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Trueo × DefiLlama
We’re proud to announce that Crypto’s analytics powerhouse is now a distribution partner for Trueo!
Our prediction markets are live on @DefiLlama dashboards, bringing markets on risk, revenue, AUM, and other metrics directly to the users tracking the data.
GRADUATED MARKET 🎓
Will the BoE raise Bank Rate at its Nov 5, 2026 MPC decision?
Odds: 87%
trueo.com/en/proposal/818
GRADUATED MARKET 🎓
RBA raises cash rate at Nov 3, 2026 decision?
Odds: 52%
trueo.com/en/proposal/816
GRADUATED MARKET 🎓
Kalshi blocks Utah users by Dec 31, 2026?
Odds: 43%
trueo.com/en/proposal/817
GOLD $5K A DREAM? 🥇
@Cointelegraph reports gold fell $116 to close just above $4,000. Trueo has gold at 61% Yes to hit $5,000 in 2026.
trueo.com/en/market/0x8848d9…
MACRO WATCH 🇯🇵
JAPAN'S CORE CPI ROSE TO 2.1% IN SEPTEMBER FROM 1.7% IN AUGUST, TOPPING THE BOJ TARGET AND CEMENTING A NEAR-TERM RATE HIKE CHANCE.
BOJ FY2027 CPI ABOVE 2.4% ODDS: 72%
trueo.com/en/market/0xe58ee7…
Japan core inflation exceeds BOJ target, cements near-term rate hike chance reuters.com/world/asia-pacif…
PREDICTION MARKET WATCH 🔀
POLYMARKET HAS REPORTEDLY FIRED CMO MATTHEW MODABBER FOLLOWING AN INTERNAL INVESTIGATION, ACCORDING TO THE NEW YORK POST.
NEW: Polymarket has fired its chief marketing officer, Matthew Modabber, who was closely allied with CEO Shayne Coplan, the New York Post reported.
This reportedly followed an internal investigation that started earlier this year after a series of incidents raised concerns among the company's investors.
USD0 ODDS UPDATE 📉
Will USD0 depeg before 2028? Trueo is now 32%, down from 47% at graduation.
trueo.com/en/market/0x998971…
TRUMP'S IRAN RHETORIC 🇮🇷
@Cointelegraph reports Trump accused Iran of fabricating attacks to drive up oil prices ahead of the U.S. midterms. Trueo has a Trump-announced Iran deal by Nov 2 at 13% Yes.
trueo.com/en/market/0xad9077…
Trueo retweeted
The new @DefiLlama markets are really hitting the mark... brutal time for the internet these days. Stay safu frens 🫡
Will there be a $5M+ hack this week? @Trueo_ trueo.com/market/0x83568a629…
STARKNET UPDATE 🗳️
THE STARKNET COMMUNITY VOTED TO RESEARCH BECOMING AN INDEPENDENT POST-QUANTUM L1, WITH A JOINT STARKWARE AND STARKNET FOUNDATION WORKING GROUP LEADING THE RESEARCH.
STARKNET L1 BY JAN 21 ODDS: 6%
trueo.com/en/market/0x8c6bca…
The Starknet community has voted to research whether Starknet should become an independent, post-quantum L1.
Starting today, a joint @StarkWareLtd × @StarknetFndn working group will lead the research and publish a paper in the coming months.
HASHRATE WATCH ⛏️
BITCOIN'S HASHRATE HIT A SEVEN-MONTH HIGH ABOVE 1 ZH/S, INTENSIFYING MINING COMPETITION AS MAJOR MINERS SHIFT CAPACITY TO AI.
1,000 EH/S HASHRATE ON JAN 1 ODDS: 45%
trueo.com/en/market/0xa81cc5…
DEX LAUNCH WATCH 🚀
UNISWAP LAUNCHED AGGREGATOR HOOKS ON ETHEREUM, BASE AND ROBINHOOD CHAIN, WRAPPING EXTERNAL LIQUIDITY INTO V4 POOLS WITH FEES THAT BURN UNI.
Trueo retweeted
Will Hyperliquid October revenue exceed $60M?
The market says 82.6% yes.
One of 8 revenue markets we've launched with @Trueo_ to trade protocol revenue numbers directly.
You can now trade protocol revenue and exploit odds. We're partnering with Trueo to launch new prediction markets that settle based on DefiLlama data.
Revenue Markets
If you follow the revenue meta, you can now trade that directly on Trueo. We launched markets for Hyperliquid, Pump, Aero, Uniswap, Collector Crypt, and Papertrade revenue.
Exploit Markets
Hedge against exploit risk by trading the odds of total DeFi hacks and exploits of specific protocols. We have markets for whether there will be exploits of Aave and Morpho this month. We also have weekly and monthly markets for the size of the largest hack.
Other Onchain Metrics
Robinhood Chain RWA mcap, Robinhood Chain DEX volume, and whether Solana or Base ends the week with higher TVL.
defillama.com/predictions
ETH WHALES ARE BUYING 🐋
@lookonchain reports whales are accumulating ETH: one withdrew 10,954 ETH ($26.97M) from Kraken and staked it. Trueo has ETH making no new low before 2027 at 85% Yes.
trueo.com/en/market/0x98d600…
Whales are accumulating $ETH!
0x4A85 withdrew 10,954 $ETH ($26.97M) from #Kraken and staked it after 4 months of inactivity.
0xdeA6 withdrew 9,000 $ETH ($22.42M) from #Binance and deposited it into Aave.
0xD338 withdrew 4,500 $ETH ($11.29M) from #Binance 10 hours ago.
arkm.com/explorer/address/0x…
arkm.com/explorer/address/0x…
arkm.com/explorer/address/0x…
Trueo retweeted
Excited to share that I'm now an attester for @Trueo_. Trueo lets anyone create a prediction market.
Disputes are resolved by attesters that are willing to stake our reputation behind decisions.
Skin in the game, as it should be.