Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades) header
Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades) profile picture

Former Bike racer. Founder & CEO of TMM @tmmastery. Crypto Trader & Investor. Lover of nerdy stuff.

Joined April 2022
Photo by Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades)Photo by Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades)Photo by Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades)Photo by Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades)Photo by Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades)Photo by Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades)Photo by Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades)Photo by Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades)Photo by Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades)Photo by Matt 🇦🇺 (@TozerTrades)
The TMM x BTCC Discipline 30 Challenge is complete. 30 days of trading, journaling, and managing risk. The final trading day was yesterday. Now there’s one last job. Submit your files in the comments today. If you missed the weekly submissions, one file covering all 30 days still counts. The final leaderboard and our first Discipline 30 champion drop today. Finish the admin. Get your submissions in. Then rest.
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TMM community, there will be no live sessions today or tomorrow. A new video goes live tonight at our usual upload time. Keep an eye out for it, and we’ll see you in the community.
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Bitcoin has a habit of revisiting old highs. In previous cycles, levels that once acted as resistance later became potential support during a correction. With BTC trading around $82K, the question is whether previous cycle highs can continue to hold as support, or whether price breaks below them. History provides context, not certainty. Identify the level, define your invalidation, and let price confirm the setup.
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UPTOBER VS MY PLAN. Uptober says up. But a calendar isn’t a trading signal. Today, Matt breaks down his crypto trading plan, the conditions he needs to see before entering, the confirmations that matter, and what would keep him on the sidelines. Because a green market doesn’t mean every setup is worth taking. Join us live in The Management Room 11:30 GMT
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Matt 🇦🇺 retweeted
Europe's open. BTC 80,867. Asia range today: 80,226 to 81,939. About $1,700 wide. ETH 2,357 (−6%). SOL 102 (−5%). Alt median −5.9%. Only four of the top alts green. OKX BTC funding still near flat (+0.006% per 8h). PPI and retail sales land at 12:30 GMT. Second print day in a row. How I run it: 1. Nothing new before the number. 2. Anything open has its stop where the plan put it. 3. Let the first 15-minute candle close. A wick isn't a close. 4. Then trade the level, not the headline.
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This week we keep building the Confluence Engine. We’ve got structure and participation locked in, so now we add the next two categories. D5-03 · Momentum and Session Timing Here’s what we’re covering: Momentum - is the move accelerating, or is it running out of steam? Reading strength, not just direction, and how it changes your confidence at a level The correlation trap - why running RSI, Stochastic and MACD together is just one input counted three times, and how to pick a single momentum read that actually earns its place Session and time - the market has a completely different personality at different times of day. The Asia and US handover, time-of-day liquidity, and why the same setup means different things in an active session versus a dead hour. This is the read we run every morning on the Asia Market Update And we formally open the deepest category of all, order flow, before we go all the way into it next One key thing to remember from this one: momentum and session don’t generate trades. Only structure does. These two sharpen your read on a level, they never create one out of nothing. Bring your charts and come ready to work. See you there. Stay sharp, stay disciplined and stay safe. This is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your own risk.
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The votes are in. Our little guy finally has a name. Meet DAX. Discipline. Analysis. Execution. Three words that represent what TMM stands for. Now they have a face, a pair of headphones, a coffee mug, and a surprisingly relaxed attitude toward market volatility. A big congratulations to Sagittarius, who came up with the winning name! We’ll be reaching out directly to get your T-shirt size and create a custom TMM tee featuring DAX, just for you. Thank you to everyone who submitted a name and took part in the vote. There were some great contenders, and the community made this one special. DAX is officially part of the TMM family, and you’ll be seeing a lot more of him around here. And the next time you’re tempted to break your trading rules, ask yourself one question: What would DAX do? Stay sharp. Stay disciplined. Stay safe.
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BTC finally answered. All week we mapped the double top: close below 82,300 or nothing. Wick one, bought up, no trade. Wick two, bought up, no trade. A wick is not a close. Now the level has properly broken and price is in the low 81s. First domino down. The measured move at 79,500-80,000 is in play.
