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VoidSurf

@VoidSurf1

Music & audio lover, also educated in finance & statistics. Currency trader, quant approach. Innate skepticism towards authority. Question everything.

 New York
Joined July 2020
  • Tweets3.1K
  • Following1.1K
  • Followers1.1K
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Photo by VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)Photo by VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)Photo by VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)Photo by VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)Photo by VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)Photo by VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)Photo by VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)Photo by VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)Photo by VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)Photo by VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)
We can't understand the present if we don't understand the past. This thread will show you the history of death and disease outbreaks in Sweden. Source data was all retrieved from Statistics Sweden. Here are monthly DPM since 1851: (repost - caption typo fixed + improvements)
Image from VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)
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Anyone else getting bombarded with follows from obviously fake accounts of attractive women? It's getting out of hand.
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Has anyone else noticed that well over half of all replies to threads are now hidden in the "offensive replies" section? Barely any are offensive either. What's going on with Twitter?
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This site makes me more upset than anything positive. I don't like how people are treated here. My comments are hidden too and basically nobody replies to them anymore. It's pretty pointless to try to have conversations here, tbh. It's like they don't want us here.
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I don't know what I said or did to get penalized, but it's frustrating, because I really enjoyed using Twitter at first. I didn't curse, I didn't insult other users, I tried to have reasonable conversations. If Twitter penalizes this, then what's the point of using it?
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The data is in: lockdowns serve no useful purpose and cause catastrophic societal and economic harms. They must never be repeated in this country. 
 Read our comprehensive review of the evidence: hartgroup.org/covid-19-evide…
Image from HART (@hartgroup_org)
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Looking at mortality data to determine the impact of COVID and place it in a historical context by @VoidSurf1 voidsurf.substack.com/p/comi…
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This is where I'll post an extended version of my analysis when it comes out.
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If anyone knows of a better site to do this, I'd be interested in hearing your suggestions.
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Apologies for not publishing my updated analysis by now as I said I would. I've had a busy few weeks, and beyond that, this project has morphed into a ton of coding. Excel no longer cuts it. I want to get things right and document it well so people can see how it was done.
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SCB has dropped its final 2020 stats on deaths for Sweden. This chart is a breakdown by age for both sexes compared to 2018. Most notably, there's no excess among children and people of working age, confirming the preliminary stats for males I had published earlier.
Image from VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)
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We need evidence-based mitigation strategies. Terrorizing a 15yo with imminent death is neither helpful nor honest. Closing schools isn't helpful (and Sweden hasn't). Be aware around your (grand)parents. Take care of them, make sure they understand the risks.
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With the resources we have spent/lost on locking down people below 75 years old, I'm sure we could have devised a far superior targeted approach for those who need it and request it. We don't need to demolish our society, economy, and the lives of future generations to save lives
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🇸🇪 Age standardised mortality rates comparing 2014-2020 using final figures, a first chart👇🏽. 2020 similar to year 2015.
Image from Pensjonerad (@HaroldofWorld)
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India has 1.3 billion people. 4 times that of the US. What’s going on is just amazing and needs in depth immunologic studies. These are raw numbers!
Image from Vincent Rajkumar (@VincentRK)
Image from Vincent Rajkumar (@VincentRK)
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Yesterday I showed what 2020 looked like relative to 2019, and it kind of looked like there's a tiny excess starting at 54 years old. Well, compared to 2018, 2020 had no excess whatsoever until 72. Working age people and kids simply aren't dying from covid at rates that register.
Image from VoidSurf (@VoidSurf1)
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I got 2018 and 2019 from the Human Mortality Database, put through the exact same procedure. I did this instead of using the known single age groups to make sure the comparison was consistent, and also to smooth noise. SCB hasn't yet released single age group stats for 2020.
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Also, I believe the Eurostat numbers for 2020 will not change by more than 1%, so this is very much solid data at this point. Any changes likely won't have a meaningful impact on the presentation here, but I will definitely update it once SCB releases final numbers.
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