kwantitatief analist
Netherlands
Joined February 2011
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Basisgeschiedenis voor de onwetenden:
1. Vóór Israël was er een Brits mandaat, geen Palestijnse staat.
2. Vóór het Britse mandaat was er het Ottomaanse Rijk, geen Palestijnse staat.
3. Vóór het Ottomaanse Rijk was er de islamitische staat van de Mamelukken in Egypte, geen Palestijnse staat.
4. Vóór de islamitische staat van de Mamelukken in Egypte was er het Ajoebidisch-Koerdische Rijk, geen Palestijnse staat.
5. Vóór het Ajoebidisch-Koerdische Rijk waren er het Frankische Kruisvaardersrijk en het christelijke koninkrijk Jeruzalem, geen Palestijnse staat.
6. Vóór het koninkrijk Jeruzalem waren er de Omajjaden en de Fatimiden, geen Palestijnse staat.
7. Vóór de Omajjaden en de Fatimiden was er het Byzantijnse Rijk, geen Palestijnse staat.
8. Vóór het Byzantijnse Rijk was er het Sassanidisch-Perzische Rijk, geen Palestijnse staat.
9. Vóór het Sassanidisch-Perzische Rijk was er weer het Byzantijnse Rijk, geen Palestijnse staat.
10. Vóór het Sassanidisch-Perzische Rijk was er het Romeinse Rijk, geen Palestijnse staat.
11. Vóór het Romeinse Rijk was er de Joodse Hasmonese staat, geen Palestijnse staat.
12. Vóór de Joodse Hasmonese staat was er het Hellenistische Seleucidische Rijk, geen Palestijnse staat.
13. Vóór het Hellenistische Seleucidische Rijk was er het rijk van Alexander de Grote, geen Palestijnse staat.
14. Vóór Alexander de Grote was er het Perzische Rijk, geen Palestijnse staat.
15. Vóór het Perzische Rijk was er het Babylonische Rijk, geen Palestijnse staat.
16. Vóór het Babylonische Rijk waren de koninkrijken Israël en Juda geen Palestijnse staten.
17. Vóór de koninkrijken Israël en Juda was er het koninkrijk Israël, geen Palestijnse staat.
18. Vóór het koninkrijk Israël was er de theocratie van de twaalf stammen van Israël, geen Palestijnse staat.
19. Vóór de theocratie van de twaalf stammen van Israël bestond er een agglomeratie van onafhankelijke Kanaänitische stadskoninkrijken, geen Palestijnse staat.
Er zijn daar veel regeringen geweest, maar nooit een Palestina.
MG retweeted
People forget this part of history.
Israel defeated Egypt in war and then gave back the entire Sinai Peninsula - an area bigger than Israel itself - in exchange for peace.
Israel withdrew from Gaza completely in 2005, removing its own settlements and citizens.
Parts of the West Bank were handed over to Palestinian governance under the Oslo Accords.
The Golan Heights wasn’t returned because Syria never made peace and the area overlooks northern Israel strategically.
So the narrative that Israel just “occupies land and never gives anything back” is simply not true.
Land was returned where peace was possible.
Land was held where war was still the reality.
That’s not ideology. That’s strategy and survival.
MG retweeted
Why Isn't There a Palestinian State?
"If Israel just allowed the Palestinians to have a state of their own, there would be peace in the Middle East, right? That’s what you hear from UN ambassadors, European diplomats and most college professors.
But what if I told you that Israel has already offered the Palestinians a state of their own - and not just once, but on five separate occasions?"
Watch:
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Bill Clinton: “Palestinians were offered a state on the entire West Bank and east Jerusalem as its capital. Israel accepted, but Palestinians refused. They did not care about a homeland for the Palestinians. All they wanted was to kill Israelis"
This must be shared every day.
MG retweeted
Helaas zullen de twitteraars die het het hardst nodig hebben, dit filmpje weigeren te bekijken, maar hier een FEITELIJK filmpje over het Israëlisch-Arabisch conflict: 'Als je het niet met me eens bent, prove me wrong'.
Ga er even rustig voor zitten.
youtube.com/watch?v=XNf40sBc…
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BBC presentator is sprakeloos als hij voor zijn pro-Hamas houding door Arabische commentator Mohammad Kabiya met de neus op de feiten wordt gedrukt!💥
teapawt.net/AdamAlbilya/status/171…
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Traders with big egos focus on:
Their win rate, not their risk/reward ratio.
Only sharing winning trades.
Bragging about predicting outcomes.
Pretending they always win.
Believe their strategy is the only valid way to make money.
Acting like they are always smarter than the market.
