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Crypto Matt retweeted
The next leg down will be the final bear market low on Alts , and the Start of a new Bull market.
Not like 10/10 that wasn’t the bottom.
This next flush will be fast, and for buying, some alts will not survive it.
Bitcoin isn’t the play.
Only $ETH and specific Altcoins
I’ve compiled data on which alts I believe will survive and outperform.
For the Blueprint , check the pinned post.
You can add $SEI to your bag. This coin is on one of the biggest support, in the triangle. This is opportunity of your life.
Crypto Matt retweeted
Every major altcoin bottom, as shown on $TOTAL3, has been marked by one thing:
RSI returning to its support zone around the 36 level.
This held true during the bear market bottoms in 2023, 2024, and even earlier this year.
A bottom here followed by a Q1 rally looks more than feasible.
Crypto Matt retweeted
We are currently witnessing the biggest shift in financial infrastructure in human history.
The world is moving ONCHAIN, and we are just getting started!
🔹 Stablecoins today: ~$300B supply
🔹 U.S. Treasury expectation: >$2T within ~3 years
🔹 That implies ~+$1.7T of new dollars moving onchain by 2028
Where does it go, and which sectors will benefit?
🔹 Ethereum holds ~60% of stablecoin supply today
🔹 Even if that declines to ~50% by 2028
🔹 Ethereum L1 would still absorb ~+$850B in new stablecoin supply
And stablecoins are only the first wave.
🔹 2026+ is stocks, commodities, funds, treasuries
🔹 In my view RWAs (Stocks, Commodities, Money Market Funds...) will grow fastest on a relative basis
Crypto Matt retweeted
As ATOM gets ready to drop out of the Top 100 tokens by Market Cap on Coingecko, let's take a look at what's happening in the ecosystem:
- Axelar team has been acquired by Circle. Old token and project left behind.
- Drop have sunsetted, and decided against TGE.
- Pryzm are closing down.
- Akash is migrating away, likely to Solana.
- Noble decided against launching their much awaited token in Cosmos.
- Elys are moving to Base.
- Stargaze are sunsetting their chain.
- Sei decided to kill the Cosmos part of their chain completely.
- Shade Protocol have moved to Sei (as Feather).
- Orbit Earn are building on Arbitrum.
- pStake moved to Base.
- Jackal moved their token liquidity to Base.
- Demex are likely moving to Monad (as Celeris).
- Stride sunsetted.
- Quaser died, and then their successor Tower also died.
- Picasso (and everything from Compostable) died, and even stranded all the bridged SOL in Cosmos.
- Evmos died and even gifted all the tech for Cosmos EVM, but they decided not to use it on the Hub.
- Loads of DEX closed down: Wynd, Hopers, Junoswap, Loop, Ura, Phoenix, TerraSwap, Sienna, Blizzard, SecretSwap, Cresent, WhiteWhale, Gravity, Sifchain...
- Not to mention everything that died when Terra died.
- Loads of Injective apps died (Dojo Swap, Injera etc) I think they only have Helix and Neptune now. Pivot to EVM.
- Kujira died, and took loads of apps with it like Fusion, Levana etc. Rujira seems dead.
- Comdex died, I think they were going to try and become a PCS chain on the hub, then decided what's the point.
- Omniflix moved to Base (as Flixdotfun)
- Penumbra closed down (other privacy chains like Namada and Secret also seem dead).
- Unicornandmemes decided not to make UWU transferrable in Cosmos, and moved to Solana.
- Anyone remember Juno? And don't get me started on NETA
Everything is fine, right?
Crypto Matt retweeted
This is the best visual representation of this cycle.
It's not the end of the bull market.
It's the end of the bear market for #Altcoins.
I keep saying that those current opportunities are massive financial opportunities that will only be granted one time in your lifetime. That's now.
The business cycle has always been the prime indicator for markets to go risk-on/risk-off and in this case, the periods have been changing over time.
As you can see in the visual, the low is created on #Altcoins when the business cycle is least favorable.
In previous cycles:
- Q2 2012
- Q1/2 2016
- Q1 2020
This resulted into massive bloodbaths on the altcoin markets, extensive losses, and also a #Bitcoin that's still moving beneath the ATH.
That wouldn't be different this time, except that the ETF has changed the entire market dynamics. It provided a new floor of #Bitcoin to be acting on, which is north of the previous ATH, most of the time actually at $100k+.
That's great, but that confuses the entire market.
That also means that we haven't seen the actual run upwards for Bitcoin as of yet, which means that we're still going to be seeing such a case.
It would also be a good case that, if this bear market is as extensive as it has been, it's very likely that the upcoming bull market will be significantly larger as well (more money required to move markets, also more time to be adjusting the business cycle etc).
In this case, I do believe that we're in a way longer cycle and that the classic Web 3 only 4-year cycle doesn't exist.
It's a tremendously different cycle and the opportunities are everywhere.
Everybody is just too stubborn to be going for it.
I can't make these visuals as beautiful as they are, so credits to @TechDev_52 for this one.
Crypto Matt retweeted
🚨Ethereum accumulation just hit a new all-time high!
Long-term holder addresses now control 22.8M #ETH.
Still we have time. Bull run isn't over yet.
This isn’t the final visual—I’m still putting the finishing touches on the model—but it’s getting close.
The new quantile model eliminates all crossings and applies a stretched-exponential decay to the 40th through 99.9th quantiles.
I’ll share the full details in an upcoming post. For now, just know this version is a major improvement after months of research.
Crypto Matt retweeted
📊 UPDATE: $APT will unlock $53.64M in tokens this upcoming week.
The next 6 token unlocks combined total is slightly over $60M.
I can share a coin, which will lead next altcoin cycle. It's $ARB. On the graph u can see massive falling wedge. When price goes down, volume goes up. U can see there RSI and MACD divergences. That are 4 signs of revarsal the trend. For fundamental analysis check comments.
