Independent and Non-Partisan think-tank. Focused on: Geopolitics | Security | Intelligence | Indo-Pacific | West-Asia | Counter-Terrorism | Defense | Technology

India
Joined May 2020
Registrations are now open for the 5th edition of the Usanas Scholars Program 2027! Explore the evolving landscape of #Terrorism, from proxy warfare to digital jihad, and its implications for #GlobalSecurity and #Geopolitics. ๐Ÿ”— Register here: usanasfoundation.com/usanas-โ€ฆ
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Usanas Foundation retweeted
NETWORKED TERROR AND SILENT SIGNALS: DECRYPTING AL-QAEDA CYBER-RADICALISATION MODULE IN PUNE The unearthing of the Zubair Hangargekar module by Maharashtra ATS in Pune is not just another arrest. It is a textbook case of the new architecture of terror. An ideologically driven, professionally successful software engineer, active for years, completely under the radar of both agencies and employer. No travel to conflict zones, no physical handler, just online propaganda, translated magazines, and social media used for identification, cultivation and mobilisation. Why Pune, again? From German Bakery 2010, to the 2012 low-intensity blast, to the Kondhwa ISIS module, to now AQIS, Pune keeps recurring on our counter-terrorism map. It is not a coincidence. The city offers a unique triad that makes it an ideal ecosystem for concealed operations: 1. A large, highly educated techie talent pool 2. Diverse demographics for seamless blending 3. High physical mobility with proximity to Mumbai This module also fits the larger story of Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent. Announced by Ayman al-Zawahiri in September 2014 to revive AQ's relevance in the region, and led initially by Maulana Asim Umar, AQIS post-2019 has shifted from a kinetic organisation to a predominantly online propaganda and recruitment network. The Pune module was more a propaganda and recruitment cell than a fully operational violent unit, though the recovery of bomb-making material shows the pathway to violence was real and present. I have tried to unpack this changing model in my latest article, the shift from physical networks to cyber-enabled radicalisation, the vulnerabilities in our tech hubs, and what it means for counter-terrorism preparedness. #CounterTerrorism #InternalSecurity #AQIS #CyberRadicalisation #MaharashtraATS #NationalSecurity #Pune #CounteringViolentExtremism usanasfoundation.com/networkโ€ฆ
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Usanas Foundation retweeted
"๐†๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ฌ ๐Ž๐ง ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ โ€“ ๐…๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐‘๐ž๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ: ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐•๐ข๐š๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐€๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‚๐ก๐ข๐ง๐š-๐Œ๐ฒ๐š๐ง๐ฆ๐š๐ซ ๐„๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ ๐‚๐จ๐ซ๐ซ๐ข๐๐จ๐ซ" published in #TheFrontierManipur - Based on Myanmarโ€™s political and security landscape as of September 2026, this report evaluates the implementation status and viability of key CMEC projects and future trajectory. At a glance, the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC) suggests a bold strategic move by China; a multi-billion-dollar network of ports, railways and pipelines offering a shortcut to the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) to bypass the critical Strait of Malacca and transform Myanmar into a regional hub. Almost a decade on, the ground reality is different. Most projects remain stuck at the planning stage or on paper, except for the oil and gas pipelines that were already operational before CMEC was formally launched. The setback isnโ€™t a lack of drive, but the internal conflict and fractured landscape in Myanmar. Presently, these contested territories lie along the primary route of the CMEC. ๐–๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ค๐ฌ: Only the China-Myanmar Oil & Gas Pipelines are fully operational and revenue-generating - the sole high-viability asset. ๐–๐ก๐š๐ญโ€™๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ž๐:Kyaukphyu Deep Sea Port ($1.3Bn) - no material construction, ESIA incomplete, under Arakan Army control. Muse-Mandalay-Kyaukphyu Railway ($8.9Bn) - trapped in preparatory stage, surveys blocked. Same story for SEZ, highways, and CBECZs. ๐–๐ก๐ฒ:The corridor runs through actively contested zones. Myanmarโ€™s internal fragmentation is the major constraint, more than finance or diplomacy. FDI down โˆผ75% since 2021. ๐‚๐ก๐ข๐ง๐š'๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ญ:From building a seamless corridor to pragmatic risk-management - protecting what works, building inside Yunnan, brokering ceasefires and dealing directly with whoever holds ground. ๐•๐ข๐š๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐„๐ฏ๐š๐ฅ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: Low viability as a single IOR corridor in the next 3-5 years, moderate viability as a bundle of opportunistic projects. #NationalSecurity #ChinaMyanmarEconomicCorridor #BeltAndRoadInitiative #Geopolitics #Geoeconomics #Geostrategy #StrategicAffairs #ForeignPolicy #Myanmar #IOR #SoutheastAsia #ActEastPolicy #NeighbourhoodFirst #EnergySecurity #OilAndGas #RareEarths #Infrastructure #Connectivity #MaritimeSecurity #SecurityStudies #RiskAssessment thefrontiermanipur.com/geopoโ€ฆ
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Usanas Foundation retweeted
