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Antarctica
Joined January 2020
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I’ve lost interest in putting in that much effort for frequent videos tbh. A lot goes into it and the outcome is mostly just attracting weirdos. Don’t feel like they’re appreciated much for what goes into them.
Last vid was 4th June and I think it does all the talking, needs little follow-up. Ironically the worst-performing for what was the most-needed watch.
I was thinking to maybe drop videos directly here instead. We’ll see. Maybe after Innovation 2.0 launches I’ll have more time to consider it.
If people want my thoughts, plays, ideas etc they know where to find me in the app 📱
youtu.be/LT8a8wdLn_U?si=nwpw…
I thought it was good anyway. I like doing videos like this.
You're not going to get much out of this PA, so there's not much benefit trying to fight it or figure it out entirely.
Everything technical (whilst most prefer to rely on hopes and faith) is down to how many confluences you can identify to make a justified prediction. In an area such as here where you cannot acquire that clearly, due to endless chop, dojis, nonsense etc...
Your best bet is:
1. Do nothing if you cannot find a clear bias and are purely participating for the sake of participating.
2. Use higher timeframes to determine what is happening from a larger structural basis, which can bring clarity to what is seemingly just nonsense and noise on an interday basis. It can help identify why noise is happening and where. It somewhat adds an extra edge if not attainable on lower timeframes.
3. Try to envision what everyone else is thinking, doing, feeling.
4. Understand the implications of both sides (oh no both sides he must not know what he's doing!). You're in an area where there's a delicate balance of both possibilities, it's a mess, so understand the implications of what breaking lower means, and what it brings after. Do not fall under the illusion that let's say a -7% to -14% correction after a +50% rally is large, or negative. Use it to your advantage.
From what my own eyes and doodles see, if we hold here, we should be able to see a very nice push above $90,000. I would like to believe that happens and what I think will. That would be where a correction is most plausible, dependent on closures, if one isn't seen here. That will be where we get close to the psychological $100K mark and capital flows increase, alongside FOMO. That correction would bring fear, get some bears calling for new lows again, then we can expect ATHs if we don't straight rip into year-end.
Interestingly, as you would have seen from all the Chain Flow newsletters, and will do in tonight's issue... all of this movement, from BTC to alts has been achieved with restrictive capital flows. There's barely any new capital actually entering and contributing to this yet. It's been short liquidations ripped a new ass.. and all selling being continuously absorbed by existing capital.
Irrespective of the outcome here... if we see the correction, we will then see ATHs. If I am wrong and the correction happens here, the move up will be larger, more aggressive. If the move up happens here without it, the correction likely follows from there, probs like -10%, then proceeding higher.
I like to always consider what everyone else would be doing here. Let's face it, most wanted lower, so most will not be fully allocated, or sidelined. We've broken just high enough for the sidelined to become a little nervous.. but not necessarily being driven to forcefully enter yet.. This comes as we approach closer to $100K. This is likely the catalyst for more capital flows.
In the blink of an eye, the opportunity to buy at $60,000, if not just under, several times since Feb 2026 has been taken away. Opportunity cost now results in buying at a +50% premium due to being a victim of fear. Alts were apparently dead, the 4-year cycle bottom in October, all the narratives that emerge when you actually should be buying. Coins like QNT going back to ATHs in a single week. Does this look like a market that's dead to you?
Where we are is enough to still give some hope they will get the dip they desire, especially if we get the dip. It will reinforce the belief it's a bull trap. If we lose this floor, they will likely get the dip (shown on chart), but they won't buy regardless, because they will want much lower still.
Even in this current area, the highs haven't been swept yet. Most still have this underlying belief of awaiting the pullback to get that opportunity for the pullback they keep waiting for. This would mean the congestion is likely being shorted. I'm using that as an addition to believe it could rip from here. It would be the catalyst for sentiment to properly flip. Eventually, the hand is forced to participate at the least desirable moment, where the pain can no longer be taken.
It's easy SL placement above the high here. At the very least sweep the highs to assess a pullback then. If we mysteriously dropped from here to the zones below without sweeping the high, lord behold, that's where all the liquidity would now be situated, now you know where the market is going to target next.
Generally, with bigger 'unexpected' moves that start to flip key levels, it can mark the dynamics of the journey higher shifting. Happens often. Dips become more shallow, the desired prices never get filled, the momentum continues. I would like to say an inshallah that is again one of those dynamics in development, currently it has been.
This is everything going through my mind currently.
Irrespective, same thoughts, the tide has turned. Mid-cycle correction, alt season, then probably something much more sinister that leads to the real bear later once alts have had their run and BTC dominance plummets back to previous lows seen in previous cycles. Good times ahead. Very good times.
