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Combining #AI and dynamical systems theory improves tipping point detection. Check out our new publication in PNAS: “Deep learning for early warning signals of tipping points”.
pnas.org/content/118/39/e210…
Summary thread below:
Fantastic postdoc opportunity to work at the interface of maths and climate change:
workingat.nioz.nl/o/postdoc-…
Thomas Bury retweeted
📢 Exciting News! 🧬 Introducing FateNet, a computational method co-developed by @ThomasMBury and I. By combining dynamical systems theory and deep learning, FateNet investigates cell decision-making processes using scRNA-seq data. 🧪 biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/…
Bridging #AI and nonlinear dynamics can help us predict tipping points in discrete-time systems, notably heart rhythm! New paper out in @NatureComms with @gilbublab , @globalecochange , @cbauch1 and others:
nature.com/articles/s41467-0…
Excited to see the research that comes out of this centre!
We have established a Centre of Excellence for studying Critical Transitions in Complex Systems @iitmadras. The Centre will perform research on predicting catastrophic events and developing early warning technologies for natural and engineering systems.
Thomas Bury retweeted
Greatly enjoyed #SIAMDS23 so far! 🤓 Check out our 3-part MS tmr & on Thur: “Phase Transitions in Electrophysiological Systems” (MS135, 155 &170) organized by @AravindKumar264 and myself from @SMQB_UoB. @TheSIAMNews
“The subtle math of a heartbeat gone wrong”, published in @PhysicsToday , is lucid description of our research with @khady_dgn, @gilbublab, and others. Thank you Johanna Miller for taking the time to digest and present our work with such clarity and wit!
physicstoday.scitation.org/d…
Pleased to see my Python package ewstools published with JOSS. It provides tools to compute early warning signals for tipping points in time series data. Give it a spin - tutorials included. #OpenSource
Just published in JOSS: 'ewstools: A Python package for early warning signals of bifurcations in time series data' doi.org/10.21105/joss.05038
Thomas Bury retweeted
Very happy to see my first publication, in @PhysRevLett . Wouldn't have been possible without our great team, congrats everyone!
@gilbublab @ThomasMBury
Our article on parasystole is now out in PRL, with a APS news commentary by Phillip Ball. Congats to Khady, Tom, Leon and the rest of the team! News: physics.aps.org/articles/v16…
Article: journals.aps.org/prl/abstrac…
The mathematics of competing cardiac pacemakers is extraordinary. Really pleased to see this work with @khady_dgn, @gilbublab and others published in @PhysRevLett. Thanks to @philipcball for writing an excellent commentary.
Our article on parasystole is now out in PRL, with a APS news commentary by Phillip Ball. Congats to Khady, Tom, Leon and the rest of the team! News: physics.aps.org/articles/v16…
Article: journals.aps.org/prl/abstrac…
Thomas Bury retweeted
#Plotly #Dash and #Python for heart health? ✅
@ThomasMBury used 𝘥𝘢𝘴𝘩.𝘥𝘦𝘱𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘪𝘦𝘴, 𝘱𝘭𝘰𝘵𝘭𝘺.𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴 and callbacks to explore electrocardiogram recordings on Physionet as a (big) data source, supporting research on cardiac arrhythmias. 🫀
Interested in building a dashboard to interactively view your data? I've just written a @Medium article on how to do this using @plotly's Dash and Python. We use thousands of ECG recordings from Physionet as a use case:
link.medium.com/oj30T6SzWsb
Our deep learning model is trained on data that has been exclusively detrended using a Lowess filter. Using other filters (or no filter) can yield erroneous outcomes - please preprocess your data using a Lowess filter if using our model!
Thank you to @fdabl for catching this.
Early warning signals for tipping points based on deep learning substantially outperform traditional indicators, as @ThomasMBury et al. showed.
In a short note, we illustrate an unintended behavior of the method, stressing the importance of preprocessing: psyarxiv.com/j7xug
Thomas Bury retweeted
It gives me great pleasure to announce the launch of a webinar series on "Critical Transitions in Complex Systems" (ctcs-iitm.com/) jointly hosted by @iitmadras and @PIK_Climate . [1/9]
Thomas Bury retweeted
#UofGResearch | Ecologist Dr. Madhur Anand (@globalecochange) and colleagues have created a model to account for how social polarization leads to inaction on fighting climate change.
@UofG @UofG_SES @UofGResearch
fal.cn/3irwQ
Thomas Bury retweeted
New #SES_research published in @RSocPublishing by our own Dr. Madhur Anand (@globalecochange) in collaboration with @WaterlooMath shows how social systems, such as resource inequalities, influence #ClimateChange.
Original: royalsocietypublishing.org/d…
#Mitigation #UofG
In conclusion: a deep learning classifier can be trained on data from a universe of possible models to detect and classify approaching bifurcations/tipping points with better performance than conventional early warning signals.
Thanks to all collaborators on this work: @cbauch1, @globalecochange, @MartenScheffer, R. I Sujith, Induja Pavithran & Timothy Lenton.
All code and data used in this study are available at github.com/ThomasMBury/deep-… and public repositories cited therein.















