Debunking the Phantom Debts and Ecological Loan Fallacy
My attention has been drawn to trending claims by the Anambra State Government that my administration left behind inherited debts, including a ₦2 billion ecological loan, contractor liabilities, and unpaid salaries, gratuities, and pensions. This is completely false.
We systematically liquidated historical gratuities and arrears dating back several years, amounting to over ₦35 billion. At the point of handover, the state owed nothing in salaries, gratuities, or pensions, nor did we owe anything to any contractor for projects duly executed and certified.
The ₦2 billion ecological fund in question was released barely three months before the end of my tenure for the Oko/Umuchiana erosion crisis. Despite pressure to spend the money, I refused, insisting that it should be left for my successor because government is a continuum and the funds were tied to a specific project.
The money was therefore left 100 per cent intact in First Bank, in Account No. 2018779464, with a balance of over ₦2.13 billion.
It is important to stress that funds tied to specific projects or set aside for particular purposes were not even included in the over ₦75 billion in savings we left behind.
If anybody can establish anything to the contrary, I will stop campaigning. -PO
So I came across this polling unit result while looking through the 2024 Edo governorship election, and the numbers stopped me:
2,180 accredited voters. 2,167 valid votes. Uploaded to IReV at 5:47:07 p.m. on election day.
Here’s a short course in arithmetic, free of charge to whoever filled out this result sheet.
Lesson 1: The clock is an honest witness.
You declared 2,180 accredited voters and 2,167 valid votes at a single polling unit.
Yiaga Africa’s observation of BVAS accreditation found that it typically took 1–2 minutes per voter. Let’s use the midpoint: 1.5 minutes.
2,180 voters × 1.5 minutes = 3,270 minutes.
That is 54 hours and 30 minutes of accreditation with one BVAS machine.
Now, I’ll be generous. Let’s pretend this polling unit somehow had two BVAS machines running continuously.
That brings it down to 27 hours and 15 minutes.
Lesson 2: Parallel processing will not save you.
Someone will say: “But accreditation and voting happened simultaneously!”
Correct. But irrelevant. :)
Let’s assume the polling unit had four voting booths and could comfortably process four voters per minute.
The problem is that two BVAS machines, at 1.5 minutes per accreditation, can feed the voting process at only about 1.33 voters per minute.
The bottleneck is the BVAS, not the voting booths.
Classic tandem queue. Operations Research 101
Then comes sorting and counting.
At just 10 seconds per ballot, counting 2,167 ballots takes approximately 6 hours and 1 minute.
So:
Accreditation: 27h 15m. Counting: 6h 1m. Total: 33h 16m
Even assuming the polling unit opened promptly at 8:30 a.m. on Saturday, you should not have finished until roughly 5:46 p.m. on Sunday.
No breaks and no sleep.
Lesson 3: There’s something called timestamp
The IReV timestamp says this result was uploaded at 5:47:07 p.m on election day.
That is just 9 hours and 17 minutes after 8:30 a.m.
So, under these assumptions, you performed more than 33 hours of sequential work in 9 hours and 17 minutes.
To make that timeline work, you would need roughly 17 BVAS machines running continuously and perfectly, followed by six straight hours of ballot counting.
And btw, I checked the statewide data.
The median was 111 accredited voters per polling unit.
This polling unit claimed 2,180.
That is almost 20 times the statewide median.
Closing note to Adeosun Oluwadamilola :)
Next time, pick a number with the fear of God, and one that a clock can defend.
#Mundx
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Ibrahim H. Abdukarim
Meet one of our speakers for Friday's X Space 🎙️
Ibrahim H. Abdukarim is a political strategist and grassroots mobilisation advocate with deep experience connecting political participation to ordinary citizens — especially across Northern Nigeria.
He'll be unpacking how political parties and the political class can help build stronger structures around polling units.
🗓️ Friday, 8PM | Live on X Spaces
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Tudo Bams
Meet one of our speakers for Friday's X Space 🎙️
Tudo Bams is a Policy Analyst with a sharp, data-driven read on Nigeria's governance challenges — helping people understand not just what's happening in our politics, but why it matters for the country's future.
He joins us to break down the policy side of vote buying and polling unit integrity.
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Princess Cessa A.
Meet one of our speakers for Friday's X Space 🎙️
Princess Cessa A. is a Public Affairs Analyst who doesn't shy away from asking the questions others avoid, especially when it comes to accountability and how decisions made by those in power ripple down to ordinary people.
She'll be bringing that same clarity to our conversation on vote buying and the fight to protect every polling unit.
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₦20,000 for your vote. That's the price some Nigerians are asked to sell their future for.
Vote buying isn't just "small money" changing hands quietly, it's a cycle that decides who governs you, your security, your roads, your hospitals, your kids' schools.
