favorable matchup against the Raiders. Following last week’s frustrating loss to the Cardinals, Williams publicly vented his desire for more touches, bluntly attributing team energy lulls to "probably because I’m not out there" after managing just 10 carries. I expect head coach Sean McVay to feed his lead back early to smooth over any lingering tension. I also expect a boost to the running game with the Rams still managing injuries across their receiving corps. Davante Adams is out multiple weeks with a hamstring injury and Puka Nacua is questionable. Without Adams, I expect the Rams to play more tight-end heavy personnel and lean more on the run game. In three games without Adams last season, Kyren had 70, 92, and 60 rushing yards. The matchup also strongly favor Williams: Las Vegas surrenders a league-worst 2.91 adjusted yards before contact per attempt and the second-most rushing yards per game to opposing backs (113.7). The Raiders have proven completely incapable of setting the edge against zone concepts where Williams excels at 4.91 yards per carry. I think Williams should easily shatter this 65.5-yard line today in a favorable spot. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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Boise State turned it on late and crushed WSU! ✅✅✅✅✅
CFB 🏈 Saturday Spreads: Boise State -12.5 (Fanatics -120) Washington State has struggled on the offensive side of the ball and have just a 1-6 record this year. In their 6 losses, they’ve lost by double digits in 5 of them and failed to score more than 16 points in 4. The Broncos are coming off a bye and have had two weeks to prepare for the Cougars. I think they dominate today. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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Colorado was up 24-23 at half….then they shit down their leg and were outscored 34-0 in the second half. ❌
CFB 🏈 Saturday Spreads: Colorado +14.5 (Fanatics -125) The Buffaloes just had one of their best games of the season against Utah and I think they can have success throwing the ball against this OK State secondary. I think they put together another solid game today and cover this two touchdown spread. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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Chambliss came alive in the 2nd half and cashes! Finishes with 250! ✅✅✅✅✅
CFB 🏈 Week 8 Pick 4: Trinidad Chambliss (MISS-QB) o234.5 Passing Yards With pick four, I'm taking Trinidad Chambliss to have success in a tough matchup against Texas. Ole Miss’s offense ranks 17th in PPA, with a 51.4% pass success rate (14th), and it plays up-tempo at 23.1 seconds per play. Chambliss has averaged about 279 yards this season which ranks 14th and cleared 234.5 in four of six games, with the two misses coming in blowouts. Texas DE Colin Simmons, who leads the nation with 10.5 sacks, is doubtful which will be a big boost for the Rebel offense. Texas' defense is equally tough against the run ranking 26th in PPA and 20th in success rate and Kewan Lacy is dealing with injuries of his own. I expect that to force Chambliss into more passing situations. Ole Miss is also a 3.5-point underdog which has the potential to force a more pass heavy game script, and Texas’s offense is weak (106th in PPA, 121st in rush PPA), so Ole Miss should get plenty of possessions. I like for Chambliss to continue to dominate and clear this line against the Longhorns. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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ThePropCPA retweeted
🏈 NFL Sunday Play (10/25) Brock Purdy o19.5 Rush Yards #FTTB Collab with @ThePropCPA 🤝 We’re taking the over on Brock Purdy’s 19.5 rushing yards in tomorrow's matchup against Atlanta. With key perimeter targets, Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel banged up, the 49ers' receivers are significantly thinned out. This depleted receiving corps will naturally force Purdy to hold the ball longer and pull it down to scramble when primary reads are blanketed. Atlanta’s defensive scheme plays the 4th highest rate of single-high coverage this season (61.3%) and Purdy has 6 scrambles for 47 yards against single-high. The Falcons’ have a 40.6% pressure rate this season which ranks 2nd. Purdy has crushed with his legs when pressured with 13 scrambles for 125 yards. Atlanta has also allowed the 3rd highest pass rate over expectation this season at +7.3% behind only Detroit and Washington. Despite the injuries to their receivers I expect plenty of dropbacks for Purdy which gives us plenty of chances for scrambles. Purdy has shown a consistent willingness to extend drives with his legs this season, easily clearing this 19.5 line when forced off his spot. With Purdy playing with some backup receivers and the Falcons success in pressuring the QB, I like for Purdy to tuck it and run a few times and clear this rushing line. Like and Follow if tailing🐾 📊 @PropsEdge
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NFL 🏈 Week 7 Pick 3: Brock Purdy #FTTB o19.5 Rushing Yards (FanDuel -114) Collab 🤝🏻 with @DDOGGSTACKS! We’re taking the over on Brock Purdy’s 19.5 rushing yards in tomorrow's matchup against Atlanta. With key perimeter targets, Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel banged up, the 49ers' receivers are significantly thinned out. This depleted receiving corps will naturally force Purdy to hold the ball longer and pull it down to scramble when primary reads are blanketed. Atlanta’s defensive scheme plays the 4th highest rate of single-high coverage this season (61.3%) and Purdy has 6 scrambles for 47 yards against single-high. The Falcons’ have a 40.6% pressure rate this season which ranks 2nd. Purdy has crushed with his legs when pressured with 13 scrambles for 125 yards. Atlanta has also allowed the 3rd highest pass rate over expectation this season at +7.3% behind only Detroit and Washington. Despite the injuries to their receivers I expect plenty of dropbacks for Purdy which gives us plenty of chances for scrambles. Purdy has shown a consistent willingness to extend drives with his legs this season, easily clearing this 19.5 line when forced off his spot. With Purdy playing with some backup receivers and the Falcons success in pressuring the QB, I like for Purdy to tuck it and run a few times and clear this rushing line. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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Kenny Johnson was targeted from the get-go and cashes easily! Let’s go! ✅✅✅✅✅
CFB 🏈 Week 8 Pick 5: Kenny Johnson (TTU-WR) o60.5 Receiving Yards With pick five I'm taking Texas Tech WR Kenny Johnson to find success against the Cincinnati secondary. He's averaging 7.2 targets and 69.7 receiving yards per game so far this season which both lead the Red Raiders. He's also cleared this line in three games already. Cincinnati ranks 127th in pass PPA allowed at 0.370, and it allows a 44.8% success rate through the air (113th). They've been destroyed by opposing WR's allowing 15.4 receptions per game (126th) and 242.8 receiving yards per game (135th) to the position. Texas Tech’s passing offense is strong (29th in pass PPA, 28th in pass success rate) and plays up-tempo at 24.1 seconds per play. And Cincinnati’s offense is the 8th offense in PPA and the 4th ranked rushing offense, so the Red Raiders will need to keep scoring. Texas Tech is a 10.5-point favorite in a 56.5 total with about 132 combined plays. Given the high total and the weak Bearcat secondary, my projection has Johnson at 77.7 receiving yards. I think he clears this line on Saturday. ❤️ Like, share, and follow if tailing!
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