Mapping Welsh election polls! 🏴 || Impartial || #Senedd21 #SeneddElection
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Joined March 2021
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Cymru Election Maps retweeted
🏴 All of Wales is up in this years' council elections, on new boundaries. Here's how the country voted in 2017 (by 1st placed candidate).
🏴 Mae Cymru gyfan i fyny yn etholiadau cyngor eleni, ar ffiniau newydd. Dyma sut y pleidleisiodd y wlad yn 2017 (gan yr ymgeisydd 1af).
Cymru Election Maps retweeted
Current polling projected onto the Provisional 2023 Boundaries*
LAB: 296 (+101)
CON: 259 (-119)
SNP: 55 (+7)
LDM: 17 (+9)
PLC: 4 (+2)
GRN: 1 (=)
Changes w/ notional 2019 result.
*subject to several reviews and changes yet hence why they're not used in my regular projections
Westminster voting intention:
LAB - 39% (-2)
CON - 26% (-10)
PC - 13% (+3)
REFUK - 7% (+2)
GRN - 6% (+5)
LD - 3% (-3)
Via @YouGov, 13-16 Dec.
Chgs. w/GE2019
Seats:
LAB - 30 (+8)
CON - 6 (-8)
PC - 4 (+0)
Seat changes:
Delyn - 🌳➡️🌹
Bridgend - 🌳➡️🌹
Clwyd South - 🌳➡️🌹
Vale of Clwyd - 🌳➡️🌹
Ynys Môn - 🌳➡️🌹
Wrexham - 🌳➡️🌹
Aberconwy - 🌳➡️🌹
Vale of Glamorgan - 🌳➡️🌹
Cymru Election Maps retweeted
Here they are in full, the first draft of the 2023 Boundaries for Great Britain:
(2019 Equivalent Seat Projections from New Statesman for England, and Electoral Calculus for Scotland/Wales).
Who do you trust to make the right decisions on Covid-19?
Mark Drakeford - 54%
Boris Johnson - 28%
via @YouGov, 13-16 September
Should there be a Welsh-specific public inquiry into the decisions taken during the pandemic?
Yes - 43%
No - 15%
via @YouGov, 13-16 September
Thinking generally, do you prefer the approach to the pandemic that has been taken in Wales or the approach that has been taken in England?
Wales 60%
England 14%
Neither / don’t know 26%
via @YouGov, 13-16 September
MRP Result (Wales):
LAB: 30 (+8)
PC: 5 (+1)
CON: 5 (-9)
Via @ElectCalculus & @FindoutnowUK, 6-8 Sep.
Changes w/ GE2019
Cymru Election Maps retweeted
Initial proposals for the new Welsh constituencies has been leaked a day early by Guido, here's the first look at the new 32 seat Welsh electoral map (down from 40):
⚽️🏴 Who will the Welsh be supporting in the England v Denmark game tonight?
Don’t care - 50%
England - 34%
Denmark - 13%
Via @YouGov
🤨🏴❓
56% of Brits will be cheering on England in their match against Germany this afternoon
But 37% of Scots say they’ll be supporting Germany
yougov.co.uk/topics/technolo…
South Wales police and crime commissioner result:
R1
LAB - 41% (+0.1)
CON - 23.7% (+5.8)
PC - 19% (+1.1)
IND - 8.6% (-8.5)
LD - 4.6% (-1.6)
PROPEL - 3.1% (+3.1)
R2
LAB - 64% (-4.1)
CON - 36% (+4.1)
Labour HOLD
Gwent police and crime commissioner result:
R1
LAB - 41.8% (-4.6)
CON - 28.8% (-2)
PC - 16.2% (-6.7)
IND - 7.5% (+7.5)
LD - 4.2% (+4.2)
GWLAD - 1.4% (+1.4)
R2
LAB - 60.5% (-1.1)
CON - 39.5% (+1.1)
Labour HOLD
North Wales police and crime commissioner result:
R1
CON - 31.6% (+11.9)
LAB - 29.1% (+3.4)
PC - 28.4% (-3.1)
IND - 6.7% (+6.7)
LD - 4.3% (+4.3)
R2
LAB - 51.4% (+9.6)
CON - 48.6%
Labour GAIN from Plaid Cymru
Dyfed-Powys police and crime commissioner result:
R1:
CON - 34% (+8.9)
PC - 33.6% (+5.6)
LAB - 23.7% (+5.1)
LD - 8.7% (-2.4)
R2:
PC - 55% (-0.9)
CON - 45% (+0.9)
Plaid Cymru HOLD