Can technology finally break it?
We're unpacking it live 👇
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Your vote doesn't only get stolen at the collation center. It starts the moment nobody's watching your polling unit.
This Friday, we're getting into it: Vote Buying, Ballot Box Snatching/Stuffing, Voter Intimidation, and eventually what happens to your votes after it leaves the polling unit.
Joining the conversation:
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🎙️ @cessadelove1 Legal Practitioner
🎙️ @ziter001 Political Commentator
📅 Friday, 11 Sept, 8PM
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Lady shares video accusing opposition party leader for blocking Peter Obi from entering Benue state
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1MMC ENDORSES NGelectionPolls FOR 2027 ELECTION MONITORING & COLLATION
The 1MMC Crew is proud to announce its collaboration with NGelectionPolls, a civic technology platform designed to strengthen citizen participation, election monitoring, documentation and independent collation during Nigeria’s 2027 General Elections.
This collaboration is built on a simple conviction: Nigeria’s democracy is stronger when citizens are informed, organised and actively involved in protecting the integrity of elections.
Through NGelectionPolls, citizens can participate responsibly in observing polling-unit activities, documenting publicly declared results and reporting verifiable election-day incidents — creating an additional layer of transparency and public accountability.
For 1MMC, this is bigger than any political party, candidate or individual.
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It is about supporting elections where Nigerians can vote freely, peacefully observe the process, document polling-unit results and use technology to strengthen transparency and public confidence.
The 1MMC Crew proudly endorses NGelectionPolls as a citizen-focused election monitoring and independent collation platform for the 2027 General Elections.
Our message to Nigerians is simple:
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Credible elections cannot be the responsibility of institutions alone. Citizens have a role to play — peacefully, lawfully and responsibly.
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⚠️ DON'T GET CAUGHT OFF-GUARD!
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YOUR ROLE:
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3. Register as Volunteers (if you're not able to register as an Eyewitness Reporter at your PU)—to provide other needed supports on ground during the elections, including protection of votes.
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The 2027 General Elections are barely 150 days away.
Have you registered on NGelectionpolls?
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YOUR ROLE:
1. Register as an Eyewitness Reporter—to help us send election results (figures & EC8A sheets). Thus, helping us meet our goal of collating original (not IReV) results in no time; ideally before midnight on Election Day.
2. Register as a Subscriber—to adopt and support Eyewitness Reporters. As well as to serve as a Results Validation Admin (typically for diasporans, who won't be on ground to cast their votes)
3. Register as Volunteers (if you're not able to register as an Eyewitness Reporter at your PU)—to provide other needed supports on ground during the elections, including protection of votes.
#NigeriaDecides2027
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#OsunDecides2026 RESULT PROJECTION UPDATE:
With 98% of the polling-unit results from Iwo LGA obtained from INEC’s IReV now collated by @NGelectionpolls, Ademola Adeleke of Accord Party is now strongly projected to be the leading candidate in the LGA.
Click link below to drill down to Ward and PU results.
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Cc: @activecitizez
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#OsunDecides2026 RESULT PROJECTION UPDATE:
With 97% of the polling-unit results from Ayedaade LGA obtained from INEC’s IReV now collated by @NGelectionpolls, Ademola Adeleke of Accord Party is now strongly projected to be the leading candidate in the LGA.
Click link below to drill down to Ward and PU results.
ngelectionpolls.org/results/…
Cc: @activecitizez
#NGelectionpolls
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#OsunDecides2026 RESULT PROJECTION UPDATE:
With 97% of the polling-unit results from Ayedaade LGA obtained from INEC’s IReV now collated by @NGelectionpolls, Ademola Adeleke of Accord Party is now strongly projected to be the leading candidate in the LGA.
Click link below to drill down to Ward and PU results.
ngelectionpolls.org/results/…
Cc: @activecitizez
#NGelectionpolls
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#OsunDecides2026 RESULT PROJECTION UPDATE:
With 95% of the polling-unit results from Ola-Oluwa LGA obtained from INEC’s IReV now collated by @NGelectionpolls, Bola Oyebamiji of the All Progressive Congress Party is now strongly projected to be the leading candidate in the LGA.
Click link below to drill down to Ward and PU results.
ngelectionpolls.org/results/…
Cc: @activecitizez
#NGelectionpolls
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#OsunDecides2026 RESULT PROJECTION UPDATE:
With 95% of the polling-unit results from Ola-Oluwa LGA obtained from INEC’s IReV now collated by @NGelectionpolls, Bola Oyebamiji of the All Progressive Congress Party is now strongly projected to be the leading candidate in the LGA.
Click link below to drill down to Ward and PU results.
ngelectionpolls.org/results/…
Cc: @activecitizez
#NGelectionpolls






















