Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates) header
Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates) profile picture

Plant trees, no expectations Husband to amazing wife Dad to 4 perfect kids Advisor dear friends Pursuing a humble carpenter In an RV or RV capital

Elkhart, IN
Joined April 2009
Photo by Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates)Photo by Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates)Photo by Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates)Photo by Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates)Photo by Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates)Photo by Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates)Photo by Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates)Photo by Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates)Photo by Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates)Photo by Aaron Coates (@aaroncoates)
Aaron Coates retweeted
All these time the Three Kings had been playing war at Crane. @hayleighcolombo @kayla_dwyer17 @marissa_meador Look at the contracts, they’re basically the ones developing the technology for the department of defense. Crazy right? @AndrewIrelandIN @MicahBeckwith why don’t you go back to Taiwan and stay there? @vscoleman these vendors sponsor Andretti: BIC fka ESN NineTwelve - Indy Autonomous - IN 5G zone Indiana Innovation blah blah fka ARI Purdue Research Foundation It’s all the same 3 people + 2 indicted employees. If these are the people building things for the Iran war, no wonder we missed targets and shoot schools instead. These are some of the most incompetent people I met in my professional life Victoria. And you know I met a few. youtube.com/shorts/R3VC6p1Hi… navsea.navy.mil/Home/Warfare…
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Dave might recall an otherwise insignificant bill he proposed in 2015 - HB 1469, reducing the penalty for wage fines. The day after it was signed into law, my former employer, who had fined my wages, sued me. Then he resigned his seat to become an IURC commissioner. incivilsuit.blogspot.com/202…
Indiana House Republicans keep the majority, but a caucus of about 54 is a very different chamber than one of 70. A few thoughts from a parliamentary perspective on what that means for the 2027 session.
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Aaron Coates retweeted
Carroll County, Kentucky, residents play data center noise at a Fiscal Court meeting to make a point about the noise pollution they now live with. They are met with incredulous and condescending remarks.
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Aaron Coates retweeted
WHY IS THERE SO MUCH POLITICAL CHAOS IN WESTERN SOCIETY? If you can read and do math at a ~high school level, you can understand most of the information on these slides. If not, ask your favorite AI tool to explain this content to you at whatever level of educational attainment you have achieved to date. Most importantly, share this post/content with as many would-be voters as possible ahead of every election henceforth. The immiseration that you and your family increasingly feel WILL NOT END until Main Street Republicans and Main Street Democrats stop arguing with each other and start directing our COLLECTIVE ire at the Tyranny of the Privileged Few. 1 Timothy 6:10: For the love of money is a root of all kinds of evil. Some people, eager for money, have wandered from the faith and pierced themselves with many griefs. Jesus Christ and I love you, —Skipper 💜
I feel one of the biggest issues is the average American doesn't know how to articulate what you just said. They know something is wrong/unfair but they don't understand exactly what.
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Aaron Coates retweeted
Dear Secretary Bessent @SecScottBessent, My name is Everett Stern. In 2010 I was a compliance officer at @HSBC. From a back office in New Castle, Delaware, I watched billions of dollars move to drug cartels, sanctioned regimes, and terrorist organizations. The enemies of the United States. I documented it, I escalated it, and when the bank would not act, I took it to the @FBI, the @CIA, and eventually the @SECGov. The result was a $1.92 billion settlement. At the time, it was one of the largest in American history. It was also about five weeks of the bank’s profit. Not one banker was charged. Not one went to prison. I paid a different price. I lost my career, my savings, and my place in the industry I had trained for. I was blacklisted. Every door in American finance closed at once. I slept on a camping cot in a 300 square foot apartment because I could not afford a bed, and I waited tables at @PFChangs to eat. I tell you this not for sympathy, but so you understand that I know exactly what it costs to do the right thing in American finance, and exactly how little the system does in return. I made that sacrifice because I believed it would change something. Yesterday, your department fined @BankofAmerica $1.2 billion for failing to report more than $5 billion in suspicious transactions, some of it tied by your own findings to Chinese laundering networks, narcotics, and the southwest border, alongside 475 apparent sanctions violations touching Russia, Iran, and global terrorism. The bank admitted it willfully violated the Bank Secrecy Act. Fourteen years after HSBC. A bank with “America” in its name. And once again, not one individual charged. Secretary Bessent, I want to say plainly what I believe you already know. The fines are not working. A fine is paid by shareholders, absorbed by the balance sheet, and forgotten by the next earnings call. Bank of America reported earnings this morning. Nobody who set the alert thresholds, nobody who decided the 2024 cease