Co-founder of Seawolf Capital- Binghamton University Alum- Mets, Jets and Value Investing Go Hand in Hand

Joined June 2012
Vincent Daniel retweeted
This week, I hosted my annual Daily Dirtnap conference in Nashville. About 140 people were in attendance, with some of the brightest minds in finance as presenters. And a party at Nashville's greatest underground club! Everything about it was perfect. And thanks to all those who helped with the details so I could focus on the content. We'll be doing it again next year. Thanks to speakers: @TgMacro, @EricBalchunas, @barryknapp, @VD718, @Seawolfcap, @JanvanEck3, @CultishCreative, @MebFaber, @cafreiman, @pboockvar, Mark Lapolla, John Burns, and Marcin Zdunek. If you want to come to the best financial conference on earth, you must be a subscriber to The Daily Dirtnap. DM me for details (and a discount).
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
Jeff returns to @OnTheTapePod to share his & @RenMacLLC thoughts on the markets. Wide-ranging discussion including his top picks: $XLE $XLV & what to avoid: $DRAM. We discuss his recent podcast w/ @arakharazian on AI spending trends. We hit #Treasury #Debt & more @ClearStreetLLC
New pod out now! @dmoses34 sits down with Jeff deGraaf, CEO & Chief Market Strategist of @RenMacLLC 💾 Only 2 Chip Stocks Pass the Test 🧪 Healthcare Is Tech’s Natural Hedge 💸 Bessent’s Peashooter, Not a Bazooka 🍂 Seasonality Is Bullish, "Just 10th on the List" YouTube: youtu.be/uvgJ39P4eUw Apple: apple.co/4hLY10z Spotify: tinyurl.com/3jn5kb3a
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
We are excited to partner with @ClearStreetLLC and are looking forward to collaborating on content and engaging with their clients. Myself, @Seawolfcap & @VD718 have enjoyed building our @Substack and growing the @OnTheTapePod and @ClearStreetLLC is a perfect complement to that.
New partnership: Seawolf Capital's Danny Moses (@dmoses34), Vincent Daniel (@VD718), and Porter Collins (@Seawolfcap) are teaming up with Clear Street. Expect original market commentary, live calls, and new programming alongside On The Tape, The Friday Night Dirty, and more. Learn more here: clearstreet.com
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
Somehow on this week’s “Friday Night Dirty” we were able to incorporate Dolly Parton, Braveheart, The Untouchables, Ocean’s Eleven & The Harlem Globetrotters all in one episode: $NVDA $GLNG $SCHW #FED #TREASURY @Seawolfcap @VD718 substack.com/@whatarewedoing…
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
With the US momentum index up 37% YTD we thought we would write a somewhat contrarian article today. It happens to everybody. What do you do with a stock when it breaks the 200dma and becomes a "chartists" nightmare. A bit of anger in the article too... @VD718 @dmoses34 whatarewedoingonthedesk.subs…
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
Sergeant Hulka paid us a visit for today's "Dirty" & as @VD718 wrote on @Substack, there are many reported cases of "Bullmonia" out there. We give out some gold related picks & @Seawolfcap states that there is hope for @nyjets in 2026 (until the draft) open.substack.com/pub/whatar…
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
Great to have @Seawolfcap back for this week's "FND" on our WAWD @Substack. We discuss the impact of the war in Iran on the economy & markets & share some thoughts on $CVNA $AXP $APO #GOLD #ENERGY $RVI #privatecredit #AI etc. @VD718 (my mic wasn't right) whatarewedoingonthedesk.subs…
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The Substack feed is like what Fintwit was in 2016-2020.
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
whatarewedoingonthedesk.subs… We have been spending all our social media time on Substack these days.
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
I hope listeners/viewers were able to tune in last week @OnTheTapePod & hear @Seawolfcap @VD718 discuss $ZIM $SOC; If Mickelson was upset about missing the cut @ the PGA, I’m sure the pain has been eased by the move in $SOC; finding a long with high short interest can be powerful
Always feels like we never left the trading desk when we get together: @VD718 @Seawolfcap share their current views & top picks: from special situations $SOC $FNMA $FMCC to owning #GOLD as an uncorrelated “short” proxy for the markets + #PGAChampionship & @PreaknessStakes picks
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$GLNG YPF is hosting the investor day. Horacio (YPF CEO) just said the Argentina LNG 1 phase will take FID this month. This means Golar will announce two 20y charters in the coming weeks and justify at least $60 per share!