You're not going to get much out of this PA, so there's not much benefit trying to fight it or figure it out entirely.
Everything technical (whilst most prefer to rely on hopes and faith) is down to how many confluences you can identify to make a justified prediction. In an area such as here where you cannot acquire that clearly, due to endless chop, dojis, nonsense etc...
Your best bet is:
1. Do nothing if you cannot find a clear bias and are purely participating for the sake of participating.
2. Use higher timeframes to determine what is happening from a larger structural basis, which can bring clarity to what is seemingly just nonsense and noise on an interday basis. It can help identify why noise is happening and where. It somewhat adds an extra edge if not attainable on lower timeframes.
3. Try to envision what everyone else is thinking, doing, feeling.
4. Understand the implications of both sides (oh no both sides he must not know what he's doing!). You're in an area where there's a delicate balance of both possibilities, it's a mess, so understand the implications of what breaking lower means, and what it brings after. Do not fall under the illusion that let's say a -7% to -14% correction after a +50% rally is large, or negative. Use it to your advantage.
From what my own eyes and doodles see, if we hold here, we should be able to see a very nice push above $90,000. I would like to believe that happens and what I think will. That would be where a correction is most plausible, dependent on closures, if one isn't seen here. That will be where we get close to the psychological $100K mark and capital flows increase, alongside FOMO. That correction would bring fear, get some bears calling for new lows again, then we can expect ATHs if we don't straight rip into year-end.
Interestingly, as you would have seen from all the Chain Flow newsletters, and will do in tonight's issue... all of this movement, from BTC to alts has been achieved with restrictive capital flows. There's barely any new capital actually entering and contributing to this yet. It's been short liquidations ripped a new ass.. and all selling being continuously absorbed by existing capital.
Irrespective of the outcome here... if we see the correction, we will then see ATHs. If I am wrong and the correction happens here, the move up will be larger, more aggressive. If the move up happens here without it, the correction likely follows from there, probs like -10%, then proceeding higher.
I like to always consider what everyone else would be doing here. Let's face it, most wanted lower, so most will not be fully allocated, or sidelined. We've broken just high enough for the sidelined to become a little nervous.. but not necessarily being driven to forcefully enter yet.. This comes as we approach closer to $100K. This is likely the catalyst for more capital flows.
In the blink of an eye, the opportunity to buy at $60,000, if not just under, several times since Feb 2026 has been taken away. Opportunity cost now results in buying at a +50% premium due to being a victim of fear. Alts were apparently dead, the 4-year cycle bottom in October, all the narratives that emerge when you actually should be buying. Coins like QNT going back to ATHs in a single week. Does this look like a market that's dead to you?
Where we are is enough to still give some hope they will get the dip they desire, especially if we get the dip. It will reinforce the belief it's a bull trap. If we lose this floor, they will likely get the dip (shown on chart), but they won't buy regardless, because they will want much lower still.
Even in this current area, the highs haven't been swept yet. Most still have this underlying belief of awaiting the pullback to get that opportunity for the pullback they keep waiting for. This would mean the congestion is likely being shorted. I'm using that as an addition to believe it could rip from here. It would be the catalyst for sentiment to properly flip. Eventually, the hand is forced to participate at the least desirable moment, where the pain can no longer be taken.
It's easy SL placement above the high here. At the very least sweep the highs to assess a pullback then. If we mysteriously dropped from here to the zones below without sweeping the high, lord behold, that's where all the liquidity would now be situated, now you know where the market is going to target next.
Generally, with bigger 'unexpected' moves that start to flip key levels, it can mark the dynamics of the journey higher shifting. Happens often. Dips become more shallow, the desired prices never get filled, the momentum continues. I would like to say an inshallah that is again one of those dynamics in development, currently it has been.
This is everything going through my mind currently.
Irrespective, same thoughts, the tide has turned. Mid-cycle correction, alt season, then probably something much more sinister that leads to the real bear later once alts have had their run and BTC dominance plummets back to previous lows seen in previous cycles. Good times ahead. Very good times.
The next Chain Flow issue will dropping to the free mailing shortly, you can get it here:
innovationmarkets.us20.list-…
I personally don’t follow much other than crypto with crypto. Sometimes it correlates, other times inversely.
Additional noise and data that I don’t think is necessarily needed. We often believe pursuing more data than we need is beneficial, it usually has the opposite effect.
Stock bros are such simps man.
I need like -99% in an hour to even have a glimmer of hope of feeling something these days.
BREAKING: Nike stock, $NKE, crashes another -6% to its lowest level since September 2013 after posting weaker than expected earnings.
The stock is now down -82% from its record high, erasing -$230 billion in market cap.
