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FinGenAi

@ackmeni

A negative polarity dialectic is needed to improve the cosmic order but infinite loop synthesis progress, should be measured at close intervals. Asha verso Druj

Joined May 2013
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Bull & Bear Indicator up to 7.2 from 7.1 ... signal is 𝐍𝐞𝐮𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐥 | BofA _/ Bull & Bear Indicator up to 7.2 on "enormous global equity inflows more than offset EM debt outflows, more bearish positioning in crude oil, US$, gold futures, and weaker credit market technicals."
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The Asset Class Quilt of Total Returns _/ 2026 Returns Year To Date: -> 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐨𝐝𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬: +73.1% -> REITS: +15.3% -> S&P 500: +13.4% -> MSCI EM: +13.1% -> MSCI EAFE: +11.0% -> Cash: +3.1% -> Global HY: 0.0% -> US Treasuries: -0.2% ->Global IG: -1.4% -> 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝: -6.0%
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#AI-Related Supply: Outlining the Directional Risks | GS _/ AI debt supply is coming faster than anyone modeled, and between now and early December the risks to spreads are "firmly tilted towards more widening." _/ hyperscalers as a group reported negative free cash flow in 3Q26
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_/ 35% of hyperscaler capex will be debt financed in 2027. _/ a 2027 AI debt pipeline of roughly $740 billion before counting a single neocloud, chipmaker or utility. _/ $1.7 trillion in operating and finance lease commitments. _/ $1.9 trillion of other unconditional commitments.
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DEM fatale | The Flow Show, BofA _/ we stay risk-off until central bank rate hikes end, 10-year UST yield < 4.5%, Oil < $80/bbl. _/ DEM tsunami...peak Trump/greed/AI capex/K-shape consumer. _/ Buy Gold...Jan 3rd new Congress sworn in, Feb 1st US hits $41.1 Trillion debt ceiling.
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Chart: DEM fatale | The Flow Show, BofA _/ Ominous "Double-top" in SPW (chart 3) and no one talking "Big top", but if nov CPI, payroll data weak, then dec fed/ecb/boj hikes = last hikes, risk assetsb start year-end rally at Thanksgiving. 👇 SPW (S&P 500 Equal-Weighted Index)
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The US Treasury will buy back up to $95 Billion of its own debt over the next 3 months _/ Bessent was fairly quiet last week, didn't come to markets aid subsequent to midterm election! Apparently there's a change in posture now, adding liquidity into financial system.
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Data Center Suppliers are getting wrecked but still up ~21% YTD _/ on average: -> 48.3% below their 52-week highs -> Down 33.3% over the past month Table: bespoke
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Is the Market Too Pessimistic About #Al Demand? _/ AI Infrastructure Spending Continues Growing for now while Semis Face Massive Selloffs. 👇 The Largest Infrastructure Funds
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Market Pulse, November 2026 | GS _/ We expect global growth and earnings strength to remain resilient in 2027. We see potential, where earnings and themes around #AI, defense, security reinforce case for global diversification and active stock selection. am.gs.com/cms-assets/gsam-ap…
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Why hasn’t there been a major financial crisis in recent years | DB _/ Historical factors, such as regulation, growth, global system changes, contributed to crises. Experts warn future vulnerabilities include AI risks, private credit, and fiscal strains. smallpdf.com/file#s=fb48cb0a…
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The #AI Shift: What’s the real ROI for AI? _/ "that numbers on ROI should be considered extreme upper bounds — some are measuring upticks in activity rather than value, and others may be capturing uplift in one team while ignoring clogged workflows ..." ft.com/content/ed9ea00a-cc98…
The AI Shift: What’s the real ROI for AI?

The AI Shift: What’s the real ROI for AI?

Bill Gates, aliens and everything else we heard at the FT’s Future of AI Summit

ft.com
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Anatomy of Momentum Crash, Leadership into 1Q27 | JPM _/ Market experienced a 38.4% cumulative decline in momentum thru Oct _/ SPX forward P/E de-rated by ~ 4x from prior highs, contracting from 21.2x to 17.9x _/ $60B 1 day redemptions in Leveraged ETFs news.futunn.com/en/post/1003…
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End of Momentum leadership in SPX? _/ Momentum is now only marginally ahead of the S&P 500, outperforming by 0.6% year-to-date, while S&P 500 Pure Value has moved firmly into the lead, gaining 20.5% and outperforming the benchmark by 9.3 percentage points ...
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Goldman sharply cuts year-end Gold price gold targets to $4,150 for 2026 and $4,800 for 2027 "on hawkish Fed shift" _/ "We retain our longer-term constructive view on structurally strong central bank demand – which drives most of the 15% price upside we forecast by end-2027."
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Weekly Flows | BofA _/ Money market funds drew $140.4 billion in the week to Nov. 4 _/ Treasuries $6.5 billion inflows, _/ IG Bonds a seventh at $6.2 billion, _/ TIPS a 40th at $500 million, _/ HY bonds took in $2.2 billion in a 2nd week, _/ U.S. equities $31.7 billion inflows.
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Bull & Bear Indicator rises to 7.2 from 7.1 ... signal is 𝐍𝐞𝐮𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐥 | BofA
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The sell-off has priced In more risk than earnings cuts justify | BofA _/ Indiscriminate multiple compression leads to opportunities
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The sell-off has priced In more risk than earnings cuts justify | BofA _/ Key assumptions on data center buildouts
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Thursday was the biggest put day in history | Cboe _/ Thursday marked the biggest put-volume day in Cboe history at11.23 million put contracts, surpassing the previous record of 10.22 million set on April 4, 2025.
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