absreturnchaser (@absreturnchaser) profile picture

Event-driven / Special Situations PM For informational purposes. Not investment advice/recommendation to buy/sell securities. Views are my own.

Joined June 2022
absreturnchaser retweeted
4. SPD Berlin state executive (Landesvorstand) - Write to: SPD Berlin, Müllerstraße 163, 13353 Berlin. - Demand: Commit in coalition agreement that before any socialisation law (1) the framework law has been reviewed by a constitutional court,
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3. Letters to SPD and Green members of Berlin House of Representatives - Find your constituency member at parlament-berlin.de. - Arguments: tenants' back payments after rent cap ruling, money for new housing instead of compensation, debt brake puts schools & daycare at risk
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absreturnchaser retweeted
2. Petitions to the Bavarian and Hessian state parliaments - Bavaria: bayern.landtag.de - Hesse: hessischer-landtag.de - Demand: A Bundesrat initiative for a federal ban on socialisation and an assessment of a constitutional review (Normenkontrolle).
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1. Petition to the Berlin House of Representatives - Online at parlament-berlin.de - Demand: Publish the legal opinion on Art. 23 of the Berlin constitution and an up-to-date cost estimate; no socialisation before a constitutional court ruling.
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absreturnchaser retweeted
The SaaSpocalypse has led to many takeovers. One potential target that is left: Alfa Financial Software #ALFA. The core platform that banks, carmakers’ finance arms and other lenders use to run their auto and equipment finance contracts. Systems like this take years to implement
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absreturnchaser retweeted
Finally stakeholders stand up against the unconstitutional plans regarding real estate in Berlin. #VNA Vonovia #DWNI Deutsche Wohnen - so what can you do against them?:
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Any pods above 1bn GMV in L/S equity and event-driven out of London? DM me for discussion.
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Anyone looked at the #NESF NextEnergy Solar formal sale process? DM me.
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Good timing for #nesf who are running a sale process. NAV per share 73, stock at 48, divi yield almost 10%. Think 25% upside in sale reasonable.
UK renewable funds could benefit from power price surge, RBC says #NESF #FSFL RBC Capital Markets expects UK renewable energy funds to report higher net asset values (NAVs) for the third quarter after wholesale electricity price forecasts surged ✅ proactiveinvestors.com/compa…
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Bottom line: highly unlikely to be implemented. Ignore sell-side headlines. Stocks like Deutsche Wohnen #DWNI $DWNI trade on a 7% net yield (not divi, but guaranteed compensation) and 0.3x BV. Great LT hold.
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Sale process of #NESF launched in summer. Deal imo would be at higher NAV discount than Drax’s takeover and may include the divi. Even accounting for current yields, 60p should be achievable. $NESF
Potential takeover: #NESF NextEnergy Solar Fund trading on 35% discount to NAV running sale process. Reasonable 30% upside imo from here, could hear about bids soon. $NESF
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EKF #EKF with some potential. Could be easy money for PE or a strategic.
Next takeover target and only in Europe: diagnostics group focused on testing and contract manufacturing with much of revenue coming from recurring consumables. 53% gross margin EBITDA margins of 25%. Net cash, trading on 6x 2027 EBITDA.
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Next takeover target and only in Europe: diagnostics group focused on testing and contract manufacturing with much of revenue coming from recurring consumables. 53% gross margin EBITDA margins of 25%. Net cash, trading on 6x 2027 EBITDA.
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Potential takeover: #NESF NextEnergy Solar Fund trading on 35% discount to NAV running sale process. Reasonable 30% upside imo from here, could hear about bids soon. $NESF
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