Former Athlete; Data Analyst; Sports Handicapper; Crypto investor; Founder & creator of the "Market Efficiency Database"
Chicago, IL
Joined January 2022
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For the stand alone videos we advance to 17-1
BEARS ML (1u)✅
BEARS -3 (1u)✅
But for those of you in discord/dubclub? We continued adding to our positions:
BEARS 1H ML (1u)✅
BEARS ML (1u)✅
BEARS ML Parlay (2u)✅✅
The grind continues to pay.....
dubclub.win/TroyTorrence11/
BEARS vs. PATRIOTS:
(Thursday Night Football)
9 videos breaking down individual games this season; 15-1-2 record.
This game in particular is a fascinating handicap. Does the “Dog on Primetime” trend continue?
youtu.be/YjU70559RjM?is=c_m7…
It took 5 blood transfusions and 2 weeks in the NICU, but we finally got to bring our baby boy home this afternoon.
Thanks for all the support, prayers, and love you guys sent our way the past few months…
God is good!
Nobody is sharper than the bookies:
SeahawksML(2u)✅
Seahawks-2.5(1u)✅
Seahawks+Vikes(1u)✅
Chiefs TT un20.5(1u)✅
RR:Seahawks+Lions+Rams(2.3u)✅
NFL Wk 7=+16.1u
NFL YTD=+52.3u
When you make a bet, you should ask yourself; What do the bookies want me to do in this spot?
Last week we cashed 4/6 multi-unit bets which led us to a profitable week.
The opportunity wasn't quite as great this week with only 4 spots commanding a heavier sizing.
(Incl. the Bears)
But there are 2 sides remaining on the Week 7 slate where we CLEARLY have a massive edge.
90% of my time handicapping gets allocated to the NFL. However, we have been streaking....
Padding the bankroll before Sunday? Nothing better.
NFL WEEK 7 (VIKINGS vs. COLTS)
🚨**Important: Read until the end**🚨
The most influential variable in this game is projecting how Daniel Jones will play against the Flores Blitz.
Since his injuries last season, we've seen a descent in all the numbers we would see in a less mobile QB. (P2S%, Under center, Read option usage, scramble rate, etc)
Daniel Jones has only faced 1 team that blitzed him more than 35% of dropbacks --> Commanders
Jones posted a 53 passer rating, 4.2 YPA, 0TD:1INT
Flip the equation and I ask myself; Can I trust Kyler Murray to cover the number? Numerically, I could easily make the case.
Unfortunately, the new "Call of Duty" just dropped and I've heard he's been bingeing.
@Vikings @Colts
Going live shortly to start breaking this game down even further.
Let me know what your positions are in the chat.
New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears PreGame Show | NFL Football Week 7... youtube.com/live/xmJYIRRaDgY… via @YouTube
Truly shocking market in Thursday Night Football…. I guess people are really buying into the “Primetime Dog” narrative.
Patriots vs Bears Prediction: Best Bet for NFL Week 7 youtu.be/YjU70559RjM?is=xeFM… via @YouTube
Patriots vs Bears Prediction: Best Bet for NFL Week 7 youtu.be/YjU70559RjM?is=xeFM… via @YouTube
BEARS vs. PATRIOTS:
(Thursday Night Football)
9 videos breaking down individual games this season; 15-1-2 record.
This game in particular is a fascinating handicap. Does the “Dog on Primetime” trend continue?
youtu.be/YjU70559RjM?is=c_m7…
Tough handicap for Thursday Night Football, but I think the streak shall continue.
If you want a breakdown on a particular game, let me know in the comments. (Recording tomorrow)
Seahawks vs Broncos Prediction: Best Bet for NFL Week 6 youtu.be/q_i5amYdG6s?is=AyBc… via @YouTube
NFL YTD & WEEK 7:
Despite all the hurdles in my personal life, my week 7 card is finally starting to come together.
We've had a beautiful season through 6 weeks. +36.18u (+16.75% ROI)
I've moved on 6 games thus far, with 2 more spots pending market confirmation.
Commanders1H+5.5 (1u)✖️
CommandersFG+7.5(2u)✅
CommandersLIVE+18.5(2u)✅
Commanders49ERS TT un30.5(1u)✅
Nobody is sharper than the bookies....
49ers open -8 with 70%+ of bets and cash.
Bookies - "Oh you like that -8, heres a -7.5."
The public continues to pile in on San Fran.
Bookies - "Fk it, take off the hook, heres a -7 for everyone!"
That's why I built the Market Efficiency Database, to quantify this market environment.
I’ll be going live at to breakdown this Monday Night Football game @PubSportsRadio in 10-15 minutes.
Another day —> more opportunity.
I hope to see you chat!
Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers PreGame Show | NFL Footbal... youtube.com/live/k-6m-po1eJQ… via @YouTube
49ERS vs. COMMANDERS:
2 questions:
How can you back the Commanders with confidence after what we seen from their defense?
How can you back the 5-0 49ers knowing they’re at the top of their market off a marquee win?
Of course I’ve taken a position, it’s Monday night….
49ERS vs. COMMANDERS:
(Monday Night Football)
What’s the move tonight? Is it as easy as backing the very public 5-0 49ers?
Despite the success in 3 of 5 multi unit spots, 2 big blemishes put a damper on the day:
Cowboys ML (3.5u)✖️
Cowboys+7.5,Bucs+8.5 (1u)✖️
Cowboys+13.5 (1u)✅
Chargers+8.5 (1u)✖️
Chargers+7.5 (1u)✖️
Chiefs TT un26.5 (0.5u)✅
I can live with the Chargers loss as my handicap was within range.
As it pertains to the Cowboys; I built a solid case --> Cowboys extra rest off embarrassing loss, Packers blow out win, solid market history, and a case to be made in the matchup.
Dak Prescott's home/road dichotomy should have overrode all of that.
Losing 1-2 units on Dallas? Acceptable
Losing 4-5 units on Dallas? Unacceptable
Raiders 1H+3.5✅
Raiders+5.5✅
Raiders+6✅
Raiders ML✖️
Raiders+9.5 *Live*✅
We came through the backdoor....
Which will be open in perpetuity against the Buffalo Bills.
RAIDERS vs. BILLS (NFL WEEK 6)
I find this game to be fascinating, particularly because I faded the Raiders with a max bet in week 5.
As I started handicapping this game, I quickly realized that all the reasons I was buying the Patriots are not present this week. In fact it's the exact opposite.
Patriots Defense = Elite vs. Play-Action
Bills Defense = Terrible vs. Play-Action
(Kirk Cousins Elite via play-action)
Patriots Defense = Single High/Middle Closed
Bills Defense = 2 high/Middle Open
(Kirk Cousins attacking in between the numbers)
Situionally, does it get any better?
Bills off OT win on the west coast.
Raiders off back-to-back losses, back at home, indoors on a fast track.
And don't even get me started on this market environment..... Which is about as Bullish as it gets.
The 2nd multi-unit bet:
Saints ML (3.5u)✅✅✅
Last 2 spots just kicked off.... Let the uptrend continue.
The 1st multi-unit bet:
Texans+3 (2u)✅✅
Texans+3.5 (1u)✅
TexansML (1u)✅
Texans+8.5/Bucs+8.5 (TBD)
CJ Stroud was built to take advantage of the Jags defense....
We got 3 more big wagers still pending...
1 kicks off in 10 mins.
2 of them in the afternoon slate
