AlphaSpy - Prediction Market Intelligence (@alphaspy007) profile picture

The most up to date prediction market intelligence delivered straight to you 24/7 Covers all markets across Polymarket and Kalshi and over 500K whales.

Joined October 2023
Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Polymarket: 1.21c avg spread, $1k fills within 1c 62% of the time Kalshi: 1.20c, 81% Politics: 1.10c vs 0.88c, fills 66% vs 79% Across 595 markets.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Polymarket: 1.21c avg spread, $1k fills within 1c 66% of the time Kalshi: 1.24c, 82% Sports: 1.10c vs 1.28c, fills 77% vs 83% Across 635 markets.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi: 1.24c avg spread, $1k fills within 1c 82% of the time Polymarket: 1.25c, 66% Sports: 1.28c vs 1.10c, fills 82% vs 79% Across 602 markets.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi: 1.21c avg spread, $1k fills within 1c 82% of the time Polymarket: 1.58c, 61% Sports: 1.27c vs 0.93c, fills 81% vs 97% Politics: 0.76c vs 1.98c, fills 90% vs 57% Across 599 markets.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi: 1.21c avg spread, $1k fills within 1c 79% of the time Polymarket: 3.16c, 54% Politics: 0.78c vs 4.83c, fills 82% vs 55% Across 591 markets.
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A wallet up $3.5M lifetime opened a $19k position on Houston at 79c. Cincinnati vs. Houston Houston is trading at 80c.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi: 1.55c avg spread, $1k fills within 1c 76% of the time Polymarket: 3.03c, 56% Sports: 1.68c vs 0.80c, fills 84% vs 74% Politics: 1.04c vs 5.05c, fills 68% vs 63% Across 553 markets.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi: 1.34c avg spread, $1k fills within 1c 71% of the time Polymarket: 4.18c, 49% Sports: 1.28c vs 1.61c, fills 79% vs 70% Politics: 1.37c vs 6.87c, fills 62% vs 48% Across 552 markets.
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A wallet up $1.6M lifetime added $15k to a YES position (avg entry now 75c). Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? YES is trading at 77c.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi: 0.98c avg spread, $1k fills within 1c 93% of the time Polymarket: 1.78c, 55% Sports: 1.19c vs 1.63c, fills 88% vs 82% Politics: 0.90c vs 2.11c, fills 95% vs 51% Across 458 markets.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi: 1.06c avg spread, $1k fills within 1c 92% of the time Polymarket: 1.32c, 63% Sports: 1.23c vs 1.29c, fills 87% vs 87% Politics: 0.89c vs 1.36c, fills 98% vs 70% Across 524 markets.
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A wallet up $1.6M lifetime added $28k to a YES position (avg entry now 75c). Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? YES is trading at 72c.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi — 1.36c average spread, 90% of quotes at 1c Polymarket — 2.66c average spread, 77% at 1c Across 438 markets, both measured YES-side.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi — 1.08c average spread, 95% of quotes at 1c Polymarket — 2.27c average spread, 72% at 1c Across 561 markets, both measured YES-side.
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A wallet up $1.1M lifetime added $20k to a YES position (avg entry now 18c). Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YES is trading at 16c.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi — 1.04c average spread, 94% of quotes at 1c Polymarket — 1.90c average spread, 68% at 1c Across 391 markets, both measured YES-side.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi — 1.19c average spread, 90% of quotes at 1c Polymarket — 2.04c average spread, 64% at 1c Across 425 markets, both measured YES-side.
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A wallet up $1.6M lifetime added $25k to a YES position (avg entry now 76c). Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? YES is trading at 72c.
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A wallet up $1.6M lifetime added $16k to a YES position (avg entry now 76c). Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? YES is trading at 76c.
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Prediction market liquidity, past 24h: Kalshi — 1.06c average spread, 93% of quotes at 1c Polymarket — 2.72c average spread, 73% at 1c Across 390 markets, both measured YES-side.
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