๐—–๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ-๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—บ ๐—”๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ - ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜: ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐——๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ โ€“ ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—บ๐˜† ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—ป #๐—จ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—™๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—”๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜†๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€: ๐˜ˆ๐˜˜๐˜๐˜š ๐˜—๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜”๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ (๐˜ก๐˜ถ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฌ๐˜ข๐˜ณ / ๐˜–๐˜ค๐˜ต 2025 - ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ถ๐˜ฃ ๐˜”๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ), ๐˜๐˜š๐˜๐˜š ๐˜’๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฉ๐˜ธ๐˜ข ๐˜”๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ / ๐˜“๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜—๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข ๐˜Š๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ (๐˜‘๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜บ 2023 - ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜š๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ-๐˜–๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ) & ๐˜ˆ๐˜บ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜š๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฉ ๐˜Š๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ (๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ 2026) โ€“ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜š๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ง-๐˜™๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ป๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜“๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜”๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ Violent extremism in India is undergoing a fundamental transformation. Encrypted messaging, VPNs and online propaganda have replaced traditional recruitment, with incubation now happening within Indian cities behind ordinary profiles of students and professionals. AQIS and ISIS, unable to establish physical footprints, are pivoting to digital platforms. The paper dissects three modules on four vectors: Structure, Financing, Communication Tradecraft, and External Direction vs Self-Radicalization. ๐—ž๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐˜€: ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ and ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—น: Shift from localized, physical safehouses to multi-platform, cross-screen communication conduits, complicating signal interception and intelligence gathering. ๐—ง๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐——๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: Systemic exploitation of open and dark-web channels to disseminate tailored propaganda, recruit assets, and execute remote indoctrination. ๐—›๐˜†๐—ฏ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€: Blending open-source social media for outreach with end-to-end encrypted messaging layers for tactical execution and financial transfers. The new terrorist is not crossing borders. He is building legitimacy, logistics, and financing from a flat in a city, using a magazine, deleted PDFs, and encrypted chats. ๐™„๐™ฉโ€™๐™จ ๐™ฃ๐™ค ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™œ๐™š๐™ง ๐™–๐™—๐™ค๐™ช๐™ฉ ๐™˜๐™–๐™ฉ๐™˜๐™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™– ๐™ข๐™ค๐™™๐™ช๐™ก๐™š. ๐™„๐™ฉโ€™๐™จ ๐™–๐™—๐™ค๐™ช๐™ฉ ๐™™๐™š๐™ฉ๐™š๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™– ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™œ, ๐™จ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ฌ, ๐™˜๐™ฎ๐™—๐™š๐™ง-๐™š๐™ฃ๐™–๐™—๐™ก๐™š๐™™ ๐™ง๐™–๐™™๐™ž๐™˜๐™–๐™ก๐™ž๐™ฏ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™˜๐™š๐™จ๐™จ. ๐˜•๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ: ๐˜ˆ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ / ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ฆ. #CounterTerrorism #IntelligenceAnalysis #NationalSecurity #OSINT #Maharashtra #CyberRadicalization #DigitalThreats #Geopolitics usanasfoundation.com/three-sโ€ฆ Three Screens One Threat: Mapping Digital Terror Network in Maharashtra - Usanas Foundation - Decode Diagnose Demystify
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In this article featured in The Sunday Guardian, our Distinguished Fellow, Michael Rubin @mrubin1971 , examines how #Pakistan and #Turkeyโ€™s ideological outreach and #sectarian rhetoric could deepen divisions in #India. He highlights the potential #security implications of cross-border #radicalisation and the need to recognise these evolving geopolitical challenges. Read the full article: sundayguardianlive.com/opiniโ€ฆ
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Terror networks are increasingly moving from physical spaces to digital platforms. In this paper , our Fellow, Lt Col Ujjual Abhishek Jha (Retd), examines how encrypted messaging, online propaganda and cyber-radicalisation are reshaping Indiaโ€™s internal security landscape. Drawing on three cases from #Maharashtra, he maps the evolving #DigitalTerrorism threat and its implications for #NationalSecurity. Read the full paper: usanasfoundation.com/three-sโ€ฆ
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Europe faces a growing challenge from #NihilisticViolentExtremism, where violence itself becomes the motivation, often fuelled by online subcultures and the exploitation of vulnerable youth. In this analysis, Shreya Nautiyal examines how digital platforms are reshaping #YouthRadicalisation and why #Europe needs stronger online safeguards, coordinated prevention and effective #DigitalSafety measures. Read the full analysis: usanasfoundation.com/misanthโ€ฆ
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How can India, Israel and Japan deepen cooperation amid intensifying great-power competition? In its panel discussion, โ€œIndiaโ€“Israelโ€“Japan: Forging a New Strategic Partnership,โ€ Usanas Foundation and the Consortium of Indo-Pacific Researchers @ConsortiumIndo , brought together expert perspectives on #IndoPacific security, defence technology, #EconomicSecurity and supply-chain resilience, while also examining Chinaโ€™s growing influence and the future of trilateral cooperation. @nagystephen1 @WitteCarice @Nina_Slama @mrubin1971 @abhinavpandya Watch the full discussion: youtu.be/NSSs22fbpJA?featureโ€ฆ
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Usanas Foundation retweeted
"China's population is crashing. This is the result of femicide. This is the result of thirty-six years of the one-child policy." MEF Director of Policy Analysis @mrubin1971 on a @UsanasF panel on India, Israel and Japan, warning demographic decline can often lead to war.
