Spencer (@_RIEGLE) header
Spencer (@_RIEGLE) profile picture

Market Structure and Derivatives.

Chicago
Joined October 2011
Today's Daily DIR @ $2,065 matters for $ETH. A base above is a sign of strength against the Daily State and potential retest of yesterday's highs. A failure, falls back to the current Daily State (DNN), and allows for further pressure from the offer and what if lower.
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Spencer retweeted
$ES_F PLAYING FIELD WEEKLY structure set Sun evening, re-sets this Sunday. CONTEXT = NEUTRAL DIGESTION TRANSITION a pivotal market STATE. STRUCTURE = CRITICAL RANGE defined by the UP Pivot & DP Pivot. SENTIMENT BIAS = NEGATIVE at the UP Get the PLAYBOOK below #SP500
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Office Hours are live every Tuesday at 3:30 PM CT on the MKT.TRADE Discord. Bring your questions and we'll go over the markets together. Everyone's welcome. See you there: discord.com/invite/8H3482Rvf…
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bitcoin:native BULL TREND CORRECTION 82080 is the inflection point today that defines if yesterday's "CORRECTION" is going to persist by keeping #BTC below that directional pivot or transition back to a BULL TREND posture by reclaiming 82080. Use the 81455 PDC as lower validation.
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$ETH full reversion after yesterday's Weekly R test. Leaving ETH unch on the week. The focus for the day remains at the Daily R level sitting at 2418.18. Under 2418.18, the MKT is vulnerable to further declines. Over, defines the range within the Weekly R - Daily R.
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$ETH now approaching $2544, which is the focus for the duration (Weekly). A base of 2544, is a sign of strength in alignment with larger timeframes and invalidates the current NEUTRAL state. A failure to base on the weekly plays to the theme, and puts the market @ risk of a reversion of the advance.
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Update on $ETH $ETH broke 2447 on the daily putting a pause on the momentum. Basis the weekly price remains positve over 2400. Daily map rolling over at 0UTC.
ethereum:native breaking out basis the daily over 2455.81. If the MKT is good, a base of 2455.81 should hold and extend higher looking for the Weekly R 2544.08 (on the right chart) on the session. If the MKT fails to remain over 2447, that is the signal to lighten up and reasses for the day. Keep it simple, ETH over the previous week's close at 2400 this week is positive. Momentum is the focus.
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ethereum:native breaking out basis the daily over 2455.81. If the MKT is good, a base of 2455.81 should hold and extend higher looking for the Weekly R 2544.08 (on the right chart) on the session. If the MKT fails to remain over 2447, that is the signal to lighten up and reasses for the day. Keep it simple, ETH over the previous week's close at 2400 this week is positive. Momentum is the focus.
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#SP500 POSITIONING INTO THE MID-TERMS The Monthly fact foundation for $ES_F. TIMEFRAME: PMH 7848.5 PMM 7711.75, PML 7575 STATE: BULL TREND SENTIMENT BIAS: +> 7429.75 MARKET STRUCTURE: 7872.50 UP, 7724.25 DIR, 7577.25 DP Everything till Nov 1st occurs within this framework.
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2248 lost. $ETH weekly remains vulnerable until a rebase of 2468.82 is made and confirmed over 2489.
ethereum:native under some pressure overnight. 2562 - 2448 is the focus for the trend to remain in tact. Lose 2448 and longer time frame structure is below.
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ethereum:native under some pressure overnight. 2562 - 2448 is the focus for the trend to remain in tact. Lose 2448 and longer time frame structure is below.
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NFP, Monthly open and Quarterly open out of the way. $ETH remains contstructive, but needs a base over 2758 in order to reengage last month's high 2807 - W UP 2833. Without it, vols could continue to bleed into the week close.
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Wrapping up Q3 over on the @bookmap_pro weekly stream. New data tomorrow night, and a reload of binary events on the horizon. Q4 is setting up to be quite interesting. youtube.com/watch?v=zB7KWqTB…
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When you are up at the black jack table, your whole #psychology changes. When drinks come around, you're more apt to buy a round, or maybe buy a few for those around you that are down. The same thing happens in markets, and specifically in #crypto cycles. While $ETH and $BTC have stalled, the rotation trade has been alive and well. Here is a quick video from last week on this concept as we continue to see this theme play out. tradingview.com/chart/NEARUS…
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Every manager is steering a ship. A macro thesis tells you the destination. Market structure gives you the map to get there.
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$BTC with the red to green touch on the yearly. 87,501 still the number to flip the Year back green.
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An update on last week's video about $ETH post-FOMC as we approach the first Monthly target. Easier part of the trade seems to be off the table as we approach some longer duration figures. youtu.be/NpNDQWNg_2Q
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