Joined December 2020
1/2) writing programs and then proving each of them separately is too much job, instead we can prove correctness of metaprogram which generates other programs, so correctness of metaprogram implies correctness of each program it generates.
New on our Frontier Red Team blog: using Claude to formally verify software at large scale. Formal verification can prove that code is free of certain bugs, but historically it has only been feasible for small codebases (or required a lot of expert time). With AI models, however, this is beginning to change. In collaboration with @theoremlabs, we used Claude to prove security properties in over one hundred real-world open-source libraries over the span of a few weeks. Read our research in full here: anthropic.com/research/forma…
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2/2) hardest part is to have fast and reliable language with meta theory and split undecidable class of problems into decidable subclasses. theoretically we can even go further and create meta programs which generates other metaprograms
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i am waiting RSI guys who will suggest to reimplement this scripts to use new algorithm in order to decrease kappa recursively faster 🚀 🚀 🚀
Validated and merged Rohan's PR. Big gain on a really difficult regime (that frankly I was stuck at). Incredible work. κ = 2⁻¹⁵ (tightened from κ = 2⁻¹⁸²) A 500 thousand fold improvement over the previous result and a 2 ^ 167 fold improvement over the original OpenAI result. This result was a true community effort that combined techniques from a number of contributors. I want to take time to highlight each of them, but for now getting these results verified and published as fast as possible so everyone working on the problem is at the leading edge.
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they are going to add opus5.5 in codex
Replying to @poteto
Hey now. You don’t know what we’re releasing next week
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back in 2015, @DARPA spent over $25M(and even more) on Crowd-Sourced Formal Verification program while SAT solvers able to solve that games in less than seconds. wtf is going on in US? darpa.mil/research/programs/…
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rumors say anthropic fixed llm hallucinations by running them at 0 kelvin. this is how FLT gets proved
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Polymarket has a market on the return of Jesus. It’s near 0%, but it stays near US bond yield. People who own No are motivated to sell their position if the probability is less than the bond yield. Selling makes the probability of No higher.
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and I think the true probability is 17, I’m not motivated to buy or sell it. But if my true probability differs by more than the current bond yield, I’m motivated to buy or sell it, and my actions will make the probability more precise.
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So we can conclude that lower interest rates make prediction markets more accurate.
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