Pretend they are on the right side of every market move.
What else?
MG retweeted
The market isn’t outperformed by the trader who's tried a hundred different strategies once, but the one who's mastered a single strategy through repetition and discipline.
Emotions, emotions
Trading Mindset Cheat Sheet
To be a profitable trader you need three things:
1. A trading system with an edge.
2. Proper position sizing per trade.
3. The right trading mindset.
If you don’t have the right mindset for trading then the other two will not work.
Here is a trader cheat sheet of the principles you must understand to create the right mindset in trading. A trading cheat sheet for the psychology of profitability.
•A new trader must understand that trading is not a get rich quick scheme, it is a professional endeavor that requires learning how to create quantified trading systems that have an edge over other participants.
•Professional trading is not gambling it is like running a business. Profitable trading is more like operating a casino than emotional gambling if done correctly. Think like a business manager not an emotional gambler.
•Successful traders have an edge in trading systems and signals not predicting and having strong opinions. Traders don’t know the future, they know what has the best odds of working in the present. Traders should have a flexible opinion about price action.
•Great traders have losing trades, profitability doesn’t come from perfection it comes from creating good risk/reward ratios at entry. Losing trades must be accepted as just part of doing business.
•To keep a stable mindset, position sizing should be kept consistent and at a size that doesn’t cause excessive stress, emotions to become too loud, or ego engagement where you want to be right.
•A trader must have faith in their trading system. This comes through research and backtesting into a method that has a positive expectancy and fits their belief system.
•A trader must have faith in their self to execute their system with discipline. This comes with time and success in execution. A trader must trust their self to not let impulses cause bad decisions.
•Traders must have the mindset of discipline to follow their trading plan’s rules and believe that a good trade is one that followed their system regardless of results.
•A trader must have the perseverance to trade their system through losing streaks and drawdowns understanding that it is just part of the process.
•Trading results must be kept separate from a traders self worth. A trader can’t control market outcomes, they can only control their own actions.
•A positive mindset must be maintained to avoid a negative emotional spiral. Focus on the positives on every trade, like you kept losses small or followed your process with discipline.
•Don’t become euphoric with big wins or depressed during losses or drawdowns, keep your emotional equilibrium after each trading outcome. Stay off tilt in either direction. Each trade is just one of the next one hundred, divide you emotional reaction between them.
MG retweeted
Zoals eerder gezegd kom je in een bearmarket niet boven 61.8%…
Bear rally or new bull? Bear-market rallies generally do not retrace more than half of their preceding declines. The S&P 500 cap-weighted index has retraced 64% of the 2022 decline, exceeding all previous bear-market rallies since the 1920s. Technically, from a purely historical perspective, it’s getting more difficult to call this a bear-market rally.
MG retweeted
Fibonacci Retracement Explained:
In technical analysis a Fibonacci retracement is a trading methodology for determining high probability support and resistance levels on a chart. It uses the Fibonacci sequence and that is where its name comes from. A
Fibonacci retracement uses the theory that price swings on charts will usually retrace and backfill a mathematical portion of a move, after this measured pullback the trend usually continues the move in the original direction.
A probable Fibonacci retracement level is quantified by taking two distant price points on a chart and dividing the vertical distance by using the key Fibonacci ratios. 0% is the starting point for the measurement of the retracement, and 100% is a total reversal back to the starting point of the move. Fibonacci levels are identified by measuring moves from the starting point of support or resistance.
Horizontal trend lines are drawn on the chart to identify the potential key support and resistance levels. The significant levels to look at are 61.8% 50%, 38.2%, and 23.6% for support or resistance.
A Fibonacci retracement is a very common technical tool that price action traders use to look for high probability price levels to enter trades, set stop losses in current trades, or set profit targets for winning trades.
The concept of looking at key retracement levels at possible price extensions is a method not only used with Fibonacci but also with many other methods like Elliott Wave theory, Wolfe Waves, and Gartley patterns. After an up or down swing in price the new price support and resistance levels can be seen showing up at the key retracement levels in these methods.
While moving averages can change as price moves the Fibonacci retracement levels are set prices. They are targets on the chart that stay the same. This simplifies the identification of signals and creates price levels that can be acted on immediately when reached.
These levels are key reaction points on a chart and can lead to a binary action for traders as the there is either a breakout in price or it is rejected and holds as support or resistance.
The primary 0.618 Fibonacci retracement price level used by so many stock traders is approximately the ‘golden ratio’.
The below example shows Fibonacci retracement levels on the chart for the USD/CAD currency pair. In this example the price action retraced approximately 38.2% from a move down before continuing.
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