healthcare reform | forecasting | Bitcoin
Joined November 2019
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Hobbit.btc retweeted
Dear Prime Minister Ambani,
Please accept my humble apologies for not realizing that you are the real boss of India.
Naturally, you would prefer to maintain your monopolistic exploitation of the great people of India, but would you nonetheless consider allowing Starlink to compete?
There are many areas of India, as there are in all countries, with no Internet access, which denies children the opportunity for education and for small businesses the opportunity to sell their goods to a global market. Starlink would change their lives for the better.
Thank you 🙏
Hobbit.btc retweeted
Usually I wouldn't make a post about things like this but this is too good to miss
Matt calls @Stacks an affinity scam, on the same day @Strike launches 'Stacks', a feature built around keeping your BTC in Strike's custody...
'Not your keys, not your coins.' For a BTC maxi that should be an easy one, right?
People in glass houses shouldn't throw stones.
No, Strike has not listed @Stacks (STX). We’re using the word as intended, not the way it was co-opted by an affinity scam.
Hobbit.btc retweeted
BINANCE MONITORING TAG
CASE STUDY: FLOW vs $STX
I went back through Binance’s official Monitoring Tag history.
The fastest removal case I have been able to verify from Binance’s official
announcements is
FLOW: 63 days.
FLOW Tag added: Jan 2, 2026
Tag removed: Mar 6, 2026
Duration: 63 days
What happened before removal?
FLOW had suffered an actual network security exploit. Counterfeit tokens were created. The network was halted.
Then:
→ vulnerability patched
→ network restored
→ 87.4B counterfeit FLOW destroyed
→ remediation completed on-chain
→ Binance independently reviewed the resolution
→ Binance + Flow issued a joint resolution
→ Monitoring Tag removed
Now compare that with $STX.
STX Tag added: Jul 24, 2026
Today: Sep 18, 2026
Duration so far: 56 days
According to the Stacks Endowment, the STX tag was associated with Binance’s review of:
→ PoX-5 consensus upgrade
→ changes to STX issuance
→ Binance’s internal review process
Since then:
→ PoX-5 activated successfully
→ block production continued through the transition
→ Bitcoin Staking went live
→ Genesis Bond launched with real institutional capital
→ 250 BTC bonded
→ Genesis capacity fully filled
→ 21Shares participated
→ HashKey Cloud participated
→ UTXO Management participated
→ Sypher Capital participated
→ Bonding Period 2 registration is already underway
FLOW had an actual exploit and still cleared Binance’s review in 63 days.
STX is now on day 56.
That does NOT mean STX must be cleared on day 63. Binance has never published a 63-day removal rule.
But it does create a very interesting benchmark:
FLOW Day 63: remediation verified → tag removed
STX Day 56: upgrade successful → institutional product live → real BTC bonded → tag remains
If the original concern was the upgrade + issuance change, the question is becoming increasingly simple:
What exactly is Binance still waiting to verify?
Their platform.
Their review.
Their data.
Day 63 for STX = Sep 25.
Not a prediction.
Just a historical comparison using Binance’s own precedent.
NFA. DYOR.
$STX
@binance @BinanceHelpDesk
Hobbit.btc retweeted
There comes a point we all just need to collectively agree to stop having health insurance. Full system collapse until they bring back catastrophic plans that cost a couple hundred a month. I don’t need health insurance to cover taking my kid to the doctor. Hell, I don’t even need it to cover a bill if he breaks an arm and it costs a couple thousand. Declaring bankruptcy because you get into a car crash and need life saving surgery and getting stuck with a huge medical bill (or just paying it off till you die) should not be the better option than paying over $1,000 a month for premiums.
Hobbit.btc retweeted
Happy Birthday America!
If I was born in any other country I wouldn’t be where I am today. I wasn’t born into wealth. I shouldn’t be MrBeast. This country gave me the freedom to chase my dreams and mindset that I can achieve anything. America isn’t perfect but dam I love her 🇺🇸
Hobbit.btc retweeted
Good for him!
Project Hail Mary writer Andy Weir on social commentary in books:
"I dislike social commentary. Like… I really hate it. When I’m reading a book, I just want to be entertained, not preached at by the author. Plus, it ruins the wonder of the story if I know the author has a political or social axe to grind. I no longer speculate about all possible outcomes of the story because I know for a fact that the universe of that book will conspire to ensure that the author’s political agenda is validated. I hate that."
"I put no politics or social commentary into my stories at all. Anyone who thinks they see something like that is reading it in on their own. I have no point to make, and I’m not trying to affect the reader’s opinion on anything. My sole job is to entertain, and I stick to that."
"To that end, I also don’t talk about my personal political opinions publicly. I don’t want readers to even know, honestly. I don’t want that in the back of their minds as they read my stuff."
Is this why he has the #1 sci-fi movie in decades?
Hobbit.btc retweeted
“Then I told the horse, ‘cars won’t replace ya, but horses who drive cars will!’”
Hobbit.btc retweeted
AI must pass, in general, the “Galileo” test: even if almost all the training data repeats falsehoods, it must nonetheless see the truth
Happy Birthday to Galileo Galilei.✍️
Born on February 15, 1564, Galileo was a pioneering scientist whose observations transformed humanity’s understanding of the universe. Through his telescopic discoveries - including the moons of Jupiter and the phases of Venus - he provided powerful evidence that challenged long-held beliefs and supported the motion of the Earth.
Widely regarded as the Father of modern astronomy, his dedication to observation, evidence, and scientific inquiry laid the foundation for modern science.
Hobbit.btc retweeted
Fork attempts based on legal threats to custodians and miners are a bigger threat to Bitcoin than spam.
Hobbit.btc retweeted
We went “asset heavy” years ago when the en vogue move for miners was to go asset light and stack asics.
