Kait Parker (@WeatherKait) header
Kait Parker (@WeatherKait) profile picture

Atmospheric Scientist talking about weather, climate, and the environment.

Atlanta, GA
Joined December 2009
Photo by Kait Parker (@WeatherKait)Photo by Kait Parker (@WeatherKait)Photo by Kait Parker (@WeatherKait)Photo by Kait Parker (@WeatherKait)Photo by Kait Parker (@WeatherKait)Photo by Kait Parker (@WeatherKait)Photo by Kait Parker (@WeatherKait)Photo by Kait Parker (@WeatherKait)Photo by Kait Parker (@WeatherKait)Photo by Kait Parker (@WeatherKait)
Kait Parker retweeted
The first 2026 Atlantic hurricane season outlook was just issued by @philklotzbach and the team @CSUAtmosSci. Overall activity could be the lowest since 2015 if a supercharged El Niño emerges. April bookends are wide, however. My deep dive here: michaelrlowry.substack.com/p…
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Replying to @MichaelRLowry
@MichaelRLowry, a hurricane expert who recently wrote a guest essay for @nytopinion on forecasting cuts, is currently live on Reddit to answer all your disaster-related questions. Submit your questions here: nyti.ms/4kNvVB2
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Beautiful tribute from @NOAA_HurrHunter who earlier this evening honored longtime radar scientist and researcher Peter Dodge who passed away in March 2023. His ashes were dropped in the eye of Category 5 Milton tonight – PETER DODGE HX SCI (1950-2023) 387TH PENNY
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Great to have Kait Parker writing for Yale Climate Connections! Her first post discusses drought, which is #1 on my list of climate change impacts I’m most concerned about, and one that gets far too little attention. yaleclimateconnections.org/2… @WeatherKait
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The Gulf of Mexico this week is the hottest it's been at any point in any year on record by a wide margin. Weekly averaged Gulf sea surface temperatures have never broken 87°F but this week topped 88°F, an astonishing 1.4°C (2.6°F) above the 1991-2020 average.
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Kait Parker retweeted
#Antarctic sea ice remains on its own this year compared to any other July in our satellite record. Keep in mind when looking at this graph that the y-axis interval is 1,000,000 km². This is a massive deviation from the previous record for the date. More: zacklabe.com/antarctic-sea-i…
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July is often the calm before the proverbial storm heading into August, September, and October -- historically July sees fewer U.S. and Florida impacts from tropical storms and hurricanes than June and fewer "homegrown" systems (80% of total formations in June vs. ~50% in July).
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Development odds now up to 70% with Invest 91L in the northeastern Gulf. Air Force Hurricane Hunters currently en route to investigate whether we have Tropical Depression #2 or Tropical Storm Arlene. Regardless, heavy rain potential for the Florida peninsula today and tomorrow.
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Hurricane Season starts today, which means the daily tropical newsletter returns. Today, I discuss the just-released seasonal hurricane forecast from @ColoradoStateU @philklotzbach and Invest 91L swirling in the northeastern Gulf. michaelrlowry.substack.com/p…
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Is climate change making tornadoes more dangerous? It's complicated, but @WeatherKait breaks down what we know and don't yet know: bit.ly/40JNOXb
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Phenomenal and persistent warmth across most of the eastern U.S. so far in 2023, including in South Florida (map via @SERCC)
Including March 13, the average temperature in #Miami so far this year is a record-breaking 74.7°F; the old record was 73.5° and the average is 70.2°. The average *high* temperature of 82.6°F is completely smashing records and is 3 standard deviations above the mean!! [1/3]
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Kait Parker retweeted
Does @airfrance not want wheelchair users on their flights? Obviously! We’re a hassle. But this is my most kafkaesque experience yet:
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My deep dive today into extensive new data that reveal just how high the storm surge reached during Hurricane #Ian and what areas were hardest hit. michaelrlowry.substack.com/p…
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The decision to evacuate or stay isn't easy or straightforward, but three factors in particular get people moving. My latest @CC_Yale on the deeply personal but increasingly complex and challenging question. yaleclimateconnections.org/2…
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“human-induced climate change increased the extreme 3-hourly storm rainfall rates and extreme 3-day accumulated rainfall amounts during the 2020 hurricane season for observed storms that are at least tropical storm strength by 10 and 5%, respectively.” Warmer oceans = more rain.
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Hurricane #Ian makes landfall with 150 mph winds at Cayo Costa, Florida, the exact spot Category 4 Charley made landfall in 2004, also with 150 mph. About where the comparisons end. Ian with an enormous footprint of water that's only just begun.
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With 155 mph winds, Hurricane #Ian teetering on becoming only the fifth Category 5 hurricane to strike the mainland U.S. on record (Cat 5 starts at 157 mph). Whether it does or doesn't is of no consequence or comfort for communities in the path. Catastrophic impacts regardless.
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I'm not sure how many truly grasp what just happened tonight with Hurricane #Ian. It went through a full eyewall replacement cycle, hardly blinked, grew by 50% (as measured by its RMW), and delivered the 3rd highest storm surge since 1913 to Key West in the process. Just wow.
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