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Trading has always had two camps. Discretionary and systematic. Instinct on one side, rigor on the other. Both work, neither is the holy grail, and the two rarely intersect.
Evidence-based discretion is where they meet. A discretionary read you can hold to a number.🧵
$LIT just left a 2.8% upper wick on the 1h, from 2.9866 to 3.07. Wicks this size usually fill.
88% of top wicks of 2.8% or more on the 1h were fully filled (70 of 80).
94% were at least half filled (75 of 80).
The median time to full fill was 9.5 hours.
$BTC set its first extreme just 0.01% from the 12:00 UTC session open. That is unusually close.
98% of sessions had their first extreme further from the open than 0.01% (2448 of 2493).
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$XRP opened the NY session near the bottom of the prior range. Opens like this almost always reach the prior low.
96% of opens in the lower quartile took the prior session's low at 1.3234 (153 of 160).
Only 24% went on to take the prior session's high at 1.3396 within the same session (39 of 160).
$INJ set its first extreme just 0.04% from the open this session. That is unusually close.
96% of sessions had their first extreme further from the open than 0.04% (1479 of 1533).
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$BTC is still inside its Monday range, low at 79,322 and high at 80,819. Ranges like this rarely survive the week untouched.
96% of Mondays had either side of the range taken by Friday close (340 of 355). Price is at 79,947 now, still inside.
The high was taken by Friday close in 69% of Mondays (245 of 355).
The low was taken in 61% (216 of 355).
$BR just left a 7.1% upper wick on the 4h, from 0.5011 to 0.5366. Wicks this size almost always fill.
97% of top wicks of 7.1% or more on the 4h were fully filled (87 of 90).
The median time to full fill was 24 hours.
$BTC is still inside its weekend range, low at 79,179 and high at 81,191. Ranges like this rarely hold all week.
99% of weekends had either side of the range taken by Friday close (351 of 355). Price is at 80,352 now, still inside.
The high was taken by Friday close in 79% of weekends (280 of 355), the low in 71% (251 of 355).
$RAYSOL left its 1h open from 15:00 UTC untouched, below current price. Naked opens like this rarely stay naked.
91% of naked 1h opens since 2024 got revisited (716 of 787).
The median time to revisit was 3 hours.
$WLD just left a 4.8% lower wick on the 4h and it is still unfilled. Wicks this size almost always fill.
98% of bottom wicks of 4.8% or more on the 4h were fully filled (100 of 102).
The median time to full fill was 48 hours.
$BCH has moved only 6.9% from P1 to P2 this week, one of its smallest weeks so far.
97% of weeks moved more from P1 to P2 than this week's 6.9% (345 of 356).
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$BNB left its 1h open from 09:00 UTC untouched, above current price. Naked opens like this rarely stay naked.
90% of naked 1h opens since 2020 got revisited (1,874 of 2,085).
The median time to revisit was 3 hours.
$DOGE set its first extreme just 0.15% from the open today. That is a tight start for a full day.
95% of days had their first extreme further from the open than today's 0.15% (2,185 of 2,297).
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$BTC has an intraday high hit rate cluster from 82,359.3 to 82,616.3, with the strongest level at 82,576.2.
86% of 09:00 UTC levels above price like this were hit within 24 hours, an 86% hit rate (975 of 1,132).
The median time to hit was 1 hour.
$VVV set its first extreme only 0.00% from the open today (since 00:00 UTC).
98% of days had their first extreme further from the open than today's 0.00% (618 of 632).
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$AKE left a 4.5% upper wick on the 30m, from 0.03022 to 0.031592, still unfilled.
93% of top wicks of 4.5% or more on the 30m got fully filled (271 of 291).
96% were at least half filled (280 of 291).
The median time to a full fill was 3.5 hours.
$HYPE set its first extreme only 0.15% from the open today, since 00:00 UTC.
94% of days had their first extreme further from the open than today's 0.15% (642 of 686).
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$XRP left its 1h open from 09:00 UTC untouched, sitting below current price.
92% of naked 1h opens since 2020 got revisited (2,324 of 2,519).
The median time to a revisit was 2 hours.
$ZEC set P1 at 00:45 UTC at 1,295.76, with P2 so far at 05:30 UTC at 1,250.15.
96% of days set their P2 later than 05:30 UTC (2,361 of 2,449).
The median time P2 formed was 13:15 UTC.
You can track this live, for free, on our Pivots page.