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
$GEO hosting analyst day. Company presenting revenue (and EBITDA) scenarios that drives stock to $75 to $150 / share.
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Navios Maritime $NMM up 10%+ this morning on news that they've started buybacks. I want to give a HUGE shout-out to @CorneliaLake for his excellent podcast deep dive. He took a lot of criticism for this idea. But so far -- and like TDW -- he's right. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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$TDW Got an email from Bob to make sure I saw his 13F…super classy guy. He put a LOT of his fund in $TDW well under $20 and the stock has 5x+. Honestly, surprised he didn’t take some money off the table sooner given his size. Believe he remains bullish on the company (I will let him speak for himself); people managing client capital have to respect risk management and concentration. Guy is a legend and owes us all nothing and pure class that he reached out. Meeting Bob has been one of the extra gifts of my $TDW investment and we are all better to be involved with him. Class act.
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Hedge Fund Stories: Calling a trader for "color" One of the pains of market neutral, or really any hedge fund seat, is the moment you are asked to call a sell side trader to "get color" by your PM. In market neutral land, a position that falls out of bed by 2-3% relative is a "big deal." Everyday is honestly the "super bowl" when you are hedged super tight. So you find yourself on this call...and the call happens because you work at a place that pays the street so much that they have to talk to you...so you are on this call, and the sell side guy can say things like "seeing 1-2 long only [buyers/sellers] and 3-4 hedge fund [buyers/sellers]...also seeing someone 'in the darks [pool]' and blah blah blah..." Now, nothing is actually said. I mean, to be clear, nothing is actually useable by a human. They are the sell side and can't betray another client - even though your boss expects them to. If the stock is going down (ie you are long), or the stock is going up (ie you are short), whatever the trader tells you just sounds bad. Every long only move against you is being made by a Fido fund with an AUM of $900+ billion and every hedge fund flow against you is coming from Druck or Tepper....at least it sounds that way....You then find yourself in the awkward position of having a discussion with your boss about what you just heard, and you are doing it from a defensive position because you are offsides...yet you really have just wasted 30-60 minutes getting useless information to placate someone. The sum total of all of these experiences is a big waste of time and high likelihood of making a compounding mistake. The ability to just disregard everything..."feels like a day for the machines"... and stay medium to long term focused, is one of the last big "arbs" in the market. It is a luxury that most pod bros don't have. They must play momentum and often end up negative gamma trading - because the incentives and structure are so brutal. In the end, we are all slaves to our risk model, our boss and the market...and if anyone knows $V and $MA are up but fins are down today...please let me know...
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
Would it ruin Costco to sell at least ONE pack of gloves for a left handed golfer? Of course, it wouldn’t hurt my game if I played blindfolded but that’s a whole other story.
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
It's hard to argue with this screen we do. Insider buying in the last 2 months.
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Crazy stat: 50% of Americans are priced out of the car market. Jonathan Smoke, Chief Economist of Cox Automotive, breaks it down in < 45 seconds:
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
The fmr. Chief Economist at the @USOCC, Charles Calomiris, speaks with me about why he believes that the government is likely to enact new and more onerous forms of financial repression, including commandeering the US banking system to fund itself. 1/🧵 hiddenforces.io/podcasts/fis…
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Vincent Daniel retweeted
To all my new followers, I'd like to give you a gift. For years I tried a lot of motivational "life hacks," and they didn't work. But I found something that has come through for me every...single...time. It helped me finish writing my book when I didn't feel like doing it at 6:30 in the morning for 6 months in a row. It got me to keep lifting weights 3-4x a week even when I was tired and lazy. You'll think it's too good to be true, but here it is. I listen to the same 5 songs from the Rocky IV soundtrack on repeat over and over again. #yourwelcome
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