and desist could wait, nobody who chose the backlog over the law will lose a single thing they value. Their lives are untouched. That is the entire reason the behavior repeats. This is money laundering. This is blood money. Money that reaches a cartel buys fentanyl that kills Americans. Money that reaches a terrorist organization buys the next attack. This country has fought a war on drugs and a war on terror for decades, at enormous cost in lives and treasure, and all the while we have allowed the financing to flow through institutions we charter and regulate. Cut off the money and we win. We have never seriously tried. There is also a question of equal justice that I cannot let go. Before I walked into the FBI building to report HSBC, I stopped in front of the Great Seal on the wall and read the words engraved beneath it: “Justice is the defense of our liberty.” I believed that. I still want to. But every day in this country, people go to prison for crimes that are nothing next to moving money for the people who want Americans dead. A suit, a title, and a corporate badge should not be a shield from the consequences that apply to everyone else. If a street dealer goes to prison for what he sells, the banker who moved the cartel’s money should be standing next to him. I also want to raise something that is rarely said in these conversations. Why has no one inside Bank of America come forward the way I did? The answer is that everyone in American banking knows what happened to me, and to the whistleblowers who came after. The last person who spoke up is the only policy anyone believes. That is a culture problem, and it starts with leadership, in the banks and in the agencies that regulate them. This is not a political issue. It has spanned administrations of both parties. It is a national security issue, and I am asking you to treat it as one. Three things would change the math overnight. Refer individuals for criminal prosecution. Not the analyst in the queue. The executives who set the thresholds and chose the risk. One banker in handcuffs would do more than every fine in Treasury’s history combined. End “too big to jail.” An institution cannot be too big to fail and too big to jail at the same time. If it is the first, it must be held to a higher standard, not a lower one. And if Bank of America will not act as America’s bank, review its charter. A national charter is a privilege granted on behalf of the American people. It should be conditioned on not moving money for the people trying to kill them. Secretary Bessent, you said yesterday that these actions send a clear message that even the biggest institutions are not above the law. With respect, the institution was never the problem. The people inside it are above the law, and they know it. Until that changes, I will keep writing letters like this one, and the next bank will keep paying the next fine. I gave up everything I had to stop this. I am asking you to use the power you have to finish it. Respectfully, Everett A. Stern HSBC Whistleblower Founder and Intelligence Director, Tactical Rabbit
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I’m convinced that pension benefits need to be assessed a portion of the damages for corruption. 3 tiers: Key officials: 10% Direct supervisors: 5% Entire department (current and former): 0.5% Taxpayers cover rest with a line item one-time assessment on property taxes
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Something like this will hopefully motivate ripping off the bandaid sooner for all cases instead of trying to hide it. Current LEOs / PAs should want to move quickly to keep damages from accumulating further and from having the fine applied to even more of their benefits. It shouldn’t affect benefits earned going forward, only those looking back. New LEOs, who haven’t qualified for benefits, won’t be penalized. The longer your length of service, the greater the consequence. AND it gives reason for honest cops to cross the blue line for everyone’s benefit punishing the key offenders. It will also motivate new police chiefs to not delay and risk having a portion of the 5% supervisor penalty assessed to them.
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Aaron Coates retweeted
CPI: It's nuts to me how little the inflation cycle is understood by so many investors. Please watch this if you desire a deeper understanding of it and its implications for your portfolio. CC @federalreserve @SecScottBessent @DavidZervosDC
Here’s What You Need to Know RE: Fed-Treasury Accord 2.0 Watch this excerpt from our October 2, 2026, weekly Around the Horn webcast to learn why we believe @SecScottBessent, Fed Chair Warsh, and Treasury Advisor @DavidZervosDC are likely working to establish greater coordination between the US monetary and fiscal authorities. A Fed-Treasury Accord 2.0 may feature Fed RMP as unlimited funding for TGA-funded buybacks in defense of the Fed's congressionally mandated third objective: moderate long-term interest rates.
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Aaron Coates retweeted
Replying to @WallStRollup
Gainbridge is the sponsor of half of Indiana. Yet, somehow, its business model does not work anywhere else... Who is really paying the $200M for that F1 HQ? Because the TIF already generated over $70M and the contract is not posted, @GovBraun, IEDC says the contract is pending LOL @TheRoostercrow @Indy_reporter_ @KColbertReport @hayleighcolombo @peterlblanchard @RepSpartz @SenFadyQaddoura linkedin.com/posts/michael-m…
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Next step: futures market for chips Last step: Enron 2.0 to trade chip futures in off balance sheet subsidiaries, but fronting as an operating business supplying chips Wait. Is Amazon skipping steps?
