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🏆 the conviction board.
live options flow — calls and puts, ranked 0-100 on 8 factors.
🔥 options returns after the board fired:
$AAPL → +3,336%
$ASTS → +1,040%
$CRWV → +956%
$NBIS → +540%
full log (wins AND losses) public.
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👉 algoxflow.com/conviction
Calls vs puts in today's 8 biggest options prints:
Calls: $277k across 2 prints
Puts: $2.7M across 4 prints
Largest: $LITE 420P for $1.9M.
Positions, not confirmed direction. The feed doesn't say who's buying or selling.
$SPY is red 2.76% — and $2.1M of options premium got bought.
Price and flow pointing opposite ways is the part worth looking at. One of them is early.
Biggest moves the options market is pricing into 2026-11-05:
1. $QQQ ±2.31%
2. AMZN ±2.3%
3. MSFT ±1.84%
4. SPY ±1.65%
5. IWM ±1.58%
That's the straddle, not a forecast. It's what you're paying for.
Biggest sweep on the tape right now:
$MU 700 CALL 2029-01-19
$6.3M in premium
Bought at the ask — someone paid up to get filled now rather than wait.
We're cautious on $NVDA under null.
Flip null. Call wall 207.5. Trading 191.76.
The bars are what the other side is forced to hedge. That's the part we actually trade off.
Here's what the Democratic election rout could mean for the U.S. economy
$SPY 765.42, above its 698.05 flip. Hedging fades the move.
$MU is red 8.71% — and $3.1M of options premium got bought.
Price and flow pointing opposite ways is the part worth looking at. One of them is early.
Reporting Thu, and what options are pricing:
$NET ±11.8%
NTRA ±11.6%
CMI ±7.9%
PH ±6.7%
MNST ±6.3%
We measured 2,422 of these. Options overpriced the move 57% of the time.
2 of 4 closed green today.
$NVDA 205C-11/4 -77%
AVGO 337.5C-11/4 -48%
SPCX 138C-11/4 +54%
NVDA 207.5C-11/4 +63%
Entry and exit both posted live. Reds included — that's the point.
Reporting Wed, and what options are pricing:
$APP ±12.5%
DDOG ±12.4%
ARM ±8.4%
QCOM ±7.2%
COR ±7.2%
We measured 2,422 of these. Options overpriced the move 57% of the time.
THE 23 BIGGEST EARNINGS BETS THIS WEEK
Tiered by the move options are actually pricing:
EXTREME (14%+) - CRWV, ASTS, SANM
HIGH (12-14%) - FLY, ONTO, VIV
ELEVATED (9-12%) - NET, NTRA, AQN
MODERATE (under 9%) - ELAN, ARM, LEGN
$CRWV is priced to move 17.7% in one session.
Where we stand on $BB:
Spot 8.71 · flip 8.51 · call wall 9
The bars are what the other side is forced to hedge. That's the part we actually trade off.
Calls vs puts in today's 8 biggest options prints:
Calls: $573k across 4 prints
Puts: $648k across 3 prints
Largest: $EMR 175P for $331k.
Positions, not confirmed direction. The feed doesn't say who's buying or selling.
Transcat shares surge to record as earnings beat estimates, outlook improves
$SPY 767.87, below its 767.9 flip. Hedging feeds the move.
$DIA — 532.75
Put wall 515. Call wall 539.
Which one gets touched first? 👇
$COHR is red 7.12% — and $2.5M of options premium got bought.
Price and flow pointing opposite ways is the part worth looking at. One of them is early.
$301k OF PUTS HIT PBR TODAY
The biggest options bets on the tape:
CALLS BOUGHT (bullish bets) - ALAB, SPCX, MSTR
PUTS BOUGHT (bearish bets) - PBR
Size is conviction. It is not intent.
$QQQ 695.02 — 0.11% above its zero-gamma flip at 694.29.
Above it dealers damp moves. Cushion is 0.18x today's expected move.
Net dealer gamma: +$563M