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Happy Dussehra to all! On this auspicious day, let's celebrate the triumph of good over evil. This day serves as a reminder that we are capable of vanquishing our inner demons and triumphingย overย them. #Dussehra #Dussehra2026 #DussehraWishes
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What does Pakistanโ€™s escalating crisis in #KhyberPakhtunkhwa mean for its political stability and regional security? Our Founder & CEO, Dr. Abhinav Pandya @abhinavpandya , analyses the imposition of emergency measures and Governorโ€™s Rule, the #PTI-led protests and the growing threat posed by the #TTP. The developments also raise important questions about Pakistanโ€™s territorial integrity and Indiaโ€™s #NationalSecurity. Watch the full analysis: youtu.be/-bX_7w5H-MU?si=ifP0โ€ฆ
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Pakistanโ€™s crisis in #KhyberPakhtunkhwa raises critical questions about internal stability and regional security. Our Founder & CEO, Dr. Abhinav Pandya @abhinavpandya , analyses the imposition of emergency measures and Governorโ€™s Rule, the #PTI protests led by Imran Khan, and the escalating #TTP threat. What do these developments mean for #Pakistanโ€™s territorial integrity and Indiaโ€™s #NationalSecurity? Watch the full video: youtu.be/-bX_7w5H-MU?si=ifP0โ€ฆ
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How can India, Israel and Japan build a stronger strategic partnership amid changing global alignments? Join Usanas Foundation and the Consortium of Indo-Pacific Researchers (CIPR) @ConsortiumIndo for a panel discussion on โ€œIndiaโ€“Israelโ€“Japan: Forging a New Strategic Partnership.โ€ The discussion will focus on shared interests, regional security and opportunities for deeper #IndoPacific cooperation and #StrategicPartnerships. @mrubin1971 @Nina_Slama @nagystephen1 @WitteCarice October 16, 2026 | 6:00 PM IST ๐Ÿ’ป Cisco Webex Register here: usanasfoundation.com/panel-dโ€ฆ
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In this video, our Founder & CEO, Dr. Abhinav Pandya @abhinavpandya , traces the history of #Islam in South Asia, from the Arab conquest of Sindh in 712 AD to the Partition of India in 1947. He examines key historical events, the rise of #Sufism, the Bhakti movement, religious reform movements and political developments that shaped #IndianHistory and the regionโ€™s #Geopolitics. Watch the full video: youtu.be/i6gjKudlUNg?si=wbHsโ€ฆ
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How can India, Israel and Japan deepen strategic cooperation amid shifting regional and global dynamics? Join Usanas Foundation and the Consortium of Indo-Pacific Researchers @ConsortiumIndo, for โ€œIndiaโ€“Israelโ€“Japan: Forging a New Strategic Partnership,โ€ featuring Dr. Michael Rubin @mrubin1971 , Dr. Stephen R. Nagy @nagystephen1 , Nina Slama @Nina_Slama and Carice Witte @WitteCarice . The panel will discuss opportunities for #TrilateralCooperation, #IndoPacific security and regional #Geopolitics. October 16, 2026 | 6:00 PM IST ๐Ÿ’ป Cisco Webex Register here: usanasfoundation.com/panel-dโ€ฆ
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Join Usanas Foundation and Consortium of Indo-Pacific Researchers @ConsortiumIndo for a panel discussion on โ€œIndiaโ€“Israelโ€“Japan: Forging a New Strategic Partnership.โ€ Experts Dr. Michael Rubin @mrubin1971 , Dr. Stephen R. Nagy @nagystephen1 , Nina Slama @Nina_Slama and Carice Witte @WitteCarice , will explore opportunities for deeper trilateral cooperation and its implications for regional #Geopolitics, #IndoPacific security and #StrategicPartnerships. October 16, 2026 | 6:00 PM IST ๐Ÿ’ป Cisco Webex Register here: usanasfoundation.com/panel-dโ€ฆ
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