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He's been on the TMM desk for a while now, and he still doesn't have a name. Tomorrow we're dropping our top 5, and you'll vote for the winner.
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First TMM live on X tonight. Matt and Bogdan break down today's market at 7:30 PM Manila / 11:30 GMT, streaming here and on YouTube. Charts, levels, and what would prove them wrong. No signals. Turn on notifications so you catch it.
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Altcoins just flashed a signal we haven’t seen in 3 years. Is this the start of a major rotation, or an early warning? We’re breaking down the latest altcoin market cap data and what this rare signal could mean for the market. LIVE AT 11:30 GMT.
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GOLD IS UNDER PRESSURE. Inflation fears are rising. Real yields are climbing. The dollar is moving. Now the question is: what happens to gold next? LIVE STARTS AT 11:30 GMT. We’re breaking down the charts, key levels, and the forces driving the move. Be there. The market won’t wait.
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solana:JUPyiwrYJFskUPiHa7hkeR8VUtAeFoSYbKedZNsDvCN setup from this morning's Asia Open. And no, it hasn't triggered. Price is pressing the descending trendline in the 0.2927 - 0.3015 zone. A closed candle above the trendline and 0.3175 opens the path to 0.3716. But CVD and OI are both still falling. Sellers in control. No turn confirmed. So we wait. Price pressing a level is not a trigger. A wick through resistance is not a trigger. Flow has to confirm the shift, or there's no trade. This is what Discipline 30 is actually about. The plan goes in the journal now. The entry only happens if the market earns it. Structure over speculation, every time. NFA. Educational only. DYOR.
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DAY 1 IS LIVE! The Discipline 30 is officially underway. 3 trades are already on the board: $TAO $RAY $ENA The journal is pinned in the Discipline 30 Circle space. Take the trades. Journal them. Attach your P&L card. Stack your points. And yes, there’s a $250 prize from @BTCCexchange for the leaderboard. Day 1, LFG!
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Can you survive The Discipline 30 trading challenge? We’re breaking down the challenge, the rules, the Discipline Score and exactly how to join ahead of Day 1 on September 21. Plus the market: Fed, yields, stocks and Bitcoin. We’ll map the charts and key scenarios live at 15:30 GMT / 11:30 AM ET. Watch. Learn. Manage. 👇 youtube.com/live/RPNvCkcrCLY…
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We’ve partnered with @BTCCexchange for something we’ve been building specifically for the TMM community. The Discipline 30. 30 days. One account. One process. One journal. Matt (@TozerTrades) and Bogdan (@Bogdan310716061) will be trading the TMM live account alongside you every weekday, with a leaderboard running throughout the challenge. Here’s how you get involved. 👇🏻
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Matt 🇦🇺 retweeted
CLARITY Act failed $BTC drop to 75k Trade on BTCC🔎bit.ly/4wkr5A8
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near:native is now back at support. Level? ✅ Flow confirmation? ❌ This is exactly why we don’t treat every support/resistance touch as a trade. Watching for confirmation before doing anything. Full setup by @TozerTrades inside TMM.
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RT @TMMastery: Four events worth watching this week. The Fed, crypto policy, SEC market structure talks and the Bank of Japan are all on t…
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Yesterday's CPI was "in line" and NEAR still ran the textbook trap. Core: 0.3% vs 0.2% - hottest in 4 months. That was enough. The NEAR 1H told the story in three acts: Vertical spike into 2.77 resistance - stops run, breakout longs pulled in at the top Controlled stair-step dump back through the entire range, no bounce, 2.469 support broken Flatline in the 2.35s - move done, energy gone The spike buyers became the exit liquidity. Trapped within two candles, no way out. If you were flat, it was theatre. That's the point: Reduce before known events Never chase the first move No confluence, no trade Size to survive Fed decision next week. Same rules.
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