Where we’re going we don’t need GPUs on our balance sheet: ft.com/content/97d8d346-519e…?
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Man it's been a minute (or more than a decade) since I've spent my morning just watching the 10 yr with my finger on the trigger to further reduce stock risk
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Aaron Coates retweeted
Investing Quote of the Day: “October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February.” - Mark Twain
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Aaron Coates retweeted
Power selects for a specific personality type, and it is not yours. F.A. Hayek spelled this out in 1944. In a centrally planned system, the people who rise are not the most competent or the most honest. They are the most willing to exercise force against strangers, the most comfortable with contradiction, and the most skilled at coalition-building through favors rather than merit. Government filters for the bad ones from the start. The mechanism is straightforward. Political power means controlling resources you did not earn. Capturing that control requires outcompeting rivals who have no ethical constraints. A principled candidate refuses to promise contradictory things to different voter blocs. An unprincipled one does it without blinking. The unprincipled one wins. Repeat this selection pressure across hundreds of electoral cycles and you get the U.S. Congress in 2026: a body where the average member has held office for over a decade, raised millions from interested parties, and delivered almost nothing measurable to the people who voted for them. Bureaucracy compounds the problem. Once entrenched, state agencies attract people who want authority without accountability. You cannot fire most of them. The FDA, the TSA, the Federal Reserve all function this way, staffed by individuals whose career advancement depends on expanding the agency's reach, never on serving you efficiently.
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Alright @SpookysPRfirm I'm just going to start throwing down stuff so it's out there, since I've been sitting on it for almost a year. We'll see together where this thread goes.
11/21/2016: “I would suppose that by now each of you have learned of the tragic fire that occurred in Flora early today. I am certain that each of you are touched by the tragedy with the deaths of four children and burn injuries to first responders and the mother of the children. Although the cause of the fire is undetermined at this point this event underscores the risks involved for multifamily dwellings especially those in converted single family homes. a contractor customer of mine was telling me this morning that he had done work in the home several months ago and he observed a number of issues that at the time would have been high risk conditions inadequate electrical wiring, poor housekeeping, and the absence of multiple exits. He did not notice fire/smoke alarms or fire extinguishers. I don’t know if those conditions were corrected prior to the fire but I do know that if Flora had building codes and effective enforcement any deficient condition could have discovered and corrected and maybe today four little children would be alive and those injured would not have had their lives disrupted in such a traumatic and violent event. As the Mayor continues to construct a building code enforcement policy and process I encourage you to keep in mind the importance to the well being and safety of our community of efficient oversight and enforcement of codes for residential, multifamily and commercial buildings including construction, maintenance, and occupancy. I am certain the Town of Flora is asking themselves this morning if there was more they could have done to prevent this tragedy.” -Sam Deiwert, Deiwart Insurance
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How's that @SpookysPRfirm? Anything I missed? Questions? And yes, there should be FOIAs on if any insurance company has reported inexplicable data (even just slower response to certain fires, but not others), but it will be denied as "ongoing investigation."
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When I say “down the road from their Alma mater, I mean that actuaries work in major metro areas like Chicago. But they know where Delphi or Flora are having graduated from Purdue. And specific to losses beyond statistical explanation, let’s take a random example like the Flora fire. IIRC, it was near the fire station. It’s pretty common knowledge that the closer a property is to a fire station, the cheaper insurance is. Why? Because a fast response time means less total loss. Also distance from a fire hydrant. Why? Because if the fire department is limited to using the amount of water in their truck they can’t put out a fire as quickly as from an unlimited hydrant. So when the insurance adjuster comes out and completes a report about the drastic amount of insured loss that the company will pay from a fire, and it’s around the corner from the fire department, the actuaries look at the data and see where else that has happened, including the response time. And then their massive data and probability factoring will consider the average response time for the Flora FD and how long it took for that fire and see that it appears to be enough of an anomaly to be suspicious as to intent. With enough data and time, their analysis will show that it is the most extreme example. But when more than one of the most extreme examples happens in a low population county, that is better explained by certain bad actors colluding with officials. The insurance company will turn their findings over to authorities and inform policy owners that they will not be renewing policies in that county starting on X date. But the agent likely knows. They know what actually happened. They know the condition of that building, who lives in it, and how fire safe it is. And if they do, and had reason to suspect future arson but didn’t tip off Erie, then Erie would be rightfully pissed.
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