We bought land.
We bought data centers.
We built substations.
We partnered with utilities.
We stacked power purchase agreements.
We own our infrastructure.
All the while stacking 13k BTC at 54%+ gross margins.
We use that MASSIVE stack of bitcoin as collateral to borrow cheap fiat and build more infrastructure. Also. We’re about to celebrate ONE WHOLE YEAR without selling a single share of equity and no ATM.
Z E R O EQUITY DILUTION OF ANY KIND SINCE 11/24.
Now all you hear about is the value of land and power.
It’s almost like the perfect storm.
33 data center locations. 1.03GW of CONTRACTED, AVAILABLE POWER.
1.7GW CURRENT PIPELINE.
Major cities. Rural communities. More to come.
Right where we need to be.
Stay tuned. $clsk @CleanSpark_Inc
Hobbit.btc retweeted
ugh. far worse than i could've imagined. skipped past slippery slope arguments, @lukedashjr / knots plan is to jump straight to the censorship tech that myself and @csuwildcat were specifically warning about with legal citations from prior internet cases. teapawt.net/theragetech/status/197…
🚨LEAKED: LUKE DASHJR PLANS HARDFORK TO "SAVE BITCOIN"
Text messages show the Knots maintainer is considering a hardfork to implement a trusted multisig committee that can retrospectively alter the blockchain to remove illicit content.
Full story👇
therage.co/leaked-luke-dashj…
Hobbit.btc retweeted
Did you know that you can just continue to run Core v29, which signals your opposition to the proposed changes without also signaling that you are retarded (by running Knots)?
Hobbit.btc retweeted
You’re not broke because of Netflix, avocado toast, or Starbucks.
You’re broke because your government printed $7 trillion and handed it to banks and defense contractors.
Buy Bitcoin, not another latte.
Hobbit.btc retweeted
That's 0.07% of global energy use (comparable to many other random industries, and often using otherwise wasted/stranded energy).
Its service is that it gives people an alternative for when the IMF comes and makes a deal with your country's govt to devalue your currency. 😉
Bitcoin consumes as much electricity as Argentina but isn't counted in GDP because it doesn't create traditional goods or services. The updated System of National Accounts classifies crypto assets as national wealth for better economic measurement. imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/20…
Hobbit.btc retweeted
Misleading statistic because much of Bitcoin's energy usage is often from stranded, wasted sources that others cannot utilize. It has also been shown in 20 peer reviewed papers and 7 independent studies to stabilize and decarbonize grids, mitigate methane and lower electricity prices and is 52.4% sustainably powered (unlike the much lower sustainable power mix of the banking industry, and gold mining - which Bitcoin provides viable and technologically superior alternatives to)
source: teapawt.net/DSBatten/status/192301…
Contrary to the implications of this tweet, Bitcoin has 19 well documented usecases that create value to society.
source: teapawt.net/DSBatten/status/183387…
Important context: Bitcoin threatens IMF with disintermediation in 5 ways which I have categories previously here --> teapawt.net/DSBatten/status/187355…
and IMF has a reputation for openly opposing Bitcoin, repeatedly citing "concerns" that have consistently failed to materialize. (source: bitcoinmagazine.com/featured…)
Its perspective on Bitcoin is neither neutral nor objective.
Why is the IMF so critical of Bitcoin? Why was the IMF so intent on imposing strict anti-Bitcoin conditions over El Salvador?
Simple. Bitcoin represents erosion of IMF influence over global financial architecture in not one but five key ways.
1. Loss of Lending Leverage
The IMF provides loans, chiefly though not exclusively to developing nations, often requiring reforms such as "structural adjustments" (such as reducing corporate taxation, currency devaluation, and austerity measures) in return. If Bitcoin enables countries to access alternative funding sources or operate outside the traditional financial system, it diminishes the IMF's ability to impose these conditions and influence economic policies.
2. Disruption of Financial Surveillance
The IMF conducts financial surveillance to (in their words) "assess risks and provide guidance to its members". Bitcoin’s decentralized and pseudonymous nature undercuts the IMF's oversight role, directly weakening its authority and power in the international arena.
3. Undermining the need for Special Drawing Rights (SDRs)
Bitcoin has the ability to replace Special Drawing Rights as a global reserve asset. The IMF uses Special Drawing Rights as a supplementary international reserve asset. Making SDRs less relevant reduces demand for IMF-led financial tools, impacting the institution's ability to coordinate international liquidity.
4. Direct Threat to IMF-Backed CBDCs
Many IMF member countries are developing Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), often with technical and policy guidance from the IMF. Bitcoin represents an opposing digital currency vision of the future: Simply put, Bitcoin gives more financial autonomy to people; CBDCs centralize more power with Central Banks. The adoption of Bitcoin over CBDCs reduces the IMF’s role in shaping digital "financial innovation" and diminishes its influence over the digital global monetary system.
5. Bitcoin is already weakening the IMF's core business model
The IMF generates revenue chiefly from interest on loans. Bitcoin adoption has already strengthened the economies of Bhutan, El Salvador and Ethiopia, reducing their reliance on IMF programs. More widespread adoption reduces the IMF's customer-base and weakens their core business model of providing loan financing to developing nation states.
For many decades, the IMF has enjoyed a position at the center of the global financial system, working with central banks and governments to influence economic policy. Bitcoin, being decentralized, bypasses these institutions entirely.
Widespread Bitcoin adoption reduces the IMF's ability to act as a gatekeeper and mediator in global financial matters, threatening its relevance.
Hobbit.btc retweeted
Two years ago, @JeffBooth challenged me to say why the ultimate environmental benefit of Bitcoin is how it replaces the fiat economy's incentive to consume and waste, with a Bitcoin incentive to think about tomorrow and save
Took me two years Jeff, but here it is!
