Trading w/o the BS | Join the Outliers on YouTube, Substack, Discord - link in bio | 🇺🇸 Marine Vet | ft: Business Insider, Barchart, IG | MBA
Encinitas, CA
Joined July 2016
- Tweets8K
- Following253
- Followers11.3K
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Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
Lossdog opened the markets! 🔔
.@wearelossdog is a Chicago fintech company from Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan, the founders of thinkorswim and tastytrade. Its platform gives active investors and working professionals one place to optimize their portfolios and price their careers.
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
The agitation from errors (that come from genuine attempts to do something new) is what gates rewiring of your brain and learning, especially in adulthood. Full conversation with @joerogan @spotifypodcasts @Spotify now.
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
BREAKING: Nasdaq is introducing a new trading session from 9pm to 4am ET starting December 6, 2026.
The stock market will soon trade 23 hours a day, 5 days a week.
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
Our latest video, "How to Find High Probability Trade Setups," is now available on YouTube! Huge thanks to Erik from @_OutlierTrading for creating this on our behalf.
Link: youtu.be/bqGzQcEB-g8
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
🇺🇸 U.S. Oil & Gas:
The U.S. sits on 46 billion barrels of proved crude oil reserves, with 60% of that locked in dense underground rock.
The Permian Basin, which stretches across West Texas and southeastern New Mexico, pumps out 6.6 million barrels a day on its own, more than every OPEC country except Saudi Arabia.
Zoom out, and the U.S. is the single largest oil producer on the planet at 13.6 million barrels a day, out-producing both Russia (9.1M) and Saudi Arabia (9.3M).
On natural gas, it isn't close:
America produced a record 43.2 trillion cubic feet in 2025, roughly a quarter of the world's supply and more than Russia and Iran combined.
The U.S. sits on world-class reserves and out-produces every petrostate.
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
Today is a pretty good example of something @_OutlierTrading and I discussed here. HAGW 🫡
youtube.com/watch?v=jlhuKAIe…
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
this is a perfect example of golidlocks analysis - only focusing on the elements we want to see.
if nvda continues up, this person misses on all the upside beyond their credit, which is where most of the returns lie - while still committing the same capital.
if nvda drops, you get to buy a "great company" at some point in the future where the context behind that company is completely unknown. you might not be super happy buying it at $145 if it's at 100.
i use CSPs all the time, but lets acknowledge what they are - strengths AND weaknesses.
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
This week's Options Trench is a topic that used to trip up professional traders (meaning there was edge in understanding it). I would think any pro today in a seat gets this but you be the judge
IV tells a lot of lies, yet most traders take it for granted.
@KrisAbdelmessih and I explore WHY this is the case and HOW you can adjust your mental model to render more accurate implied volatility.
youtu.be/JzxGOoYsAv0
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
Ken Griffin's ultimate rule for survival is brutally simple
when asked how Citadel survived a near-death experience in 2008 to become a $60 billion empire - he dropped pure reality:
"we lost 50% of our capital and our flagship fund was down $8 billion - that's when you realize your textbook risk models mean absolutely nothing"
"when you are bleeding $500 million a week you don't survive by having conviction - you survive by aggressively protecting cash"
"today we execute 20% of all US volume - we don't hold losers praying for a bounce, if the math breaks, we liquidate immediately"
Griffin didn't build Citadel by predicting the future. He built it by completely removing human emotion and ego from the equation when the market collapses.
bookmark and watch him break down the reality of risk
in a buried interview, Jamie Dimon dropped a brutal truth about wall street that almost everyone completely missed
he operates on one ruthless rule: "people confuse a bull market with their own genius. real risk management isn't predicting the crash,it's having the cash to buy out the guys who didn't prepare"
while modern traders obsess over predicting the exact market bottom, he built his massive edge by simply hoarding liquidity and letting his rivals blow themselves up on leverage. then he buys their assets for pennies
this interview is a rare reality check on true risk management
bookmark & watch a billionaire break down his system
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
New Options Trench...
This week on The Options Trench:
@KrisAbdelmessih and I look at the recent $GME bid to acquire $EBAY
What do the options market say?
youtu.be/oU0273VG4oE
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
This week's The Options Trench is about the accelerator.
this week on The Options Trench @KrisAbdelmessih and I work through option convexity and how this differs from leverage. most importantly, how the square of moves impacts your position PnL.
youtu.be/cZvaEVW7Yf4
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
BREAKING: GameStop, $GME, is preparing to make an offer to acquire eBay, per WSJ.
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
Options Trench this week!
this week on The Options Trench @KrisAbdelmessih and I take a look at the shape of realized volatility and a way to contextualize it using a Variance Contribution Ratio
tune in!
youtu.be/XNUnwpzL8dY
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
Options Trench this week!
curious what option market makers ACTUALLY do? @KrisAbdelmessih and I work through their operation end to end while tackling some common misconceptions.
youtu.be/wiOEzumNBcE
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
Let Erik and I know what you find useful from these weekly shows!
with no shortage of reddit drama - @KrisAbdelmessih and I work through what it looks like to trade options for a living... by treating it like a business.
tune in!
youtu.be/De26JTmLyjU
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
Moontower Sunday
🌙taking the car to buy food for my horse
🌙sorting through the bluster of the SpaceX IPO controversy
🌙options & earnings on The Options Trench
refs:
@khemaridh
@nateliason
@bauhiniacapital
@outlieroptions
moontower.substack.com/p/tak…
Erik - Outlier Trading retweeted
Dropped a few hints in this one. Always fun talking shop with Erik @outlieroptions Check it out 🫡🎧
podcast with @Gingfacekillah is out! you can check it out below. we discussed volatility modeling, some common options trading misconceptions, and some ideas on how to build an actual trading strategy.
youtu.be/jlhuKAIenw0
